May 31, 2024

RELIEF RALLY ON FED’S FAVORITE INFLATION DATA, AI EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS OVERDONE

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Relief Rally

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

  • The chart shows that the stock market has fallen into the support zone.
  • The chart shows that RSI had approached the oversold level prior to release of PCE data.  PCE is the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.   RSI foreshadowed that there would be a relief rally if PCE came inline with expectations.
  • The chart shows that the stock market is rallying, exactly as foreshadowed by RSI.
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