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FED MINUTES INDICATE CAUTION IS WARRANTED BY PRUDENT INVESTORS

August 18, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know now. Fed Minutes Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart indicates when the Fed minutes were released. The Fed minutes indicate caution is warranted by prudent investors. Here are the key points: The Fed is going to follow the data. At some point, the Fed may slow the pace of rate increases to allow time to assess the effects of previous increases as the data

DATA FROM UK SPOILS MOMO STOCK MARKET PARTY, FED MINUTES AHEAD

August 17, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. UK Data Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: Momo gurus’ job is to persuade their followers to buy stocks, and the momo crowd professes to know that the stock market is going much higher. They have no real use for data, especially data from overseas. However, the momo crowd faces a problem – there is smart money and other groups in the stock market that

THE REACTION TO WALMART EARNINGS SUMS UP THE STATE OF THE STOCK MARKET

August 16, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. The State Of The Market Please click here for a chart of Walmart (WMT) Note the following: The Morning Capsule is about the big picture and not about an individual stock. Walmart stock is being used as an example to illustrate the bigger point about the state of the stock market. Early this morning stock futures were down. Then Walmart reported earnings and stock futures ran up. The chart shows gap downs in Walmart stock when it lowered its projections in May and

INVESTORS PAY ATTENTION TO ALARMING DATA FROM CHINA – OIL FALLS ON GLOBAL RECESSION FEARS

August 15, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Alarming New Data Please click here for a chart of oil ETF (USO). Note the following: Prudent stock market investors need to pay attention to the alarming data from China. It is perfectly fine to join the momo crowd for short term trades as long as you take the additional step of tight risk controls, but it can be disastrous for the long term investor to join the momo crowd in ignoring the data from overseas. The world is interconnected. The US stock

WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: MOMO CROWD BUYING STOCKS AND FIGHTING THE FED AGAINST THE AGE OLD WISDOM

August 13, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report. Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’ A POTENTIAL SHOOTING STAR PATTERN, BUT FINANCIAL CONDITIONS EASE August 12, 2022 To gain an edge,

CPI AND PPI RALLY TEMPORARILY LOSING STEAM ON NET SUPPLY OF STOCKS

August 12, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know now. Net Supply Of Stocks Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ). Note the following: In the Morning Capsule we wrote, The chart shows that RSI is overbought and beginning to roll over. This indicates that the rally is overdone. The chart shows the follow through rally from yesterday into the pre market. The chart shows the PPI release added more fuel to the rally. Please read the Morning Capsule for details of PPI. The VUD indicator is the most

PRODUCER PRICES DECLINE – FED NOT YET BUCKLING

August 11, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Producer Price Index Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: One day after better than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI) is also softer than expected. Investors should ignore year over year numbers and instead focus on month over month numbers. To be successful, investors should not get caught up in their viewpoint. More importantly, they should not justify their viewpoint by picking

GOOD NEWS ON INFLATION, BUT FED MAY NOT BUCKLE

August 10, 2022

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Good News Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: There is good news on inflation. Here are the details of the CPI data: July CPI came at 0.0% vs. 0.2% consensus month over month. Core CPI came at 0.3% vs. 0.5% consensus month over month. CPI rose 8.5% in July year over year. Investors should focus on month over month numbers and not on year over