By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora
Inflation
Inflation in Argentina is slowing. The consensus for the next reading is 3.5%. That will be the lowest in almost three years. In The Arora Report analysis, this is a positive.
Trade
There was an announcement of new government actions to simplify trade. The aim is to boost the exchange rate of the Argentine peso against the dollar. In The Arora Report analysis, this is a positive.
Banking
Argentina’s largest bank Banco Nacion is undergoing a major overhaul. Banco Nacion’s President Daniel Tillard was appointed in December 2023 by Argentina’s, then newly elected President Javier Milei. Tillard expressed, “Our aspiration is to imitate the Banco do Brasil model.” The model is a privately owned but publicly traded entity that is controlled and 50% owned by the government. In The Arora Report analysis, this is a positive.
Credit
Credit lending is quickly accelerating in Argentina. In the last few months, banks in Argentina began offering mortgages on homes for the first time since 2018. In The Arora Report analysis, this is a positive.
ETF Of Choice
The ETF of choice to take advantage of opportunity in Argentina is ARGT.
Zones
The buy zone is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial).
The short term rating is ***.
The medium term rating is ***.
The long term rating is ***.
The maximum recommended quantity is ***% of the full core position size.
The stop zone and target zone will depend on economic data coming from Argentina. Those who must have a stop zone may consider a mental stop zone of $*** – $***.
What To Do Now
Those in ARGT may consider continuing to hold and scaling in on a pullback in the buy zone.
Those not in ARGT may consider following the parameters given above.
Note: Signal(s) to enter, add, reduce, exit, hold or change.
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Nigam Arora
Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.
Dr. Natasha Arora
Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.