PERFORMANCE

Every single trade since 2007, without exception, is included in the performance results and is easily verifiable.

Number of winning positions: 194
Number of losing positions: 11
Average annualized % return per position: 1072.34%

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STREET’S EARNING ESTIMATES ON $AMGN (AMGEN) REMAIN TOO HIGH

We aggressively sold short $AMGN yesterday at $60.80 as per our plan in the earlier post. We take no issue with the positive trial results. Our issue is with the earning estimates of the street. Majority of $AMGN earnings come from anemia drugs. We continue to believe that these earnings will shrink at a more rapid pace than the new earnings from new drugs. We will maintain our short position on $AMGN.

Because of street’s enthusiasm for the stock, we will manage the trade by scaling out on dips and scaling in on spikes up.

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