March 12, 2013

THE PLAN BASED ON STOCK MARKET PROBABILITIES $SPY $DIA $QQQ

 

adaptive model image 3-12-13

This post was just published on ZYX Buy Change Alert.

Nigam’s second law is that nobody knows with certainty what is going to happen next.  The first step in becoming a successful investor is to learn how to deal with the uncertainty that is the true nature of the markets.  The best way to deal with uncertainty is to use probabilities.

Our model to forecast the market is an adaptive model, i.e., it changes with market conditions.

The model makes two adaptations in near real-time to the eight inputs as new data becomes available.

First, the weight of an input is low if the data has been choppy or directionless.… Please click here or the title below to read more.

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