By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora
Mp Materials Corp (MP) is a rare earth miner. China is the world’s dominant rare earths producer. In the past, China had been threatening to withhold supplies of rare earths from the United States. Rare earths are important for applications such as electric vehicles and defense. Now that the US has given everything China wanted without getting anything substantial in return, China should not have any incentive not to make money by not selling rare earths to the US anymore.
All the foregoing assumes that the US and China will strike a permanent deal in the next 90 days.
Risk
In the past, China had been working hard to drive MP out of business. Now that China has gained a dominant position over the US in trade negotiations, there is a fair probability that China will try to drive MP out of business again.
What To Do Now
Consider partial exit or full exit based on personal preference.
The reason for holding a small quantity is just in case China and the US do not strike a deal in the next 90 days.
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Nigam Arora
Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Dr. Natasha Arora
Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.