August 2, 2022

CHINESE JETS FLY CLOSE TO TAIWAN – BE CAREFUL ABOUT THE TAIL RISK

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Tail Risk

Please click here for a chart of Taiwan ETF (EWT).

Note the following:

  • Ahead of Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, Chinese jets have flown close to Taiwan.  Pelosi will be on a military plane escorted by US fighter jets.
  • China has threatened to shoot down Pelosi’s plane and take other military actions.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, there is a medium risk of confrontation, but there is a low risk of escalation.  The reason is that there is no significant increase in Chinese navy build up near Taiwan.
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