December 10, 2025

ORACLE EARNINGS WILL BE A TELL ON DEBT FUELED AI TRADE, GLOBAL YIELDS TO 16 YEAR HIGH AHEAD OF FED CUT

By Nigam Arora

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Global Yields Hit 16 Year High

Please click here for a chart of Oracle stock (ORCL).

Note the following:

  • The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of ORCL stock is being used to illustrate the point.
  • The chart shows ORCL stock spiked up after the last earnings.  The reason for the spike was Oracle saying it had $500B of backlog for its data centers.
  • The chart shows ORCL stock was not able to maintain its spike up and fell when the following were discovered:
    • $300B – $350B of the backlog was from ChatGPT maker OpenAI.
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