By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know now.
Positive Scenario
Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
Note the following:
- In the Morning Capsule we wrote,
Further in our analysis, if the Fed increases by 25 basis points, the stock market may rally as the overhang of a 50 basis point increase will lift.
- There is a new data point that strengthens the foregoing highest probability positive scenario.
- The new data is that demand by foreigners was at a record high at $50B 3-year Treasury note auction.
- The stellar note auction with record foreign demand indicates that there are a large number of investors who are confident that the Fed will not raise rates by 50 basis points. Please read the Morning Capsule for details of various scenarios.
- The chart shows that the morning started out with weakness in tech stocks.
- The chart shows that a sustained rally started around 10:30am ET in tech stocks.
- Buying is especially strong in economy opening sectors such as airlines, cruise lines, and hotels.
- The VUD indicator is the most sensitive measure of net supply demand in real-time. The orange represents net supply and the green represents net demand.
- The chart shows that the VUD indicator has been mostly green showing a net demand for stocks.
Money Flows
The momo crowd money flows since the Morning Capsule are 🔒 (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial).
Smart money flows since the Morning Capsule are 🔒.
Short squeeze money flows are 🔒.
A Special Note To New Subscribers
Note the smart money behavior. Smart money tends to sell into strength on strong up days.
New subscribers should consider adopting smart money’s way of investing and trading.
Sentiment
Sentiment is 🔒.
Sentiment is a contrary indicator at extremes. In plain English, this means that when sentiment becomes extremely positive it is time to sell and when sentiment becomes extremely negative it is time to buy.
Close
There appear to be buy on close orders.
There is merit to watching the pattern of market on close orders as they represent the day’s dominant net cumulative activity by many professionals and funds.
Gold
The momo crowd money flows in gold are 🔒 since the Morning Capsule.
Smart money flows are 🔒 in gold since the Morning Capsule.
Oil
The momo crowd money flows in oil are 🔒 since the Morning Capsule.
Smart money flows in oil are 🔒since the Morning Capsule.
Buy Zones And Buy Now Ratings
🔒
Nibbling
🔒
This post was published yesterday in The Arora Report paid services. Since then the Morning Capsule has had an update in the paid services.
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Nigam Arora
Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.
Dr. Natasha Arora
Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.
