March 23, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Yield Curve

Please click here for a chart of the yield curve.

Note the following:

• The chart goes back to 1976.
• The chart shows the difference between the yield on 10-year Treasuries and 2-year Treasuries.
• The gray bars on the chart show recessions.
• The chart shows that when the yield curve inverts it is followed by a recession.
• The stock market is likely to top out six to twelve months before a recession.
• The other economic indicators that The Arora Report follows and shares with you in the Morning Capsules are not showing any signs of recession in 2022 at this time.