October 17, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

80% Recession Probability

Please click here for a chart of 10-year minus 2-year Treasuries.

Note the following:

• The chart shows the yield curve inverted by -0.48%.  This is slightly more than -0.47% in 2000 and -0.43% in 1989.
• Note from the chart that in 1980 the yield curve inverted by -2.01%.
• Could the U.S. be heading toward a steeper yield curve inversion?  When the yield curve was more inverted in the 1980’s, it was a period of stagflation.  To learn in advance how to invest during stagflation, listen to the five part podcast series titled “Stagflation: Buffett’s Portfolio.”