July 21, 2008

SHORT RHHBY ( ROCHE), SHORT AMLN (AMYLIN)

Roche’s acquisition of DNA ( Genentech ) shows change of the company’s long practiced successful strategy by the new CEO. This indicates lack of confidence in the prior strategy. The new strategy is in reality integration of autonomous subsidiaries, although Roche does not characterize this way. We believe there will

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SHORT SNDK ( SANDISK )

Wall street is underestimating the price pressures in flash memories and overestimating the demand. Further our proprietary indicators show that aggressive money is accumulating Sandisk. These bulls will be trapped and rapidly exit their positions after the earnings report. Build short positions in the $18 to $ 22 band. Cover

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