WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

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By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

 

WORLD’S SMARTEST BANKER WARNS INVESTORS, BANKS TO KICK OFF EARNINGS SEASON, BITCOIN HIT $118K

Jul 11, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Earnings Season Ahead

Please click here for a chart of JPMorgan Chase stock (JPM).

Note the following:

  • The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of JPM stock is being used to illustrate the point.
  • The trendline on the chart shows a very strong move up in JPM stock.
  • The chart shows JPM stock pulled back when RSI indicated the stock was overbought.
  • Banks will kick off earnings season next week with JPMorgan Chase, Citi (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC) first out of the gate on Tuesday.
  • JPMorgan Chase is the largest bank in the world by market cap.  Jamie Dimon has been the CEO of JPMorgan Chase since 2006.  Dimon is considered the smartest banker in the world.  Now, the smartest banker in the world is warning investors.  When the smartest banker in the world and the CEO of the largest bank warns, prudent investors listen.  As usual, the momo crowd is oblivious.  JPM is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio.  Long time members are long JPM from $34.14.  This represents a gain of 737%.
    • Dimon is warning that the markets are underpricing the potential risk of higher interest rates.  Dimon said regarding the risk, “The market is pricing a 20% chance, I would price in a 40-50% chance.”  He also said the markets were being complacent in light of the tariffs.
  • There are indications today that Dimon might be right.
    • President Trump is imposing 35% tariffs on Canada.
    • There is also a report that President Trump plans to impose blanket tariffs of 15% – 20% on countries that have not received tariff notifications.
    • Concern about tariffs is bringing in selling in the early trade.
  • On the positive side, the Trump administration is touting that a deal with Europe is close.
  • The $22B Treasury auction yesterday was good.  Here are the details:
    • $22B 30 year Treasury bond reopening
    • High yield: 4.889% (When-Issued: 4.890%)
    • Bid-to-cover: 2.38
    • Indirect bid: 59.8%
    • Direct bid: 27.4%
  • There are two important statements from Fed officers.
    • Fed Governor Waller said the Fed balance sheet is likely to drop to $5.8T.
    • San Francisco Fed President Daly expects two rate cuts this year.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Japan

Yields in Japan are rising.  Prudent investors should keep an eye on yields in Japan due to the carry trade that can cause a significant drop in the U.S. stock market as it did in early August 2024 – S&P 500 fell 5% over 3 days.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) hit $118K, a new all time high, on extreme bullishness in the markets.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6290 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6500 and 6700 : support levels are 6256, 6131, and 6017.

DJIA futures are down 267 points.

Gold futures are at $3367, silver futures are at $38.46, and oil futures are at $67.36.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.  The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular.  The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.  The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.  If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.  A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.  When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.  High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.  Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

 

NVIDIA ON A PATH TO $8 TRILLION WITH ROBOTICS – FAR SURPASSING APPLE’S POTENTIAL, WATCH BRAZIL

Jul 10, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

$8 Trillion Path With Robots

Please click here for a chart of Nvidia stock (NVDA).

Note the following:

  • The chart shows that NVDA stock has continued to move higher after the breakout.
  • RSI on the chart shows a divergence.  This indicates NVDA stock may pull back barring any positive news.
  • The chart shows NVDA’s latest rally is on low volume.  This indicates a lack of conviction in NVDA stock and that NVDA stock is just moving up on market momentum.
  • The chart shows NVDA stock has moved up 45% since the Arora buy signal in April.
  • The chart shows NVDA has experienced deep corrections.  At the time of the deep corrections, many gurus issued sell ratings on NVDA stock.  However, The Arora Report stayed firm with the core position and took advantage of the corrections with trade around positions.   A trade around position is a technique used to hedge funds and billionaires to dramatically increase returns and reduce risks.
  • The chart shows when The Arora Report gave a signal to take profits on hedges.  These profits were very substantial and also protected investors when tech stocks fell.
  • It is the judicious combination of identifying change early, long term investing, short term tactical trades, the proprietary Arora Protection Band, and dynamic hedging that produces market beating returns while taking lower risks than the market.
  • Nvidia has become the first ever $4T company.  Nvidia has beaten the prior record of $3.91T held by Apple (AAPL).  Apple has pulled back on AI failures, and now Apple’s market cap is $3.15T.  More importantly for investors, Nvidia has more long term potential than Apple, unless Apple gets AI right and Apple develops a new line such as domestic robots.
  • Nvidia appears to have a path to $5T just on AI spend on data centers and the new chips Nvidia is planning for China.
  • More importantly, if Nvidia starts dominating the intelligence driving robots, Nvidia has the potential to reach $8T, far surpassing Apple.  Of course, there is no guarantee that Nvidia will dominate robot intelligence.  For investors, it is important to stay tuned to a resource that focuses on change, like The Arora Report.  The Arora Report was one of the first to make a high conviction call in 2022 that AI was real.  Long time members of The Arora Report are long NVDA stock from $12.55 and now have a gain of 1198%.  It is worth a reminder of what we have been sharing with you since 2022: A fortune is to be made in AI all the way to 2030, but it will not be a straight line.  At times, it will be treacherous.  You will need expert, proven guidance.
  • The 10 year Treasury auction yesterday came better than expected.  Here are the details:
    • $39B 10-year Treasury note reopening
    • High yield: 4.362% (When-Issued: 4.365%)
    • Bid-to-cover: 2.61
    • Indirect bid: 65.4%
    • Direct bid: 23.7%
  • The auction for 30 year Treasuries is today.  Prudent investors will be closely watching the market reaction.  Investors gain an edge when they understand how Treasury auctions work and how to interpret the results.  The easiest way to develop in-depth knowledge is to listen to the podcast titled “Treasury Auction Data: Ignore The Most Popular.”
  • There was buying in the stock market on the release of the FOMC minutes yesterday afternoon.  Investors focused on the potential of a rate cut later in the year and ignored all of the negatives from the FOMC minutes.  This is typical strong bull market behavior.
  • Initial jobless claims came at 227K vs. 245K consensus.   This indicates the jobs picture is still strong, in spite of widespread job cuts and reported difficulties finding new jobs.
  • The stock market has been eagerly awaiting earnings from Delta Air Lines (DAL) as an indication of travel demand.  Delta reported earnings of $2.10 per share vs. $2.06 consensus.  Delta guides inline.
  • In the early trade, trading is muted as the stock market awaits more trade related developments from President Trump.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
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Brazil

The stated purpose of tariffs is to reduce the trade deficit.  Now, President Trump is starting to use tariffs as a political tool.  This has significant long term implications for investors.  For the time being, the momo crowd is oblivious.

President Trump is imposing 50% tariffs on Brazilian goods.  This makes no economic sense because the U.S. ran a surplus of $7.4B on $92B of trade with Brazil in 2024.  President Trump is trying to help far-right Brazilian political leader Bolsonaro. President Trump said, “This is nothing more, or less, than an attack on a political opponent—Something I know much about…LEAVE BOLSONARO ALONE!”

Stocks in Brazil are dropping.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in NVDA and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in AAPL, Amazon (AMZN),  Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), and Meta (META).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) hit a new all time high on strong buying before pulling back.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6301 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6500 and 6700 : support levels are 6256, 6131, and 6017.

DJIA futures are down 80 points.

Gold futures are at $3332, silver futures are at $37.01, and oil futures are at $67.84.

 

COPPER HITS A RECORD ON TRUMP THREAT, MORE STOCK MARKET INVESTORS JOIN TACO TRADE, FED MINUTES AHEAD

Jul 9, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Copper At Record High

Please click here for a chart of copper ETF (CPER).

Note the following:

  • The chart shows that copper jumped to a new high yesterday on Trump’s threat to impose 50% tariffs on copper.
  • The chart shows that zone 1, previously the resistance zone has now become the support zone.
  • RSI on the chart shows that copper is overbought but still has room to run.
  • The chart shows that the volume was heavy, indicating conviction.
  • There was a time when copper was in ZYX Allocation Core Model Portfolio.  If it was not for Trump often changing his mind, copper would have been added to ZYX Allocation Core Model Portfolio.
  • Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX), the world’s largest copper producer by mined volume is in ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, the position is nicely profitable.  In the Portfolio that surrounds the Core Model Portfolio, there are two other copper producers First Quantum Minerals Ltd (FQVLF) and Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB).  The Arora Report members almost doubled their money in FQVLF, yesterday a signal was given to take advantage of strength in FQVLF by taking partial profits.
  • TGB provides an exceptional opportunity for investors who believe that Trump will not chicken out and actually impose large tariffs on imported copper.  The reason is the Florence Copper Project in Arizona, which is 100% owned by TGB.  A new signal will be published in ZYX Buy on TGB.
  • Copper is important especially for EV’s, the electrification of the economy, and AI data centers.  Copper is the third most consumed metal after iron and aluminum.  About one-half of the copper used in the US is imported.  Copper is also known as Dr. Copper due to the impact of copper on the economy.
  • Trump is also threatening a 200% tariff on pharmaceutical imports.  So far, pharmaceutical stocks are only showing a mild reaction because the plan appears to be to give about 18 months for pharmaceutical supply chains to shift.
  • FOMC minutes will be released at 2 pm ET.  At The Arora Report, we will study them closely for clues about the Fed’s policies.  The FOMC minutes may be market moving.
  • In April 2025, when President Trump paused reciprocal tariffs and claimed he would have 90 trade deals in 90 days.  The stock market believed Trump and staged a strong rally that is still continuing.  The stock market kept going up when more announcements from the administration came out that they were close to several deals.  Now, 90 days have passed, and Trump has extended the deadline from July 9th to August 1st; however, there are only two deals.  One of those deals is with the UK and the other with Vietnam.  There is also a partial deal with China.
  • You may be thinking that Trump produced only two deals when 90 were promised — this should cause the stock market to pull back.  However, the stock market is showing no signs of pulling back.  This is a classic strong bull market behavior, where investors totally ignore the negative news and believe in the most positive interpretation of the news.  Historically in strong bull markets, the stock market gets totally divorced from reality.
  • Striking deals is proving more difficult than the administration thought.  Now, Trump is sending letters to several countries threatening harsh tariffs.  The stock market is seeing buying as more investors join the TACO(Trump Always Chickens Out) trade.  Investors believe that when it is all said and done, Trump will likely give in, and the tariffs will not be as harsh.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
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Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.  

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is rangebound.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6288  as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6500 and 6700; support levels are 6256, 6131, and 6017.

DJIA futures are up 165 points.

Gold futures are at $3304, silver futures are at $36.55, and oil futures are at $68.11.

 

STRONG GLOBAL BULL — TRUMP IMPOSES HUGE TARIFFS ON KOREA AND JAPAN — STOCKS RALLY, TREASURY AUCTIONS

Jul 8, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Strong Global Bull

Please click here for a chart of Korea ETF (EWY).

Note the following:

  • The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual ETF.  The chart of EWY ETF is being used to illustrate the point.
  • The chart shows how strong the global bull is in stock markets across the world.
  • The chart shows that stocks in South Korea rallied after Trump imposed huge tariffs on South Korea.  Stocks in Japan also rallied after Trump imposed huge tariffs on Japan.
  • The chart shows the Arora buy signal near the April lows on Korea ETF EWY and huge gains since then that are beating the S&P 500 (SPX).
  • By now, you may be asking why did the stocks rally in Korea and Japan after Trump imposed huge tariffs.  There are three reasons:
    • Global bull is very strong.  In a strong bull market, markets focus on hope and ignore potential negatives.
    • Trump extended the deadline from July 9th to August 1st.
    • Trump is showing flexibility to extend the deadline further than August 1st.
  • The chart shows Arora signals to take profits in EWY prior to the big drop.  These and similar signals helped protect investors from the big drop in April.  The Arora Protection Band was up to 56% prior to the big drop in April; the total Arora Protection was 80% plus when including short trades and positions in gold, yen, and other hedges.  Arora buy signals were given right near the bottom in April.
  • It is the optimized combination of long term investing, short term trades, portfolio protection, dynamic hedging, and opportunities from across the globe that produce market-beating high-risk-adjusted returns, helping investors maximize the wealth they generate over their lifetime.
  • In the early trade, there is buying in the U.S. stock market on optimism about Trump’s flexibility.  For the time being, the market is ignoring the negatives of tariffs.
  • Prudent investors should pay attention to interest rates that are inching up again ahead of Treasury auctions.  Treasury will conduct three year auction today, ten year auction tomorrow, and thirty year auction on Thursday.  If auction results are good, expect the stock market to rally.  On the other hand, if an auction fails, there is significant downside risk.
  • The Fed minutes for the June meeting will be released at 2 pm tomorrow, and it may be market moving.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Nvidia (NVDA), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), Alphabet (GOOG) and Amazon (AMZN).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.  

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

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Gold

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is slightly stronger.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6279 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6500 and 6700; support levels are 6256, 6131, and 6017.

DJIA futures are down 66 points.

Gold futures are at $3337, silver futures are at $36.68, and oil futures are at $67.92.

 

MONEY SUPPLY HITS RECORD CAUSING STOCK MARKET RISE BUT CONCERN OVER AMERICA PARTY AND TRUMP’S THREAT

Jul 7, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

America Party

Please click here for a chart of M2 money supply (M2).

Note the following:

  • The chart shows M2 money supply rose sharply during the pandemic.  The M2 money supply represents the total amount of money in circulation that includes M1 (cash and checking accounts) plus savings accounts, small deposits, and retail money market funds.
  • The chart shows that when the government free money train stopped, M2 money supply dipped. 
  • The chart shows that M2 money supply has been rising since last year.
  • The chart shows that M2 money supply has hit a new record.
  • As M2 money supply hits a new record, part of the liquidity created by more money circulation is going into the stock market causing the stock market to rise.  
  • The ‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act’ (OBBBA) is projected to increase the Federal Deficit by $2.8T over the next decade and will likely fuel money supply increase.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, the realistic cost of OBBBA is $5T, and not $2.8T, as politicians are unlikely to end Trump’s temporary tax cuts.
  • For prudent investors, mounting debt is a concern as it is not sustainable in the long term.  In contrast, for the momo crowd, mounting debt is a reason to buy stocks as some of the borrowed money flows into the stock market.
  • There is some selling in the stock market in the early trade for three reasons:
    • Musk is forming the America Party to challenge the excessive spending and borrowing.  
    • Trump is threatening BRICS with 10% tariffs for Anti-American policies.  BRICS originally included Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, and recently added Egypt, The United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Indonesia, and Iran.  BRICS over the weekend, expressed ‘serious concerns about the rise of unilateral tarrif and non-tarrif measures.’
    • There is also concern about the approaching July 9th tariff deadline.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, the momo crowd’s concern about the America Party is valid. If the America Party gains traction, it will be a negative for the present policy of reckless borrowing and spending.  It will be negative in the short term to medium term for the stock market but positive for the stock market in the very long term.  It is worth a reminder that the momo crowd is always exclusively focused on the short term and doesn’t care about the long term.
  • TSLA stock is down about 6% in the early trade on Musk forming the America Party.  There are twin concerns here:
    • Musk will be distracted.
    • President Trump may retaliate against TSLA.
  • In the early trade, the momo crowd is aggressively buying the shallow dip in the stock market.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Nvidia (NVDA), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), TSLA, and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.  

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

In a strange twist of events, OPEC+ plans to increase oil supply by more than expectations but Saudi Arabia is planning to increase oil prices next month.  The reason Saudi is able to increase prices even when supply is being increased is that summer is a peak demand season in the Northern Hemisphere.

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing mild buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6314 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6500 and 6700 ; and support levels are 6256, 6131, and 6017.

DJIA futures are up 30 points.

Gold futures are at $3314, silver futures are at $36.12, and oil futures are at $67.05.

 

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

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Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.

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