U.S. chip company Nvidia is making a bold claim that it has accomplished the greatest leap since the invention of the CUDA GPU more than a decade ago.

There is positive sentiment developing around Nvidia’s NVDA,  stock. After all, Nvidia claims to be combining artificial intelligence, real-time ray tracing, simulation and rasterization. To top it off, there is a catchy name: Nvidia Turing GPU architecture.

Will the technological leap from Nvidia make the stock leap? Let’s explore with a chart.


Please click here for the annotated chart of Nvidia. Please note the following from the chart:

• The chart shows that Nvidia stock has been rising, supported by a trend line.

• The chart shows the resistance from which the price will have to decisively break for the stock to leap.

• If the stock breaks the trend line shown on the chart, there is significant downside.

• The chart shows that lately the volume is low. This indicates that investors are waiting for the next trigger to drive the stock either higher or lower.

• The relative strength index (RSI) shows negative divergence. In plain English, this means that even though the stock price has risen, the momentum has waned. In traditional technical analysis, this is considered negative. However, in my decades of experience, this is not necessarily a negative in top-performing stocks.

Quarterly lag

Nvidia bulls are getting excited about the introduction of ray tracing. However, they may want to temper their enthusiasm because the new GPUs will not be available before the fourth quarter and may not materially impact earnings for a while.

Expensive stock

Nvidia is an expensive stock, along with AMD’s AMD stock. Nvidia trades at a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 42 and a forward P/E of 32. If growth slows, what will happen to those lofty numbers? We just have to look at Intel’s INTC  stock. Intel trades at trailing P/E of 17 and a forward P/E of 11…Read more at MarketWatch.

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