Would you have liked a sell signal one day before the market topped?  Those with portfolios heavy in momentum stocks and some options have lost 50 – 70% of their portfolios since the top.  Those with portfolios mostly in near-term options have lost 90%.

In terms of dollars, how much difference would it have made to you if you  had a sell signal one day before the market topped?

The Arora Report subscribers received a sell signal on February 11, 2021, one day before the market topped.

The Chart

Please  click here for an annotated chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Note the following:

  • The chart shows the Arora signal to take partial profits and increase protection was given one day prior to the market top before a significant dip.  Predicting markets is tough and very few have a great long term success record.  We are humbled at The Arora Report to have provided the most accurate analysis for the last 14 years in a row.  Nonetheless, it is very important for investors to know that the nature of the market is such that we may be wrong in the future and investors need to take that into account.
  • On February 11, the headline read,

SIGNAL: TAKE AT LEAST PARTIAL PROFITS IN THE PORTFOLIO THAT SURROUNDS THE CORE MODEL PORTFOLIO

  • We wrote,

It is time to take more partial profits or full profits depending upon individual situations.

It is imperative to take more partial profits on the stocks that are based on the momo strategy.

  • Regarding protection, our call was,

At this point, protection bands are not being changed but consider moving up in the protection band range.

  • There are always crosscurrents in the markets – both bullish and bearish.  It is important for investors to analyze all important cross currents and not get locked in one opinion.
  • The chart shows that the trendline is decisively broken.  This is a negative.

What To Do Now

There is money to be made but there are risks.  Which stocks or ETFs should you be buying? Which stocks or ETFs should you be selling?  How much cash should you hold?  How much in hedges should you hold?

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