By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report. 

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

HAWKISH FED RATE CUT AHEAD, BOLD AI PREDICTION FOR 2027

Dec 13, 2024

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Hawkish Fed Cut

Please click here for a chart of 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT).

Note the following:

• The chart shows when the Fed cut interest rates by 50 bps in September. At that time, everyone was expecting bonds to go up.
• The chart shows that The Arora Report made a contrary call that bonds would fall.
• The chart shows that the Fed rate cut in September was the peak, and bonds have been falling ever since.  The Arora Report contrary call has proven spot on.
• The chart shows that the recent rally led bonds to go above the resistance zone.  The rally was the result of Powell and Fed officials giving lip service to the data, implying that they would cut rates in spite of the data.
• The chart shows that the latest rally failed.
• The chart shows that after stronger than expected Producer Price Index (PPI) yesterday, bonds have fallen below the low band of the bottom resistance zone.
• RSI on the chart shows that bonds are now oversold and can rally.  However, in The Arora Report analysis, the probability at this time is high that any rally will fail.
• In The Arora Report analysis, the data against a rate cut is so strong that the Fed cannot ignore it, but the Fed wants to cut rates in spite of the data.
• In The Arora Report analysis, the Fed’s solution will most likely be a hawkish rate cut.  In plain English, a hawkish rate cut means the Fed will cut rates and will accompany it with a hawkish statement.
• In The Arora Report analysis, after the upcoming rate cut, the Fed is likely to slow down the pace of rate cuts.
• Unlike the bond market, the stock market is excited about the upcoming rate cut.  The stock market is not looking beyond this month.  The reason is that unlike the bond market, the stock market is dominated by the momo crowd.  The momo crowd does not look far ahead.
• As we have been writing, the stock market is also driven by lagging money managers aggressively buying, chasing the market to make their bonuses.
• In the stock market, yesterday was the ninth consecutive day of negative breadth.  Negative breadth simply means that more stocks were down than up.  The last time nine consecutive days of negative breadth occurred, it was over 20 years ago.  
• The negative breadth indicates that although indexes are holding up due to excitement over the upcoming rate cut and lagging money managers chasing the market, substantial selling is occurring underneath the indexes.
• In the early trade, there is aggressive buying in stocks, especially semiconductor stocks.  The aggressive buying in semiconductor stocks is driven by a bold prediction by Broadcom’s (AVGO) CEO Hock Tan.  Tan is predicting that the AI accelerator and networking market in 2027 will rise to $60B – $90B.  For the time being, the stock market is ignoring that Apple (AAPL) is getting close to replacing Bluetooth and Wi-Fi chips provided by Broadcom with in-house chips.
• As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

China

Investors are disappointed after China’s Central Economic Work Conference lacked details of a stimulus plan.  Chinese stocks are falling.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in AAPL, Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Alphabet (GOOG) and Meta (META).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  Remember today is a Friday, and short squeezes tend to occur on Fridays.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6082 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131 and 6256 : support levels are 6017, 5926, and 5748.

DJIA futures are up 9 points.

Gold futures are at $2681, silver futures are at $31.02, and oil futures are at $70.32.

Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.  The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.  The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.  The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.  If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.  A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.  When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.  High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.  Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

HOT INFLATION DATA BUT FED LIKELY TO IGNORE IT, MUSK BECOMES FIRST $400 BILLION MAN

Dec 12, 2024

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Hotter Inflation

Please click here for a chart of Tesla stock (TSLA).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of TSLA stock is being used to illustrate the point.
• The chart shows the run up in TSLA stock.
• The chart shows the Arora buy signal after the election.  As of this writing, there is 50% gain in about five weeks from the Arora buy signal in TSLA.
• RSI on the chart shows TSLA stock is overbought.  Overbought stocks are susceptible to a pullback.
• The chart shows the nearest support zone.
• TSLA stock has added $515B in value since Trump’s election.  The valuation of Tesla and SpaceX have been rising on the belief that Musk’s close association with Trump will help his businesses.   The rally in TSLA stock, along with the rising valuation of SpaceX, has made Elon Musk the first man ever to have a net worth of $400B.
• The move yesterday in TSLA stock was initially triggered by General Motors’s (GM) decision to stop development of robotaxis.  The buying in TSLA stock on the GM news caused TSLA to breakout above the prior high.  This brought in technically oriented buyers who buy the breakouts.  The prior high was $414.49 on November 4, 2021.
• After yesterday’s sticky Consumer Price Index data that was not worse than expected, the market was certain the Fed will cut interest rates, so investors aggressively bought big tech stocks.  Lower interest rates are good for big tech.  For those wanting a next level understanding, listen to the podcasts in Arora Ambassador Club.
• Producer Price Index (PPI) data came hotter than expected.  Here are the details:
  • Headline PPI came at 0.4% vs. 0.3% consensus.
  • Core PPI came at 0.2% vs. 0.2% consensus.
• The reaction to PPI data is slight selling in stocks, bonds, and gold.
• In The Arora Report analysis, the Fed is likely to ignore the hotter producer inflation data and cut interest rates next week.  
• Initial jobless claims came at 242K vs. 220K consensus.  In The Arora Report analysis, the Fed can use this data as an excuse to cut interest rates given the Fed’s dual mandate. 
• To understand extreme positive sentiment right now, all a prudent investor needs to do is look at the valuation of Fartcoin (FARTCOIN).  Fartcoin is now worth $500M.  What makes Fartcoin so valuable? It produces a digital fart sound on each transaction.
• The positive sentiment is being enhanced this morning as President-elect Trump is going to ring the opening bell at the New York Stock Exchange.
• As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Switzerland

The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates by 50 bps, which was more than expected.  This is the largest cut in nearly a decade.

Europe

The European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates by 25 bps as expected.

Rate cuts in Europe influence the Fed to also cut interest rates.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is ***  stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is above $100,000.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is range bound.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6078 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131 and 6256: support levels are 6017, 5926, and 5748.

DJIA futures are down 47 points.

Gold futures are at $2729, silver futures are at $32.60, and oil futures are at $70.31.

RELIEF RALLY ON STICKY INFLATION DATA AS RATE CUT HOPIUM BUILDS

Dec 11, 2024

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Sticky Inflation

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

• The chart shows buying in the early trade in a relief rally on sticky inflation data.
• RSI on the chart shows that momentum is waning and the stock market can go either way from here.   In The Arora Report analysis, RSI behavior is explained by recognition among some investors that the election euphoria is overdone.
• The chart shows that volume continues to be low.  The correct interpretation is that there are very few sellers.
• Core inflation data at the consumer level came inline with expectations but shows inflation is sticky.  Here are the details:
  • Headline CPI (Consumer Price Index) came at 0.3% vs. 0.3% consensus.
  • Core CPI came at 0.3% vs. 0.3% consensus.
• Prudent investors need to pay attention to the fact that inflation at 0.3% per month is 3.6% annualized, which is well above the Fed’s 2% target.
• Hopium is building that the Fed will cut interest rates next week.  However, the just released data does not support a rate cut.
• Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET.  The inflation data may be market moving.
• As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

China

The rally in Chinese stocks is fading.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

API crude inventories came at a build of 0.499M barrels vs. a consensus of a draw of 1.3M barrels.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is range bound.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6072 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131 and 6256: support levels are 6017, 5926, and 5748.

DJIA futures are up 84 points.

Gold futures are at $2734, silver futures are at $32.58, and oil futures are at $69.37.

QUANTUM ADVANCE THROWS MONKEY WRENCH IN THE PLAN TO TRANSFER MONEY FROM TAXPAYERS TO BITCOIN HOLDERS

Dec 10, 2024

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Quantum Risk To Bitcoin

Please click here for a chart of bitcoin (BTC.USD). 

Note the following:

• Expectations were for bitcoin to move to $125,000 after it crossed $100,000.  Instead the chart shows a big red candle and bitcoin falling below $100,000.  The trigger for the fall was two fold:
  • Developments in Syria.  Please see yesterday’s Morning Capsule for details.  Even though bitcoin promoters claim vigorously that bitcoin is a hedge against geopolitics, the hard data is that bitcoin is not a hedge and is negatively impacted by geopolitics.  This is exactly the opposite of how gold behaves.  Gold is a hedge.  It reacts positively to geopolitical risk.  
  • A major advance in quantum computing
• The major advance in quantum computing is best described in Google CEO Sundar Pichai’s words.  Pichai said, “Introducing Willow, our new state-of-the-art quantum computing chip with a breakthrough that can reduce errors exponentially as we scale up using more qubits, cracking a 30-year challenge in the field. In benchmark tests, Willow solved a standard computation in <5 mins that would take a leading supercomputer over 10^25 years, far beyond the age of the universe(!).”
• At The Arora Report, we have long known and previously conveyed that advances in quantum computing are a risk to bitcoin.  In plain English, without getting into the weeds, given enough computing power, bitcoin security can be broken to steal bitcoins.  Yesterday, it appears that some bitcoin whales sold bitcoin to unsuspecting retail investors on the news of the advance in quantum computing.
  • With one notable exception, bitcoin whales appear to have been systematically engaged in slowly converting their bitcoins to dollars because they understand the long term risks.  For this reason, yesterday’s move was inline with their pattern of selling bitcoin into the strength.  
  • In contrast to bitcoin whales, the higher bitcoin goes, the more aggressive retail buyers become.  The reason is that retail buyers are primarily driven by momentum, do not take risks into account, and have drunk the Kool Aid of bitcoin promoters.  
• In The Arora Report analysis, bitcoin is safe for now.  Even the best quantum computers do not have the capability anywhere near what is needed to break bitcoin security. 
• For most bitcoin retail investors, it is good enough that bitcoin is safe for now.  However, prudent investors should ask how long bitcoin is safe. In The Arora Report analysis, there is a high probability that bitcoin is safe for the next three to seven years.  
• There is time for several steps to be taken to attempt to quantum-proof bitcoin.  However, such steps will be disruptive and may not be entirely successful.  
• Quantum computing also poses a risk to online banking and other internet transactions.  
• Prudent investors need to know that a fierce battle is raging to advance quantum computing.  In the battle, the U.S. is on one side, and China and Russia are on the other side.  Typically, quantum computing advancements in the U.S. are highly publicized.  However, it appears that advancements in China and Russia are kept secret for national security reasons.
• Thinking clearly and objectively about it, with enough information, you will readily conclude that the proposed plan for the U.S. government to buy bitcoins will effectively transfer money from U.S. taxpayers to bitcoin holders, including those in Russia and China.  For those wanting to develop a further understanding, listen to the podcast titled “OUT OF THIS WORLD BITCOIN PLAN EMERGES.”
• Imagine a nightmare scenario where money is transferred from U.S. taxpayers to bitcoin holders.  China and Russia make rapid breakthroughs in quantum computing.  Chinese and Russian state actors steal bitcoin bought by the U.S. government.      
• In spite of the foregoing, money is to be made in bitcoin.  Stay alert by staying tuned to the Morning Capsules and listening to podcasts in Arora Ambassador Club.  Also, it is imperative to have appropriate risk control measures in place.  For risk control measures, please see the Trade Management Guidelines.  
• Regarding the stock market, the breadth in the S&P 500 has been negative for six days. This is the longest stretch of negative breadth since December 2018.  In December 2018, the Fed was beginning to raise rates, and the stock market was falling.  The stock market’s fall was subsequently arrested when Powell’s spine weakened due to Trump’s criticism, and Powell reversed the policy to comply with Trump’s wishes.  
• In The Arora Report analysis, the negative breadth is the result of money flowing out of stocks into cryptos.
• In The Arora Report analysis, in the longer term, stock investors need to be concerned that Trump’s administration’s free reign crypto policies may result in money moving out of productive assets such as stocks and into cryptos.  Change often has unintended consequences.  
• As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in  Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN) and Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Microsoft (MSFT). 

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** gold in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is under $100,000.  See above for the latest developments.  

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6069 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131 and 6256: support levels are 6017, 5926, and 5748.

DJIA futures are down 68 points.

Gold futures are at $2704, silver futures are at $32.63, and oil futures are at $68.52.

POWER VACUUM IN SYRIA INCREASES GEOPOLITICAL INSTABILITY, CHINA INVESTIGATING NVIDIA

Dec 9, 2024

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Turkey Is Biggest Winner

Please click here for a chart of Turkey ETF (TUR).

Note the following:

•  In Syria, the regime of Bashar al-Assad has fallen after a lightning fast advance by rebels over 11 days. Bashar al-Assad’s father Hafez al-Assad seized power in a military coup in November 1970.  In a stunning development, the 54-year al-Assad rule of Syria has ended. Bashar al-Assad has been granted asylum in Russia.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s (HTS), the rebel group that captured Syria’s capital Damascus, origin goes back to al-Qaeda.  This group was essentially the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda.  HTS is trying to rebrand itself with assurance to minorities and has so far, not engaged in violence.  However, in The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should be aware that this is a rigid Islamist group that had once vowed to impose Sharia law.  
• In The Arora Report analysis, there is a power vacuum in Syria.  The danger is the establishment of an Islamic caliphate.
• In The Arora Report analysis, the biggest winner from the situation in Syria is Turkey.
• The chart shows stocks in Turkey are up.  Foreign money is flowing into Turkish stocks this morning.  
• The chart shows that Turkey ETF TUR is now at the top band of the resistance zone.
• As clarity develops, there may be an opportunity in Turkey.  ZYX Emerging has continuously followed Turkey for 17 years.
• Turkey is a member of NATO, but is also closely aligned with Russia.  Turkey has also been a big supporter of Hamas in Gaza.
• The U.S. relationship with Turkey lately has been tense.  Now, Turkey will have more leverage against both the U.S. and Russia.
• The U.S. has about 900 troops in Syria.  The U.S. is conducting airstrikes against ISIS targets in Syria to prevent ISIS from gaining power.   Yesterday, the U.S. conducted 75 airstrikes in Syria.
• The biggest losers are Iran, Russia, and Hezbollah.  Russia has a naval base and an air base in Syria.  The Russian naval base in Syria is Russia’s only warm water naval base.
• Due to the prospects of instability, investors are buying gold, silver, and oil.  Investors are selling bitcoin and other cryptos.  This again shows that bitcoin and cryptos are not a hedge against global instability.
• In The Arora Report analysis, China is gearing up to fight Trump’s potential tariffs.  China has picked Nvidia (NVDA) as the first target.  As a result, NVDA stock is seeing selling.  
• China is promising stimulative monetary policy.  Stocks in Hong Kong and Shanghai are jumping.  Foreign money is flowing into China. 
• More inflation data is coming this week.  Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Wednesday at 8:30am ET, and Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released on Thursday at 8:30am ET.  This data may be market moving.
• As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), and Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and negative Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** gold in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

Oil is being bought on instability in Syria.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is under $100K and seeing selling on Syria developments.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6096 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131 and 6256: support levels are 6017, 5926, and 5748

DJIA futures are up 30 points.

Gold futures are at $2687, silver futures are at $32.69, and oil futures are at $68.26.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.