By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora
Upside
The upside in TSLA stock will likely come from robotaxis and humanoid robots.
Tesla previously announced plans to introduce robotaxis in Austin, Texas by June 2025.
The news is Tesla has filed for a permit in California, indicating Tesla plans to introduce robotaxis in California.
Downside
The downside in TSLA stock is two-fold:
- Tesla CEO Elon Musk is distracted. In addition to running other companies, he is now leading President Trump’s DOGE.
- Tesla’s EV business is in trouble. This was exemplified in the last earnings report.
Probability Adjusted Risk Reward Ratio
At this time, the probability adjusted risk reward ratio for TSLA stock is positive.
Portfolio Approach
Due to the very high risk associated with TSLA stock, those considering buying TSLA now may want to consider taking a portfolio approach. Here are the three most important parts of the portfolio approach:
- Make sure TSLA is a very, very small part of your portfolio.
- Evaluate the total quantity held of high risk high reward positions.
- Review your portfolio in the context of the protection band.
Zones
This is suitable only for super aggressive investors. TSLA requires a very wide buy zone.
For those following the Good Way, the Buy Now rating is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial).
For those following the Best Way, the buy zone to scale in is $*** – $***.
The maximum recommended quantity is ***.
The target zone is $683 – $712.
This is a very long term, strategic position.
The Plan
The plan will be to accumulate more if TSLA stock goes lower and there are no new negative developments.
What To Do Now
Those in the stock may consider continuing to hold.
Those not in the stock may consider following the parameters given above.
Note: Signal(s) to enter, add, reduce, exit, hold or change.
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Nigam Arora
Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.
Dr. Natasha Arora
Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.
