By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora
Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.
Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’
RAISE CASH AND HEDGES, SELLING IN APPLE, AMAZON, NVIDIA, AND TESLA – WEAK JOBS REPORT
Aug 2, 2024
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Raise Cash And Hedges
Consider slowly raising cash and hedges. It is especially important to hedge AI and tech stocks. In addition to overall hedges, there are existing additional hedges on positions such as GOOG, MU, AAPL, NVDA, META, AMAT, QCOM, NXPI, AMZN, and MSFT.
Technology stocks and ETFs are very oversold. Oversold markets tend to bounce. The appropriate time to raise cash and increase hedges is on bounces – it should be done slowly.
Please scroll down to see the “Protection Band And What To Do Now” section. There will also be a separate post on hedges.
Weak Jobs Report
Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
- The chart shows that the stock market is falling after the release of the jobs report.
- The chart shows that the stock market is approaching the top band of the support zone.
- RSI on the chart shows that the stock market is oversold. Oversold markets tend to bounce.
- Going into the jobs report, stock futures were down with intense selling in Nasdaq futures.
- More intense selling came in after the release of the jobs report.
- The jobs report shows that the employment picture has unexpectedly worsened. Here are the details of the jobs report:
- Nonfarm payrolls came at 114K vs. 170K consensus.
- Nonfarm private payrolls came at 97K vs. 153K consensus.
- Average hourly earnings came at 0.2% vs. 0.3% consensus.
- Average work week came at 34.2 hours vs. 34.3 hours consensus.
- Unemployment rate came at 4.3% vs. 4.1% consensus.
- We shared with you yesterday that initial jobless claims were rising. Initial jobless claims is a leading indicator and carries heavy weight in the highly successful adaptive ZYX Asset Allocation Model with inputs in ten categories.
- We also shared with you yesterday that the ISM data was very weak. Please read yesterday’s Afternoon Capsule for details.
- In The Arora Report analysis, taken together, the foregoing raises the specter of stagflation. Stagflation is an enemy of the stock market. For those wanting next level information and to know how to examine your portfolio in the event of stagflation developing, listen to the podcast series in Arora Ambassador Club.
- Momo gurus persuaded their followers to aggressively buy stocks because they claimed they knew there would either be a soft landing or no landing. The latest data shows that there is a fair probability of a hard landing. Momo gurus being wrong is nothing new. Here is the key question for prudent investors: Will the momo crowd continue to follow momo gurus who are consistently wrong and risk more capital by continuing to aggressively buy stocks? The answer to this question will in large part determine the direction of the stock market over the next few weeks.
- In The Arora Report analysis, the rise in the Japanese yen is also partly responsible for selling in the stock market. As we previously shared with you, many funds have borrowed in yen and invested in the U.S. stock market.
- Earnings from Amazon (AMZN) and Intel (INTC) were below consensus and whisper numbers. This is contributing to selling pressure on the stock market.
- Apple (AAPL) earnings are better than the consensus and whisper numbers. However, business is poor in China and the growth rate given in the conference call for the current quarter was disappointing.
- As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
Magnificent Seven Money Flows
In the early trade, money flows are negative in AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks
The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** stocks in the early trade.
Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.
Gold
Gold futures have jumped over $2500 after the weak jobs report.
The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
Oil
Oil is being sold on the prospect of a weaker U.S. economy in spite of the risk of a wider war erupting in the Middle East over the weekend.
The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.
Markets
Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.
Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.
The dollar is weaker.
Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.
Gold futures are at $2519, silver futures are at $29.27, and oil futures are at $74.80.
S&P 500 futures are trading at 5396 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 5500,5622, and 5748: support levels are 5256, 5210, and 5020.
DJIA futures are down 401 points.
Protection Band And What To Do Now
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash or Treasury bills or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
Traditional 60/40 Portfolio
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
META SUCCEEDS AT ACHIEVING PAYOUT FROM AI BUT MICROSOFT AND GOOGLE STRUGGLE – NVIDIA BENEFITS
Aug 1, 2024
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Monetizing AI
Please click here for a chart of Meta stock (META).
Note the following:
- The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of META stock is being used to illustrate the point.
- The chart shows the move up in META stock on earnings.
- The chart shows that as of this writing, the stock is trading above the top band of the support/resistance zone.
- RSI on the chart shows that there is more room for the stock to run.
- The resistance zone shown on the chart shows that if the stock runs from here, there is not far to go before selling may come in.
- Can companies monetize large capital expenditures on AI? This has been a key question for investors.
- META shows that it is successfully monetizing AI.
- Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOG) earnings showed that they are having difficulty monetizing AI.
- Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) will report earnings after the close. Prudent investors should carefully watch and see if Amazon and Apple are able to monetize AI.
- As a result of being able to successfully monetize AI, META reported strong earnings. Here are the key points:
- Earnings were better than the consensus and whisper numbers. Stocks move based on the difference between whisper numbers and the reported numbers. Whisper numbers are the numbers that analysts privately share with their best clients. Whisper numbers are often different from the publicly available numbers published by the same analysts.
- Revenues were up 22%.
- Earnings were up 73%.
- Meta is angling to make Meta AI the most used AI assistant by the end of the year.
- New AI based tools increased return on investment on advertisements by 22%.
- Meta is planning to spend $37B – $40B in capital expenditure this year vs. $35B – $40B prior.
- A capital spend of $37B means Meta is spending about 23% of its revenues on capital spend, most of which is on AI.
- META is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio. META is long from $49.92. Long time members have a gain of 928%. The Arora Report has just published a new signal on META for those not already holding META stock.
- Previously Microsoft indicated that in spite of slowing Azure growth it would continue to spend heavily on AI.
- The big beneficiary of all of this AI spend continues to be Nvidia (NVDA). Nvidia has just added over $300B in market cap in one day.
- Earnings from AMD (AMD) show that AMD is also making inroads.
- Of note is that ARM (ARM) which controls about 99% of the CPU designs for mobile phones is now striving to become an AI company. ARM gave a tepid forecast. ARM stock is falling. Also, Qualcomm (QCOM) gave a tepid forecast about smartphones.
- Jobless claims are increasing, indicating that the jobs picture is beginning to weaken. Jobless claims came at 249K vs. 233K consensus.
- Q2 Productivity – Preliminary came at 2.3% vs. 1.6% consensus.
- Unit labor costs have dramatically improved. This is good news for lower inflation. Unit Labor Costs – Preliminary came at 0.9% vs. 1.7% consensus.
- As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
England
Bank of England cut its interest rate to 5%. This is the first rate cut in over four years. England tends to precede the U.S.
Middle East
Iran has reportedly issued orders to strike Israel in retaliation for killing a Hamas leader on its soil.
- On the prospect of a wider war, money is flowing into gold and oil.
Magnificent Seven Money Flows
In the early trade, money flows are positive in AAPL, AMZN, META, MSFT, and NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in GOOG.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Tesla (TSLA).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks
The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.
Gold
Gold futures are approaching the psychologically important level of $2500.
The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
Oil
The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
Bitcoin
It appears that bitcoin whales used the strength generated by Trump’s plan to drive bitcoin (BTC.USD) to the moon to unload bitcoin to retail investors. To fully understand what is going on it bitcoin, listen to the three part podcast series titled “WHALES’ SECRETS YOU NEED TO KNOW: CAPTURING BITCOIN PROFITS” and the podcast titled “PROFITING FROM TRUMP DRIVING BITCOIN TO THE MOON.”
Markets
Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.
Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are tickling up.
The dollar is stronger.
Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.
Gold futures are at $2494, silver futures are at $29.11, and oil futures are at $78.20.
S&P 500 futures are trading at 5581 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 5622, 5748, and 5926: support levels are 5500, 5400, and 5256.
DJIA futures are up 37 points.
OVERSOLD CONDITION AND CHINA LOOPHOLE OVERPOWER MICROSOFT MISS AND JAPAN RATE HIKE
Jul 31, 2024
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Bounce From Oversold
Please click here for a chart of Microsoft stock (MSFT).
Note the following:
- The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MSFT stock is being used to illustrate the point.
- The chart shows the drop in Microsoft stock after reporting earnings. The drop was due to Azure growth coming less than expected. Azure grew by 29% vs. 30% consensus and 31% whisper numbers. On the surface 1% – 2% may not seem important until attention is paid to Microsoft’s valuation which is priced for perfection.
- The chart shows at 6pm yesterday, Nasdaq futures jumped, carrying MSFT and other stocks higher with them.
- We previously shared with you that tech stocks were oversold. Since 6pm yesterday, Nasdaq futures are on a tremendous run.
- In The Arora Report analysis, the strong bounce in Nasdaq futures is simply the result of oversold conditions and China loophole report.
- There is a China loophole report stating that the Biden administration is about the exempt the Netherlands, South Korea, and Japan from new export restrictions to China.
- In The Arora Report analysis, such a move will be a serious error in judgment. The reason is that the advanced equipment China needs to leapfrog the U.S. in semiconductors is made by ASML (ASML) in the Netherlands and Tokyo Electron in Japan.
- In The Arora Report analysis, there is a fair probability that the report is not truly as it seems and may simply be a manipulation by large funds who bought semiconductors near the highs and are now sitting on large losses to run up semiconductors so they can exit with smaller losses.
- The Bank of Japan finally hiked its interest rate. Yen is stronger. There is a position in yen ETF FYX in the ZYX Allocation Model Portfolio.
- For the time being, the power of the technical rally from oversold conditions and China loophole is overpowering the negative from Microsoft earnings and Bank of Japan’s rate hike.
- Also helping the market are two pieces of data:
- Employment Cost Index came at 0.9% vs. 1.0% consensus.
- ADP Employment Change came at 122K vs. 160K consensus.
- The market is looking at the foregoing weaker data as a positive for the Fed to cut interest rates.
- FOMC will make its policy announcement at 2pm ET followed by Powell’s press conference at 2:30pm ET.
- The consensus is that the Fed will leave rates unchanged but give indication of a rate cut in September.
- The options market is pricing in a 2+% move in the market after the Fed announcement.
- In The Arora Report analysis, the risk of the move is to both sides, even though on the surface it appears that the move should be to the upside. The reason for a potential downside move is that the market has been expecting the Fed to indicate a rate cut ever since November 2023 when Powell prematurely said rate cuts were coming. Now, there may be a ‘sell the news’ reaction.
- Among notable earnings, TMUS, DD, and AMD reported strong earnings. TMUS is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio. DD is in the portfolio that surrounds the Core Model Portfolio. A signal has just been given in ZYX Buy on AMD.
- BA has a new CEO. It is an important development due to the importance of BA to the U.S. economy. BA is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio.
- As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
Magnificent Seven Money Flows
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in MSFT.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks
The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.
Gold
The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
Oil
Israel has killed a Hamas leader on Iranian soil. There is potential for escalation. For this reason, oil is going higher.
API crude inventories came at a draw of 4.495M barrels.
The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.
Markets
Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.
Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.
The dollar is weaker.
Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.
Gold futures are at $2464, silver futures are at $28.76, and oil futures are at $77.11.
S&P 500 futures are trading at 5543 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 5622, 5748, and 5926: support levels are 5500, 5400, and 5256.
DJIA futures are up 84 points.
ALL EYES ON MICROSOFT, THE FED MEETING BEGINS, VENEZUELA FRAUD
Jul 30, 2024
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
All Eyes On Microsoft
Please click here for a chart of Microsoft stock (MSFT).
Note the following:
- The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MSFT stock is being used to illustrate the point.
- The chart shows that MSFT stock has given up all of its gains since the breakout.
- The chart shows that MSFT is now back to the top band of the support zone.
- RSI on the chart shows that MSFT stock is now technically oversold and can easily bounce if earnings are better than expected.
- The chart shows the power of Arora buy zones. The chart shows that MSFT stock dipped into the Arora buy zone just before the last major leg up. A new Arora buy zone may be given after the earnings, if appropriate.
- Microsoft will report earnings after the close today. MSFT stock has run up on AI frenzy. In The Arora Report analysis, investors should focus on the following in Microsoft’s earnings and conference call:
- Azure growth in the last quarter
- Projected Azure growth in the current quarter
- Projected Azure growth for the year
- Monetization of Copilot
- AI related capital expenditures and what will be the return on those expenditures
- Of course, as usual, The Arora Report will be analyzing the data and publishing signals as appropriate.
- MSFT stock is in the ZYX Buy Model Portfolio from The Arora Report. Members of The Arora Report have large unrealized gains.
- In The Arora Report analysis, Microsoft earnings will be the major determinant of the AI trade. Technicals are set up for AI stocks to stage a rally from here. However, it will take better than expected earnings from Microsoft to trigger the rally. If Microsoft earnings are disappointing, it does not automatically mean another leg down in AI stocks as investors will wait for earnings from Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN), and Apple (AAPL).
- The FOMC meeting is starting today. FOMC will announce it’s decision at 2pm ET tomorrow followed by Powell’s press conference at 2:30pm ET.
- The Bank of Japan is also meeting. More important than the Fed decision is the Bank of Japan’s decision as the Bank of Japan’s decision has major implications for U.S. stocks.
- JOLTS job openings and consumer confidence will both be released at 10am ET and may be market moving.
- As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
Magnificent Seven Money Flows
In the early trade, money flows are positive in AAPL, AMZN, and Alphabet (GOOG).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in META, NVDA, and MSFT.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Tesla (TSLA).
In the early trade, money flows are mixed in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks
The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.
Gold
The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
Oil
Oil prices are falling on reduced Chinese demand. On the flip side, the U.S. may impose tighter sanctions on Venezuela after allegations of fraud in the election. If such sanctions are imposed, it will lower oil supply.
The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
Bitcoin
There is some disappointment among bitcoin (BTC.USD) bulls as they were expecting bitcoin to breakout after Trump’s plan to drive bitcoin to the moon. Instead of breaking out, bitcoin appears to be seeing money outflows. So far, there is not clear evidence that bitcoin whales have been selling and taking advantage of excitement by retail investors. However, whales are very good at hiding their selling activity.
Markets
Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.
Interest rates and bonds are range bound.
The dollar is stronger.
Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.
Gold futures are at $2432, silver futures are at $27.98, and oil futures are at $75.14.
S&P 500 futures are trading at 5513 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 5622, 5748, and 5926: support levels are 5500, 5400, and 5256.
DJIA futures are down 39 points.
SMALL CAPS BEAT NVIDIA, AMAZON, AND TESLA; PROFITING FROM TRUMP’S PLAN TO DRIVE BITCOIN TO THE MOON
Jul 29, 2024
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Bitcoin To The Moon
Please click here for a chart comparing small cap ETF (IWM) to the Magnificent Seven stocks Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA).
Note the following:
- The chart shows that small cap ETF (IWM) has beaten all seven of the Magnificent Seven stocks by a large margin.
- IWM has beaten AI king NVDA by 19.51%.
- IWM has beaten AMZN by 20.43%.
- IWM has beaten TSLA by 16.64%.
- IWM is the ZYX Allocation Model Portfolio.
- Here are the reasons small caps have beaten the Magnificent Seven.
- Many hedge funds have been short IWM. A short squeeze has exaggerated the move.
- Trump’s policies will be good for small cpas. Small caps have been boosted by Trump becoming the front runner.
- Small caps borrow heavily. A rate cut will benefit small caps.
- There is a rotation going on in which money is flowing out of the Magnificent Seven stocks and into small caps.
- The Arora Report has been bullish on small caps. However, after this large move, it is time for caution. The reason is that so far small cap earnings have not kept up with earnings from the Magnificent Seven. Many earnings are still ahead in this earnings season. These earnings will provide a clearer picture. After more information on earnings, a new buy zone and a new Buy Now rating may be given on IWM.
- Among the Magnificent Seven stock, TSLA and GOOG have already reported worse than expected earnings. Earnings are ahead this week from Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Meta (META).
- We have been sharing with you that Trump could propose setting up a national strategic bitcoin reserve. This is exactly what Trump did in his speech in Nashville on Saturday. Trump’s conversion from calling bitcoin a scam to a plan to drive bitcoin to the moon is complete.
- There is significant enthusiasm among bitcoin bulls as setting up a U.S. national strategic reserve for bitcoin will legitimize bitcoin. Bitcoin is seeing very positive money flows.
- Bitcoin is approaching a resistance zone. The resistance zone is $71,000 – $74,000.
- Investors should also be prepared for a potential ‘sell the news’ reaction as bitcoin approaches the resistance zone.
- Opinions on bitcoin dramatically vary. A large number of investors believe bitcoin is a scam, while others are all in on bitcoin going to the moon. Irrepsecitive of your opinion of bitcoin, money is to be made in bitcoin on both the long and short sides. For those wanting to make money from bitcoin, it is extremely important to know the 22 secrets of bitcoin whales. For those seeking next level information, a new podcast titled “Profiting From Trump Driving Bitcoin To The Moon” is in post production. The podcast will be available in Arora Ambassador Club. A three part podcast series sharing with you the 22 secrets of bitcoin whales is already available. To get on the waitlist to join Arora Ambassador Club, please click here to fill out the form below.
- Investors should watch for an expansion of war in Northern Israel and Lebanon.
- As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
Magnificent Seven Money Flows
In the early trade, money flows are positive in AMZN, NVDA, MSFT, GOOG, META, and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in AAPL.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks
The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.
Gold
The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
Oil
The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing aggressive buying.
Markets
Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.
Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.
The dollar is stronger.
Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.
Gold futures are at $2391, silver futures are at $28.17, and oil futures are at $77.08.
S&P 500 futures are trading at 5515 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 5622, 5748, and 5926: support levels are 5500, 5400, and 5256.
DJIA futures are up 54 points.
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Nigam Arora
Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.
Dr. Natasha Arora
Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.