WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

June 14, 2025

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

FOR INVESTORS THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY SCENARIO FROM ISRAEL IRAN WAR IS NOT WHAT YOU THINK BUT A TRUMP CARD

Jun 13, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Raise Cash And Hedges

In the Israel Iran war, The Arora Report has analyzed 28 different scenarios as they pertain to investors. The process to change the Arora Protection Band involves assigning a probability to each scenario and adding it to the unique, adaptive ZYX Asset Allocation Model. Remember, this is war, and things can change very quickly. Nothing is cast in stone. For the time being, there is only a small change in the Arora Protection Band. Cash is being increased by *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial), and hedges are also being increased by ***. Please see the “Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now” section below for details.

Investors should follow the Arora Principle: Give precedence to return of capital over return on capital. The importance of this principle is easy to understand when you consider the following scenario: If you lose 50%, you have to make 100% to get back to even.
TACO traders, the momo crowd, and the meme crowd will buy every dip in the stock market. Aggressive buying from these groups will help cushion any stock market drop and may even cause the stock market to rise.
TACO traders, the momo crowd, and the meme crowd will sell only if they are forced to sell because of margin calls. If these groups get margin calls, the stock market can experience a large, sharp drop.
Option expiration is next week. As of this writing, in The Arora Report analysis, the positioning in options will put upward pressure on the stock market. However, note that positioning in options can change very quickly. Positioning is an important Wall Street mechanic. Understanding Wall Street positioning can give investors a big edge. For more, listen to the podcasts in Arora Ambassador Club titled “MARKET MECHANICS: POSITIONING” and “MARKET MECHANICS: IMPACT OF DEALERS’ GAMMA POSITION CHANGE ON THE STOCK MARKET.”

Important Reminder

As an important reminder, existing positions in defense and aerospace equities, oil equities, gold, silver, precious metal miners, and some international positions as well as short positions act as important additional hedges on top of the Arora Protection Band.

Highest Probability Scenario But A Trump Card

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the drop in the stock market after Israel’s attack on Iran.
RSI on the chart shows the stock market is no longer overbought.
Of the 28 scenarios analyzed, the highest probability scenario is the following:
- Iran being a great power will become a thing of the past.
- Iran’s air defense capability will be decimated.
- Israel will end up reducing both Iran’s nuclear capabilities and ballistic missile capabilities.
In the most probable scenario, Iran’s regime will face an existential threat.
Here is the key question for investors: Faced with an existential threat, will Iran play its trump card?
- The trump card is blocking the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is important because one quarter of the world’s petroleum is shipped through the strait.
- Iran has the capability to block the strait.
- Israel does not have the capability to stop Iran from blocking the strait.
In The Arora Report analysis, President Trump will likely try to keep the U.S. out of the war. However, if Iran attempts to block the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump will have a difficult decision to make since the U.S. is the only world power capable of preventing Iran from blocking the Strait of Hormuz.
Prudent investors should keep in mind that although the most probable scenario is not for a bear market, there are scenarios with a fair probability that can cause a major stock market drop. It is important to stay tuned to The Arora Report.
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment will be released at 10am ET.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals. Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is *** as it will depend on the news coming out of the Middle East and the White House. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) initially saw some selling, but the dip is being bought.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 5990 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6017, 6131, and 6556: support levels are 5926, 5748, and 5622.

DJIA futures are down 466 points.

Gold futures are at $3457, silver futures are at $36.26, and oil futures are at $73.90.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror. The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular. The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

TACO TRADERS UNFAZED BUT PRUDENT INVESTORS PAY ATTENTION TO TRUMP’S LATEST PLAN AND IRAN, COOLER PPI

Jun 12, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Unilateral Tariffs

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market has pulled back from the low band of zone 1 (resistance). Zone 1 has been a magnet for traders.
RSI on the chart shows that the stock market is slightly overbought, indicating it has room to run but could also pull back.
The momo crowd is oblivious, but prudent investors should pay attention to two facts about the Trump administration’s deal with China on rare earth minerals.
- The deal is only for six months. In The Arora Report analysis, the six month period allows China to maintain leverage against the U.S.
- From our sources, it appears that China is asking for sensitive information from companies seeking rare earth minerals from China.
President Trump has indicated that he intends to set unilateral tariffs in the next two weeks. This would be in advance of the end of the 90 day pause.
- In the Arora Report analysis, TACO traders are buying on weakness caused by President Trump’s latest comment because they believe President Trump will chicken out.
- In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should be prepared for a scenario of President Trump not chickening out.
Bilateral deals are in work with Japan, South Korea, India, and the E.U., causing bullishness in the stock market.
Nuclear tension in the Middle East is heating up. After the U.N. atomic agency declared Iran failed to comply with nuclear nonproliferation obligations, Iran declared it would increase uranium production with a new uranium enrichment facility and more advanced equipment. In further escalation, Iran said if international sanctions are imposed as a consequence, it would leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty and kick out inspectors. Additionally, Iranian Defense Minister Amir Aziz Nasirzadeh said U.S. military bases would be targeted if there is a conflict.
- From our sources, it appears that the U.S is on red alert. It appears non-essential personnel are being evacuated from the U.S. embassy in Iraq and other Middle Eastern countries.
- Last night there was a report that an Israeli attack on Iran was imminent. Oil first jumped on the report. Oil pulled back when the report did not prove correct.
- President Trump said earlier this week that he is less confident in striking a deal with Iran.
In The Arora Report analysis, TACO traders are buying on the weakness caused by Iran on the belief that President Trump will chicken out.
In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should be very concerned if Israel attacks Iran with U.S. support or the U.S. directly attacks Iran. Pay attention to the Arora Protection Band.
The just released Producer Price Index (PPI) shows inflation at the producer level cooler than expected. Here are the details:
- Headline PPI came at 0.1% vs. 0.2% consensus.
- Core PPI came at 0.1% vs. 0.3% consensus.
Initial jobless claims came at 248K vs. 250K consensus. In The Arora Report analysis, the employment picture is weakening.
Boeing (BA), Spirit Aerosystems (SPR), and GE Aerospace (GE) stocks are falling on the first ever crash and hull loss of a Boeing 787 Dreamliner operated by Air India. In The Arora Report analysis, there is a low probability of a manufacturing defect because the plane had been in operation since 2011.
The momo crowd is selling blue chips like Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) to buy speculative quantum computing stocks such as Rigetti (RGTI), IonQ (IONQ), Quantum Computing (QUBT), and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) as well as smart modular reactor stocks Oklo (OKLO) and NuScale Power (SMR). OKLO is taking advantage of the rise to sell $400M of common stock.
The meme crowd is suffering big losses as their favorite stock GameStop (GME) falls by 17% on the announcement of a $1.75B convertible senior note offering.
AI software stocks are getting a boost from Oracle (ORCL) beating consensus and whisper numbers.
Adobe (ADBE) earnings are ahead after the close. Adobe earnings are important because ADBE has become a battleground stock – bulls believe ADBE stock will go to the moon because of AI; bears believe AI will decimate Adobe’s business. This illustrates the difficulty with software stocks right now as some software companies will benefit from AI while others will get into trouble because they are not AI native. Investors should consider AI native software stocks such as Palantir (PLTR) or software ETF (IGV). PLTR is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio. IGV is in the ZYX Allocation Model Portfolio. Both positions have nice gains.
In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should be very concerned that the dollar is hitting a three year low.
In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should balance the falling dollar, President Trump’s new plan on unilateral tariffs, and the Iran situation against the aggressive buying by TACO traders, momo crowd, and meme crowd.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), NVDA, and TSLA.

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The situation in the Middle East is bringing buying into gold.

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** gold in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is ***e in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing light selling as bitcoin bulls are disappointed that bitcoin whales took profits at the resistance instead of running bitcoin through the resistance.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6014 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131, 6256, and 6500: support levels are 5926, 5748, and 5622.

DJIA futures are down 153 points.

Gold futures are at $3413, silver futures are at $36.48, and oil futures are at $67.15.

WEAKER INFLATION BRINGS AGGRESSIVE BUYING INTO STOCK MARKET, GOLD NOW SECOND LARGEST RESERVE ASSET

Jun 11, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Weaker Inflation

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market has moved into zone 1 (resistance).
Zone 1 has been a magnet for traders.
RSI on the chart shows that the stock market is slightly overbought but still has room to run.
The immediate trigger for the stock market moving into zone 1 is the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. CPI came cooler than expected. Here are the details:
- Headline CPI came at 0.1% vs. 0.2% consensus.
- Core CPI came at 0.1% vs. 0.3% consensus.
Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET.
Bullishness around U.S. China trade talks is dissipating. This week’s talks seem to have resulted in a return to last month’s pact. President Trump is expected to approve the agreement today or tomorrow. Last time President Trump declared a truce with China, the stock market staged a rally. This time the reaction is muted. The reason is there is concern that the U.S. may have given up too much and will make China great again. There is concern that China has the U.S.over a barrel on rare earth minerals. As we shared with you yesterday, China is demanding AI chips and advanced software in return for rare earth minerals. In The Arora Report analysis, rare earth mineral stocks such as MP and USAR are likely to come under pressure. There is a new signal on MP in ZYX Buy and a new signal on USAR in ZYX Short.
Steel stocks, such as NUE, STLD, and CLF, are coming under pressure on a potential deal with Mexico on steel tariffs. There may be buying in Mexican stocks. Mexico ETF EWW is in ZYX Emerging. The Arora Report gave a signal on Mexico as one of the top countries to buy on April 9. On April 9, Mexico ETF EWW traded as low as $47.19. For a nice gain, it is trading at $61.87 as of this writing in the premarket.
The momo crowd is aggressively buying quantum computing stocks such as IONQ, RGTI, QBTS, and QUBT. There are two triggers:
- RGTI completed a $350M at-the-market offering.
- IBM’s (IBM) decision to build the world’s first large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer. There is a new signal with a buy zone on RGTI in ZYX Buy. Quantum computing has the potential to be bigger than the internet. Due to extreme exuberance about quantum computing in the momo crowd, it is important for investors to build deeper knowledge and not get carried away by media publicity that is incorrect. The best way to build the knowledge you need for investing in quantum computing is to listen to the multi-part podcast series titled “QUANTUM COMPUTING MAY BE BIGGER THAN THE INTERNET PART 1.”
Gold has become the second largest reserve asset. Please see the gold section below.
Prudent investors will be paying close attention to the 10 year Treasury auction today. Auction results will be announced at 1pm ET.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

Gold has passed the euro to become the second largest global reserve asset. With the price of gold rising about 62% since the beginning of 2024, at market prices, gold bullion comprises about 20% of official reserves, while the euro sits at 16%. Central banks purchased over 1000 metric tons of gold in 2024, bringing central bank holdings to about 36K tons. This is approaching the all time high of 38K tons from 1965. China, India, Turkey, and Poland were among the heaviest gold buyers in 2024.

Members of The Arora Report are long gold from about $1200 and now have an almost triple on their hands. Gold ETF GLD is in the ZYX Allocation Model Portfolio.

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

API crude inventories came at a draw of 0.37M barrels vs. a consensus of a build of 0.7M barrels. This data is bullish for oil.

In another bullish development, U.S. oil production is likely to fall next year.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6059 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131, 6256, and 6500: support levels are 6017, 5926, and 5748.

DJIA futures are up 45 points.

Gold futures are at $3357, silver futures are at $36.56, and oil futures are at $66.39.

SPECULATIVE FEVER HIGHEST SINCE 2021, MAKE CHINA GREAT AGAIN

Jun 10, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Speculative Fever

Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Note the following:

The chart shows QQQ has reached the low band of zone 1 (resistance).
RSI on the chart shows tech stocks are slightly overbought, but there is room for QQQ to run higher.
The chart shows Arora buy signals near the lows.
Consistently combining long term investing with tactical shorter term trades and dynamic hedging, accomplished via the Arora Protection Band, leads to investors maximizing the wealth they generate over their lifetimes.
Based on The Arora Report’s proprietary analysis, speculative fever in the stock market has reached the highest level since 2021. Historically, speculative fever continues to run unabated until some force stops it. Often, the force is a macro event or smart money selling. The speculative fever of 2020 – 2021 ended in 2022 because the Fed woke up after being asleep at the switch for a long time and started raising interest rates. In 2022, QQQ fell by 33%.
It is important for prudent investors to understand what is driving the speculative fever. Here are the key factors driving speculation:
- TACO trade (Trump Always Chickens Out)
- Not only the momo crowd, but also Wall Street has come to believe that tariffs are no longer an issue.
- Wall Street has come to believe that there is nothing in geopolitics that can possibly go wrong such as the Russia Ukraine War, China attacking Taiwan, Iran developing a nuclear weapon, or North Korea threatening South Korea.
- Tax cuts are coming.
- Even if the Senate changes the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” there will be more deficit spending and borrowing.
- President Trump has successfully sidelined deficit hawks such as Elon Musk.
- Republicans will start stimulating the economy in order to win the midterm election.
- President Trump wants Fed Chair Powell to cut interest rates by 100 basis points. Even if President Trump does not fire Powell, President Trump is going to make Powell ineffective by naming Powell’s replacement soon.
- The belief is now widespread that inflation is dead.
- There is super excitement for AI, nuclear power, space, quantum computing, robotics, and robotaxis.
- The excessive valuations do not matter because the momo crowd does not do any deep analysis and lives in an echo chamber that stonks are going to the moon.
- Falling dollar will help profits of multinational companies in the short term.
The speculative fever will be tested tomorrow when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is released at 8:30am ET.
Adding to the bullishness is the Trump administration reporting progress in trade talks with China.
We have previously shared with you over a period of time that America in some ways is a prisoner to China due to China’s dominance of rare earth minerals and the need for rare earth minerals in defense technologies, EVs, jet engines, and other industries. Plenty of rare earth minerals are available in the U.S. and in the world outside China. However, it is bad government policies of the U.S. and Europe that have allowed China to become so dominant. Also contributing is the focus of industry in the U.S. on profits at the expense of national security. China is demanding AI chips and advanced software in return for rare earth minerals. There is significant buying in the stock market on speculation that President Trump will declare victory but, in reality, give China most of what China wants.
- In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should not buy into the consensus. President Trump cares deeply about national security. Do not expect President Trump to readily jump on the “make China great again” bandwagon. Investors who are playing the TACO trade seem to believe that President Trump will pick winning the midterm election over not giving China advanced chips and software.
- There is a report that President Trump has given Treasury Secretary Bessent authority to loosen export controls, so China can access advanced technology that the U.S. has been restricting in the interest of national security.
Wall Street is salivating over “Trump accounts” for newborns. Under the proposal, the government will fund the accounts with $1000 for each baby and provide more tax breaks.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying on heightened speculative fever.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is range bound.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6017 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131, 6256, and 6500: support levels are 5926, 5748, and 5622.

DJIA futures are up 18 points.

Gold futures are at $3357, silver futures are at $36.73, and oil futures are at $64.77.

MOMO CROWD BUYS STOCKS ON CHINA HOPIUM AND ZONE 1 MAGNET IGNORING RISE IN YIELDS, SILVER BREAKOUT

Jun 9, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

China Hopium

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market is approaching the low band of zone 1 (resistance).
Zone 1 is the magnet for traders.
US China trade talks are continuing in London today. President Trump said the talks are very far advanced.
The momo crowd is aggressively buying stocks on hopium about China trade talks, the attraction of the zone 1 magnet, and the weekend pump. Retail investors are especially vulnerable to the weekend pump and buy on Monday mornings.
Prudent investors will be closely watching Treasury auctions this week as 30-year Treasury yields are near 5%. Demand was weak at the previous 20-year Treasury auction.
This morning, yields are rising.
President Trump is thinking about the next Fed Chair and the name of the next Fed Chair nominee is coming out very soon, according to President Trump.
President Trump wants Fed Chair Powell to cut interest rates by 100 basis points.
Even though the momo crowd is oblivious, prudent investors should pay attention to rising yields, pressure by President Trump on Fed Chair Powell, and Treasury auctions. Learning to interpret Treasury auctions can give investors an edge. The best way to learn is to listen to the podcast titled “TREASURY AUCTION DATA: IGNORE THE MOST POPULAR.”
Apple’s (AAPL) Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) starts today. Apple has been lagging behind in AI and has yet to deliver many of the Apple Intelligence features hyped at WWDC last year. Investors are not expecting big news at WWDC this week.
- Developers are hoping for news about Apple’s on-device, small AI models that would be faster than current cloud based AI models. However, the useful applications at this point will likely be limited as the on-device models are not yet sufficiently powerful.
- Investors may remember how Apple extremely aggressively bought its own stock when AAPL stock fell on disappointment over the last WWDC. Apple’s own buying produced a major run in AAPL stock. Will Apple do a repeat this year?
Silver has broken out. There are nice profits on Silver ETF SLV in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio. A new signal may be given on silver for a trade around position. Trade around positions are a billionaire and hedge fund technique to increase returns while dramatically reducing risks.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Alphabet (GOOG), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta (META).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Microsoft (MSFT) and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6015 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6131, 6256, and 6500: support levels are 5926, 5748, and 5622.

DJIA futures are up 349 points.

Gold futures are at $3339, silver futures are at $36.44, and oil futures are at $64.77.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.

AAPL, ADBE, BA, BTCUSD, CLF, DJIA, EWW, GE, GLD, GME, GOLD, IBM, IGV, IONQ, MARKETS, MP, NDX, NUE, NVDA, OIL, OKLO, ORCL, PLTR, QBTS, QQQ, QUBT, RGTI, SILVER, SLV, SMR, SPR, SPX, SPY, STLD, TSLA, USAR, USO

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