WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

January 24, 2026

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

MONEY FLOWS OUT OF CRYPTO INTO SILVER, STOCK RALLY STALLS ON HAWKISH BOJ, HOTTEST IPO AHEAD

Jan 23, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Money Flowing Into Silver

Please click here for a chart of silver futures (SI_F).

Note the following:

The chart shows a strong move in silver.
The chart shows silver is now a hair close to the magnet of $100.
Gold is close to the magnet of $5000.
The short term move in silver is exacerbated by two factors:
- Money is moving out of cryptos and into silver.
- Short squeeze
Prudent investors should note this is proof positive that many so-called crypto die-hards did not really believe in cryptos. They were in cryptos simply because cryptos were moving up. Now that cryptos have stalled and silver is moving, these same investors have become the biggest silver bulls. None of this should surprise members of The Arora Report. Members of The Arora Report well know this is how the momo crowd works.
The Arora Report provides momo crowd and smart money flows data in the Morning Capsules. Momo crowd flows are good for short term trades but not for longer term investments. For longer term investments, investors should consider following smart money flows. Following the momo crowd and smart money flow data gives investors a big edge.
The U.S. stock rally has stalled in the early trade on hawkish Bank of Japan (BOJ). Due to the carry trade, Japan is important for U.S. markets. BOJ held rates as expected but the tone is definitely hawkish. BOJ has raised four of its six inflation projections.
In London trading, yen quickly spiked up versus the dollar. In The Arora Report analysis, Japan may have done rate checks with banks as a prelude to intervention.
Japan’s finance minister Katayama said she was watching the yen closely.
Japan’s snap election is set for February 8.
Elon Musk’s SpaceX is likely to be the hottest IPO in a decade. SpaceX is the largest private company. There is speculation that the IPO valuation will be about $1.5T. SpaceX has now lined up bankers. In The Arora Report analysis, in a deliberate strategy to run up SpaceX stock post IPO, bankers are likely to create artificial scarcity. Scarcity will likely be achieved by offering $20B – $30B worth of stock out of $1.5T. Those who want next level information and position themselves into SpaceX ahead of time should listen to the podcast titled “A BACKDOOR TO SPACEX — DATA CENTERS IN SPACE.” The podcast is in Arora Ambassador Club. To get on the waitlist to join the club, please click here.
Tesla (TSLA) plans to start selling humanoid robots next year. TSLA stock is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio. For those wanting next level information, there is a podcast in Arora Ambassador Club.
Stocks of memory and disk drive makers Micron (MU), Sandisk (SNDK), Western Digital (WDC), Seagate Technology (STX) have been running up on a rumor that Samsung (SSNLF) is increasing memory prices by 80%. Samsung is denying the rumor, but in the early trade, these stocks continue to levitate.
Yesterday, The Arora Report gave a signal to take partial profits in Intel (INTC) prior to release of earnings. At the time of the signal, INTC stock was trading around $54. With the benefit of hindsight, that signal has proven spot on as INTC stock has traded as low as $46.51 in the premarket. The reason for the drop in INTC stock is that Intel is capacity constrained and lowered the guidance. There will be new signals on INTC in ZYX Buy as appropriate.
On the positive side, China is finally advising companies such as Alibaba (BABA) to prepare orders for H200 chips from Nvidia (NVDA).
The FOMC meeting is next week. In The Arora Report analysis, there is a 85% probability that the Fed will not cut rates.
University of Michigan consumer sentiment will be released at 10am ET and may be market moving.
PCE, personal income, and personal spending came roughly inline with consensus.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks. For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks. It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks. The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis. When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOG).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is buying stocks in the early trade. Smart money is inactive in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals. Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial). This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is range bound.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6929 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7000, 7200, and 7500 : support levels are 6780, 6500, and 6256.

DJIA futures are down 225 points.

Gold futures are at $4943, silver futures are at $99.82, and oil futures are at $60.99.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror. The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular. The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

INTEL ROCKETS AS WALL STREET WAKES UP TO CPU DEMAND, STRONG ECONOMIC DATA, GREENLAND RELIEF RALLY

Jan 22, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

CPU Demand

Please click here for a chart of Intel stock (INTC).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of INTC stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows INTC stock easily rocketed past the prior psychological resistance level of $50.
The chart shows the Arora buy zone. The Arora Report gave a signal to buy INTC stock at a time when most analysts were giving sell signals. The reason The Arora Report gave a buy signal was early recognition that AI would eventually drive CPU demand and a prediction that Intel would receive more government support for its foundry business.
The chart shows that The Arora Report members now have large gains, more than doubling their money in INTC stock.
INTC stock is rocketing now because Wall Street is finally recognizing what The Arora Report previously shared with you. This illustrates the power of getting ahead of the curve.
Intel will report earnings after the regular session close. It is a reminder for prudent investors that earnings is always a risk event, both to the upside and the downside. In view of large unrealized gains on INTC stock, it is important to act today before the earnings release. There is a new signal on INTC stock in ZYX Buy.
Economic data released this morning is very strong.
- Initial jobless claims came at 200K vs. 200K consensus.
- GDP data shows the economy is very strong. Here are the details:
  - Q3 GDP Revised came at 4.4% vs. 4.3% consensus.
  - Q3 GDP Deflator Revised came at 3.8% vs. 3.7% consensus.
Yesterday afternoon, the stock and bond markets experienced a relief rally after President Trump said the U.S. had reached an agreement with Europe on a framework for Greenland and the U.S. would not impose new 10% tariffs on eight European countries. Here is the contour of the framework:
- The U.S. will get additional bases in Greenland.
- The U.S. will have total access to Greenland.
- The U.S. will have first right of refusal on mineral rights.
- Most importantly, the U.S. will build a part of the Golden Dome defense shield in Greenland.
The Golden Dome is the most important U.S. defense initiative in decades. The U.S. government will spend hundreds of billions of dollars on the Golden Dome. The Golden Dome will provide significant opportunities for investors. Prudent investors need to get ahead of the curve.
- One of the prime beneficiaries of Golden Dome spending is RTX (RTX). RTX is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from an average of $85.07. Members of The Arora Report have a gain of 133%.
- For those who like ETFs, space and defense ETF (ITA) is in the ZYX Allocation Model Portfolio. There are very nice profits on the position.
- For those who want next level information on generating profits from the Golden Dome, listen to the podcast titled “A Backdoor To The Heart Of Golden Dome.” The podcast is in Arora Ambassador Club. To get on the waitlist, please click here.
October and November PCE data and personal income and spending have been delayed and are set to be released at 10am ET.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

API crude inventories came at a build of 3.04M barrels vs. a previous build of 5.27M barrels.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Crypto acorn BitGo (BTGO) priced its IPO at $18, above the price range of $15 – $17. This indicates heavy demand. How BTGO trades will be a test of current enthusiasm for cryptos. This is important because lately some of the most aggressive short term crypto players have been selling crypto and buying silver.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6951 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7000, 7200, and 7500 : support levels are 6780, 6500, and 6256.

DJIA futures are up 228 points.

Gold futures are at $4813, silver futures are at $93.15, and oil futures are at $59.66.

TRUMP FRONT AND CENTER,GOLD MAGNET, BESSENT POINTS TO JAPAN FOR MARKET TURMOIL BUT KATAYAMA CALMS THE MARKETS

Jan 21, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Trump Front And Center

Please click here for a chart of gold futures (GC_F).

Note the following:

President Trump’s speech at Davos is front and center. President Trump is speaking as of this writing.
The chart shows gold futures are approaching the magnet.
The chart shows gold futures are well above the 200 day moving average. On one hand, this indicates momentum and enthusiasm. On the other hand, this indicates there is high risk in buying gold here.
The Arora Report members are long gold from an average of $1103 and are now sitting on a gain of about 341%.
In The Arora Report analysis, gold has farther to go as the dollar gets debased. Gold can ultimately go to $10,000 if government policies do not change. In the short term, gold is overbought and vulnerable to a pullback.
As a member of The Arora Report, you have been ahead of the curve. We have been keeping you informed for a while that interest rates in Japan impact the U.S. markets. Now, Treasury Secretary Bessent is pointing to Japan as the cause of market turmoil in the U.S.
On the positive side, Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama has succeeded in calming the markets.
In The Arora Report analysis, if interest rates in Japan continue to rise, it could trigger over $100B in selling in the U.S. markets.
Tomorrow will bring a flood of economic data at 8:30am ET:
- PCE data, the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, for October and November
- Personal income and spending data for October and November
- Initial jobless claims
- Q3 GDP and GDP deflator
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing selling.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6819 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7000, 7200, and 7500 : support levels are 6780, 6500, and 6256.

DJIA futures are down 168 points.

Gold futures are at $4876, silver futures are at $94.46, and oil futures are at $60.70.

TAKAICHI FOLLY AND TRUMP AMBITION TRIGGER STOCK MARKET SELL OFF, CHAGOS ISLANDS ‘STUPIDITY’

Jan 20, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Crosscurrents

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market almost reaching the magnet.
The chart shows the stock market is pulling back aggressively in the early trade today.
The chart shows that major support zone 1 is far away. Concern is building that the stock market could quickly reach zone 1, depending upon how geopolitical events unfold.
RSI on the chart has quickly dropped almost to the top band of the oversold zone. This indicates that without any new geopolitical news, the stock market is also set up for a sharp rebound.
Two geopolitical events have triggered selling this morning:
- Prime Minister Takaichi’s ambition to win the election in Japan
- President Trump’s ambition for the U.S. to own Greenland
As we have been sharing with you, Japan is very important to the U.S. market due to the carry trade. In the carry trade, funds have borrowed very large amounts in Japan in yen and invested the money in U.S. markets. To win the election, Prime Minister Takaichi wants to cut taxes. However, it is not clear what the funding source is. This is spooking the bond market in Japan. The yield on the 40 year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) has crossed above 4% for the first time ever. As yields in Japan rise, the borrowing costs for the carry trade also rise. The carry trade is often highly leveraged. For this reason, the impact of rising interest rates in Japan is disproportional.
Eight European countries had sent troops to Greenland to deter the U.S. from annexing Greenland by force. President Trump has responded by imposing 10% tariffs on the eight countries.
- Europeans have been trying to deescalate, but President Trump has doubled down.
- Europe depends on the U.S. for security and thus is not in a position to respond militarily.
- Europe has two big weapons.
  - Europeans own trillions of dollars worth of U.S. assets, including Treasury bonds. Concern is building that Europeans will start selling U.S. assets if President Trump keeps doubling down on Greenland.
  - In 2024, Europe was the largest importer of U.S. services, totalling $294.7B. Concern is building that Europe could put tariffs on U.S. services.
Markets always have crosscurrents.
- TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) traders are aggressively buying stocks, taking advantage of the early morning dip. TACO traders are a subset of the momo crowd. TACO traders believe President Trump will soon back down on Greenland. TACO traders appear to be oblivious to what is going on in Japan and its impact on U.S. markets.
- Smart money is taking defensive steps by trimming and hedging. They are concerned about the carry trade and the tariff war reigniting.
President Trump is calling the U.K.’s decision to give Chagos Islands to Mauritius “an act of great stupidity.” In The Arora Report analysis, President Trump is right about the U.K.’s decision for the following reasons:
- There is a major U.S. military base on the Diego Garcia island. This base is vital to preserving U.S. interest in Asia. The U.K. has arranged for a 99 year lease from Mauritius for the U.S. to keep the base.
- Mauritius is close to China.
- Other than colonial guilt, there is no reason for the U.K. to give Chagos Islands to Mauritius.
President Trump is using the U.K.’s decision on Chagos Islands as another reason for the U.S. to acquire Greenland.
For investors who are interested in Greenland, keep an eye on rare earth stock Critical Metals (CRML). CRML is in ZYX Buy in the portfolio that surrounds the Core Model Portfolio. CRML is developing rare earth projects in Greenland.
The Supreme Court may rule on IEEPA tariffs today. We previously shared with you:

The consensus is the Supreme Court will find a way to support President Trump. Prudent investors need to know that companies are already lining up to seek refunds of tariffs they have paid in case the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs. The Supreme Court decision may be market moving especially if the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs.

ADP data shows that the private sector added an average of 8,000 jobs per week over the four weeks ending December 27.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** stocks in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***, depending upon what President Trump says, news from Japan, and the Supreme Court. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold and *** silver in the early trade. Smart money is inactive in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing selling.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6870 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7000, 7200, and 7500 : support levels are 6780, 6500, and 6256.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

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