June 11, 2024

A RARE DATA DAY AHEAD — STOCK MARKET HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FLY OR FALL

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

CPI And FOMC Ahead

Please click here for a chart of 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT).

Note the following:

  • The direction of bonds tomorrow will likely determine the direction of the stock market.
  • The chart shows TLT is below the low band of the resistance zone.
  • The chart shows that going into important data, volume has stayed low, indicating lack of conviction.
  • Volume in S&P 500 has also stayed low, indicating lack of conviction ahead of the data.
  • If bonds approach the mini support zone, then stocks will fall. 
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