WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

July 26, 2026

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

EVERYONE TALKS GPUS BUT CPUS ARE WINNERS FROM AGENTIC AI – INTEL EARNINGS STOP TECH STOCKS BLEEDING

Jul 24, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

CPUs For Agentic AI

Please click here for a chart of Intel stock (INTC).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of INTC stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows INTC stock is gapping up after good earnings.
In the early trade, the gap up in INTC stock has stopped the bleeding in semiconductor stocks and other tech stocks that occurred yesterday.
The chart shows INTC stock had pulled back going into earnings.
The chart shows that the last Arora signal to take partial profits on INTC was given right near the top before the pullback.
The Arora Report gave a signal to buy INTC stock when it was hated and no one wanted it. The chart shows the Arora buy zone. ZYX Change Method with six screens anticipated the change that finally materialized, leading to large gains for members of The Arora Report. The premise behind the ZYX Change Method is that the most money with the lowest risk is made by anticipating change before Wall Street. Investors should pay attention to the five stages of a long trade. Most members are long INTC from an average of $19.05. It is trading at $103.32 as of this writing in the premarket, representing 442% gain.
Intel earnings were above consensus and whisper numbers. Whisper numbers were lower than consensus. Here are the details:
- Intel reported Q2 EPS of $0.42 vs. $0.22 consensus.
- Intel reported Q2 revenue of $16.1B vs. $14.45B consensus.
- Intel sees Q3 EPS of $0.38 vs. $0.28 consensus.
- Intel sees Q3 revenue of $15.8B – $16.8B vs. $15.16B consensus.
Everyone talks about GPUs, and not CPUs, for a good reason. Compared to CPUs, GPUs excel at training frontier models and for high-throughput inference. The next phase of AI is extensive use of AI agents. Most of the tasks AI agents do are better done on CPUs than GPUs. Most agents do not need massive parallel processing of GPUs. Agents spend most of their time browsing, interfacing with APIs, and calling databases. These tasks are better done with CPUs. Intel is a major provider of CPUs. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a big beneficiary because AMD provides both CPUs and GPUs. AMD is in ZYX Buy in the portfolio that surrounds the Core Model Portfolio. AMD is long from an average of $205.52. AMD stock is trading at $546.44 as of this writing in the premarket, representing a gain of 166%.
Lately, the U.S. stock market has been following the South Korean stock market. Prudent investors should be cognizant of a decision by South Korea’s regulators to implement increased margin on leveraged ETFs sooner than planned. Leveraged ETFs have been very popular and, in part, responsible for the massive run up in memory stocks such as Micron (MU), SK Hynix (SKHY), and Sandisk (SNDK). Increased margin requirements on leveraged ETFs means a higher likelihood of margin calls and potentially sharper spikes to the downside. South Korea ETF EWY is in the ZYX Emerging Model Portfolio and has produced very large gains.
Media headlines are that President Trump is preparing the biggest attack ever on Iran. However, the stock market is dismissing it, and oil is pulling back this morning.
In spite of the U.S. providing protection and encouraging tankers to cross the Strait of Hormuz, only one tanker crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday. This is the lowest number since May 7. In the early trade, the stock market is also dismissing this development.
On Thursday, President Trump announced tariffs of 10% – 12.5% on 60 countries. Again, the stock market is dismissing the impact. These tariffs use a law designed to punish forced labor.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks. For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks. It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks. The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis. When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Microsoft (MSFT) and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Meta (META) and Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are mixed in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals. Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is range bound.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7453 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7700, 7900, and 8000 : support levels are 7318, 7194, and 7032.

DJIA futures are up/down points.

Gold futures are at $4057, silver futures are at $58.67, and oil futures are at $89.43.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror. The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular. The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

STOCK MARKET SELLING AS HOUTHIS OPEN A NEW FRONT, GOOGLE AI CASH BURN, TESLA HUMANOID SPENDING

Jul 23, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Houthi Attacks

Please click here for a chart of Google parent Alphabet stock (GOOG).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of GOOG stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows GOOG is gapping down after reporting earnings.
The chart shows a downward sloping trendline.
The pattern shown on the GOOG chart is a topping pattern.
Google earnings were better than the consensus and whisper numbers, but here is the rub:
- Google’s free cash flow for the quarter was negative $5.9B.
- Google is projecting capex in the range of $195B – $205B vs. prior guidance of $180B – $190B.
Tesla (TSLA) earnings were below consensus but inline with whisper numbers. Here is the rub:
- Tesla’s free cash flow was negative $1.09B.
- Tesla’s spending on AI, robotaxis, and humanoid robots is going way up.
In The Arora Report analysis, a very important observation for prudent investors is how semiconductors are trading after Google and Tesla earnings. Increased spending on AI by Google and Tesla means more business for semiconductors. As Google and Tesla experience negative cash flow, cash is being transferred to semiconductor companies that are experiencing large positive cash flows. Expectations were that semiconductors would trade higher on increased spend by Google and Tesla. Contrary to expectations, in the early trade, semiconductors are seeing selling. Investors should pay attention when an expected logical relationship breaks down as it often indicates a macro shift.
Texas Instruments (TXN) reported earnings better than consensus but below whisper numbers. Stocks move based on the difference between reported numbers and whisper numbers. As a result, TXN stock is falling.
Intel (INTC) will report earnings after the market close today.
As a member of The Arora Report, you have been ahead of the curve. Houthis have opened a new front in the war. Houthis have fired on two tankers in the Red Sea. Houthis opening a new front is strengthening Iran’s hand.
President Trump is responding by saying the U.S. will hold Iran responsible for Houthis and that “major military punishment will be inflicted upon Iran and, of course, the Houthis, themselves, who I am very disappointed with in that they have, until now, acted very professionally and smart.”
Brent oil, which is an international benchmark, is approaching $100 as of this writing. The U.S. benchmark, WTI oil, has crossed $90.
Rising oil is increasing fears of inflation. Yields are rising in response.
Initial jobless claims show a very strong jobs picture in spite of continuing layoffs due to AI. Initial jobless claims came at 187K vs. 214K consensus.
The combination of rising oil and strong jobless claims is increasing the probability of a Fed rate hike.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Europe

The European Central Bank (ECB) is leaving its interest rates unchanged. Some analysts had expected a hike.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bond.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7469 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7700, 7900, and 8000 : support levels are 7318, 7194, and 7032.

DJIA futures are down 547 points.

Gold futures are at $4067, silver futures are at $58.19, and oil futures are at $91.06.

CHIP RALLY PULLS BACK AS YEMEN’S HOUTHIS ENTER THE WAR; EARNINGS FROM ALPHABET AND TESLA AHEAD

Jul 22, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Red Sea Blockade

Please click here for a chart of leveraged semiconductor ETF (SOXL).

Note the following:

Semiconductors are the leading sector that has been driving the stock market higher. SOXL is the momo crowd’s favorite semiconductor ETF.
The chart shows SOXL rallied to the low band of zone 2 (resistance).
The chart shows that this morning in the early trade, SOXL is pulling back.
Coming into this morning, there were high expectations that semiconductors would continue to rally. However, Houthis of Yemen entering the war is causing oil to rise and upsetting the markets. As a member of The Arora Report, you have been ahead of the curve. We wrote on Monday:
Prudent investors should pay attention to an important geopolitical development – Houthis in Yemen are announcing a maritime embargo of Saudi Arabia. This development has two major implications:
- Houthis in Yemen stepping up will further strengthen Iran’s hand in negotiations with the U.S.
- The export of millions of barrels of oil through the Red Sea is at risk.

The news this morning is that Houthis have started enforcing the Red Sea blockade. There are reports that six ships have turned around. The choke point is the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that separates the Red Sea from the Gulf of Aden. Until now, Saudi Arabia has been able to shift large quantities of oil through the Red Sea. The prospect that this route will also be closed at a time when the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed could cause a sharp rise in the price of oil.
Important earnings after the market close today include Alphabet (GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) and Texas Instruments (TXN). International Business Machines (IBM) will also report earnings but has pre-announced.
While Alphabet and Tesla earnings will catch most of the attention, prudent investors should pay careful attention to Texas Instruments earnings. Texas Instruments is the first major semiconductor manufacturer to report. Whisper numbers are running ahead of consensus numbers. Texas Instruments supplies mostly analog chips to a broad swath of industries. Texas Instruments is also a major supplier of power management chips to AI data centers. TXN is in ZYX Buy in the portfolio that surrounds the Core Model Portfolio. Members of The Arora Report are long TXN from an average of $192.70. It is trading at $285.75 as of this writing in the premarket, representing a 48% gain. Members of The Arora Report bought TXN at the bottom of the analog semiconductor cycle.
Another analog semiconductor stock to pay attention to is Analog Devices (ADI). ADI is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from an average of $83.25. It is trading at $374.10 as of this writing in the premarket, representing a gain of 349%.
Since SpaceX (SPCX) has been added to several indexes, prudent investors should prepare for the volatility caused by a massive unlock of previously restricted shares. On August 6, $116B worth of SPCX stock will become eligible for selling. Short sellers see an opportunity. The estimate is that about 30% of tradeable SPCX shares are now sold short. Prudent investors should be careful about being influenced by the media. There is a fair probability that on August 6, SPCX stock could rally if a short squeeze starts, instead of falling big time as the media is predicting.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Japan

The Japanese yen fell below 163 per dollar before recovering. This level last occurred in 1986. The proximate cause is rising oil due to Houthis blockading the Red Sea. Japan is a major oil importer, getting most of its oil from the Middle East.

The fall in yen is raising alarm bells in Japan. There are indications that the Bank of Japan is considering increasing interest rates faster.

Japan is important due to the carry trade. In the carry trade, funds have borrowed hundreds of billions of dollars in Japan to invest in the U.S., lately in the AI trade.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), and Meta (META).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Tesla (TSLA) and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

API crude inventories came at a build of 2.603M barrels vs. a consensus of a draw of 1.5M barrels.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is range bound.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7516 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7700, 7900, and 8000 : support levels are 7318, 7194, and 7032.

DJIA futures are down 100 points.

Gold futures are at $4123, silver futures are at $59.57, and oil futures are at $86.91.

BUYING IN SEMICONDUCTORS ON IRAN CEASEFIRE SOAP OPERA, EARNINGS HOPIUM, AND KOREA

Jul 21, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Buying In Semis

Please click here for a chart of leveraged semiconductor ETF (SOXL).

Note the following:

Semiconductors are the leading sector that has been driving the stock market higher. SOXL is the momo crowd’s favorite semiconductor ETF.
The chart shows that after breaking below the low band of zone 2 (resistance), semiconductors are rising again and approaching the low band of zone 2 again.
The pattern shown on the chart has two implications:
- It is a short term bottoming pattern confirmed by heavier volume shown on the chart.
- Stops have already been hunted, making it easier for SOXL to rise now.
The true test of the rally in semiconductors will be if SOXL breaks above the high band of zone 2.
This morning in the early trade, there is aggressive buying in semiconductor stocks on the news that mediators are proposing a 10 day ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran. As a member of The Arora Report, as usual, you have been ahead of the curve. We wrote in yesterday’s Morning Capsule before the stock market opened:

Last night, oil was spiking after a series of escalating attacks by the U.S. on Iran and counterattacks by Iran on U.S. allies in the Middle East. This morning, the situation has calmed down on an Iranian report that mediators are working on a proposal for a 10 day ceasefire.

The momo gurus’ soap opera continues. Many momo gurus who never recommended semiconductor stocks until a few months ago and missed the big gains in semiconductors since 2022 are now claiming to be semiconductor experts. When there is good news related to the Iran conflict, momo gurus urge their followers to buy semiconductors because cessation of hostilities with Iran will be good for semiconductors. When there is bad news related to the Iran conflict, momo gurus urge their followers to buy semiconductors because the Iran conflict has nothing to do with semiconductors.
There are two other factors driving buying in semiconductor stocks this morning:
- Lately semiconductors in the U.S. market have been following the South Korean stock market. Overnight, Kopsi index in South Korea was up 3.6%.
- As is the pattern of the momo crowd, there is significant hopium this morning that upcoming semiconductor earnings will be good. Intel (INTC) reports on Thursday after the market close.
Buying in the early trade is especially aggressive in memory stocks and disk drive stocks including Micron (MU), SK Hynix (SKHY), Western Digital (WDC), and Seagate (STX) as well as memory ETF (DRAM).
Buying in the early trade is also aggressive in networking stocks such as Marvell (MRVL) and optical stocks, including Corning (GLW), Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI), Coherent (COHR), and Lumentum (LITE).
In the middle of the bullishness this morning, prudent investors should note that to persuade Iran to give concessions, President Trump is considering a massive military campaign with Israel against Iran. In The Arora Report analysis, if any such campaign occurs, it will likely be short lived as President Trump is under pressure from Republicans to keep an eye on the midterm elections.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

China

There are two important pieces of news from China:

The Chinese government is considering taking measures to boost confidence in the Chinese stock market.
The Chinese government’s efforts to restrict the export of advanced Chinese AI technology to the West are picking up steam.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Meta (META), Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOG).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** in gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7516 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7700, 7900, and 8000 : support levels are 7318, 7194, and 7032.

DJIA futures are up 130 points.

Gold futures are at $4057, silver futures are at $59.28, and oil futures are at $84.16.

WINNERS AND LOSERS FROM MOONSHOT – WALL STREET FEARS OVERBLOWN – U.S. MAY BAN CHINESE MODELS

Jul 20, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Moonshot Winners And Losers

Please click here for a chart of Micron stock (MU).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point.
Micron is important because it has been a market leader, and AI models are memory hogs.
The chart shows significant pullback in MU stock from the highs.
The chart shows MU stock is between zone 1 (resistance) and zone 2 (support).
Prudent investors should carefully watch to see if MU stock decisively breaks above trendline 3 shown on the chart. For now, this will likely be one of the most important tells for the semiconductor sector and the entire stock market.
On Friday, we shared with you the introduction of an AI breakthrough in China from a Chinese startup called Moonshot causing significant fear on Wall Street. The media amplified the fear.
In The Arora Report analysis, Wall Street fears about Moonshot might be overblown.
To stay ahead of the curve, in The Arora Report analysis, here is a nuanced analysis for prudent investors of winners and losers from Moonshot:
- Moonshot’s Kimi K3 model needs a significant amount of high bandwidth memory. The memory requirements make memory makers such as Micron, SK Hynix (SKHY), and Samsung (SSNLF) winners.
- For Moonshot to work efficiently, it requires faster networking to connect thousands of AI chips. This makes a company like Marvell (MRVL) a winner.
- It is also good for optical names such as Corning (GLW), Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI), Coherent (COHR), and Lumentum (LITE).
- Moonshot is mixed for GPU makers such as Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Moonshot appears to use GPUs more efficiently. However, investors need to keep in mind that Moonshot has already run out of GPU capacity as demand for Kimi K3 is very high.
- Moonshot is neutral for CPU makers such as Intel (INTC) and Arm (ARM).
- Frontier model makers such as OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) might be the losers as they have new Chinese competition.
- Many open source AI models are the losers because they provide no edge.
The Arora Report has kept thousands of investors, investment advisors, and money managers ahead of the curve for nearly two decades. In The Arora Report analysis, there is a significant probability that the U.S. government may eventually ban Chinese AI models. We previously shared with you:

Due to the security requirements and deepening distrust between the U.S. and China, the world is likely to be divided into two camps for AI: one dominated by the U.S. and the other dominated by China.

Due to the importance of understanding what Wall Street is getting wrong about AI’s next phase, we are preparing a podcast series titled “Next AI Phase: Why Wall Street Gets It Wrong – How Exceptional Investors Can Stay Ahead” that will be available in Arora Ambassador Club.
The Department of War is in talks for SpaceX (SPCX) to provide it with billions of dollars of computing power.
Prudent investors should pay attention to an important geopolitical development – Houthis in Yemen are announcing a maritime embargo of Saudi Arabia. This development has two major implications:
- Houthis in Yemen stepping up will further strengthen Iran’s hand in negotiations with the U.S.
- The export of millions of barrels of oil through the Red Sea is at risk.
Last night, oil was spiking after a series of escalating attacks by the U.S. on Iran and counterattacks by Iran on U.S. allies in the Middle East. This morning, the situation has calmed down on an Iranian report that mediators are working on a proposal for a 10 day ceasefire.
The Arora Report has long pointed out that the way the government calculates inflation is flawed. In a positive development, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will revise the way it calculates core PCE. Core PCE is the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.
Leading economic index will be released at 10am ET.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta (META).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** in gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7529 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7700, 7900, and 8000 : support levels are 7318, 7194, and 7032.

DJIA futures are up 99 points.

Gold futures are at $4014, silver futures are at $57.04, and oil futures are at $81.88.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.

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