ITALY IS ON OUR RADAR SCREEN
As the contagion from Greece spread, money has rapidly flown out of Italian stocks. On the surface, it seems justified. Italy owes 25% of euro zone debt. Italy has long been called sick man of Europe. Few days ago , some Italian stocks seem to be pricing in possibility of a sovereign debt default.
The other side is that Italian economy is growing , budget deficits in proportion to GDP are likely to shrink and unemployment is likely to remain relatively low. Italy also did not see the bubble to the extent witnessed in some other parts of euro zone.
Change in perceptions regarding Italy is not justified based on fundamentals.… Please click here or the title below to read more.
March 7, 2010