WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

October 3, 2026

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

AGGRESSIVE STOCK BUYING ON JOBS SHOCKER AND FRENCH PROPOSAL OF MAJOR OIL AND DIESEL RELEASE

Oct 2, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Jobs Report Shocker

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market is rising this morning. There are two reasons behind the rise:
- Jobs report
- Proposal for the E.U. to release oil and diesel
The chart shows the stock market is approaching the low band of zone 1 (resistance).
RSI on the chart shows the stock market has room to run.
The chart shows that it will not take much for the stock market to slice through the resistance and make a new high. On the other hand, if the stock market is not able to maintain its gains, it will technically be a negative.
The jobs report is a shocker. Here are the details:
- Headline nonfarm payrolls came at 29K vs 84K consensus.
- Private nonfarm payrolls came at 46K vs 100K consensus.
- Average hourly came at 0.1% vs 0.3% consensus.
- Unemployment came at 4.2% vs 4.1% consensus.
- Average work week came at 34.4 vs. 34.3 consensus.
As of this writing in the premarket, the stock market is celebrating very weak job creation. The reason for the celebration is the stock market is addicted to artificially low interest rates. Weak jobs growth almost assures that the Fed will likely not raise interest rates in the October meeting. As a member of The Arora Report, you have been ahead of the curve. We had previously shared with you that the Fed was unlikely to raise interest rates in October. The reason is that if the Fed were to raise interest rates in October just before the midterm elections, the Fed would have to deal with President Trump.
In The Arora Report analysis, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates in October is now less than 5%. Fed fund futures are indicating a probability of 16%.
In the middle of all of the bullishness this morning, prudent investors should focus on the fact that the average hourly earnings increased by only 0.1%. This is well below the inflation rate. The consumer is losing buying power. Since the U.S. economy is 70% consumer based, historically the consumer is very important to the economy, and in turn the stock market. This time, it is a K-shaped economy. Lower income consumers are suffering, while the top 10% are doing extremely well due to the AI boom, high stock market, and ability to earn higher interest rates on cash balances.
As much as stock market bulls may contend that the lower income population does not matter because they do not invest in the stock market anyway, the lower income population does vote. The continuing trend of the lower income population suffering could ultimately lead to business unfriendly policies in Washington over the next few years, unless the trend reverses. In The Arora Report analysis, potentially business unfriendly policies over the next few years could negatively impact the stock market.
France is proposing to the E.U. to release 50M barrels of diesel and 50M barrels of oil from reserves. This is in response to President Trump requesting President Macron to release 100M barrels of diesel. The price of diesel has skyrocketed, increasing shipping costs.
President Trump is also considering banning the export of diesel from the U.S.
Saudi Arabia has increased flow in the East-West pipeline to 80% of capacity..
Oil is falling in response to the above developments.
Blind money will continue flowing into the stock market this afternoon. Blind money is the money that flows into the stock market on the first two days of the month without any analysis irrespective of market conditions.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks. For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks. It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks. The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis. When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals. Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. Today is a Friday, and short squeezes tend to occur on Fridays. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7795 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7831, 7900, and 8000 : support levels are 7733, 7626, and 7541.

DJIA futures are up 545 points.

Gold futures are at $4229, silver futures are at $61.74, and oil futures are at $89.34.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror. The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular. The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

TLT BREAKS BELOW ARORA DANGER ZONE; WALL STREET FRONT RUNS BLIND MONEY; MICRON BULLS AND BEARS BALANCED

Oct 1, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Bond Danger Signal

Please click here for a chart of 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT).

Note the following:

The chart shows TLT has fallen below the Arora danger zone.
RSI on the chart shows TLT is oversold.
Prudent investors should note TLT falling below the Arora danger zone is very important because it signals that rising yields have moved beyond ordinary volatility and into a technically weaker regime.
This morning the 10 year Treasury yield reached about 5.34% and the 30 year yield reached about 5.68%. These are the highest levels since 2002. As of this writing, yields are pulling back. It is not just the U.S., yields in France and the U.K. also jumped before pulling back.
Smart money is taking the fall in TLT seriously. This is an early warning to stock investors and not just bond investors. Rising long term yields increases competition for stocks.
In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should not ignore long term yields. The momo crowd continues to ignore them.
In The Arora Report analysis, not only is TLT oversold, the number of shorts in long bonds have increased. This is a perfect set up for a short squeeze that could bring TLT back into the danger zone from below the danger zone.
The official jobs report will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET. In The Arora Report analysis, it will be very critical.
- If the jobs report is somewhat weak, it could trigger a short squeeze in bonds and, in turn, a vicious short squeeze in stocks causing a major rally.
- If the jobs report is very weak, it could trigger a bigger short squeeze in bonds, but stocks may fall on the prospect of a slowing economy.
- If the jobs report is strong, yields will likely rise further. However, a battle royale will likely take place between bulls and bears in the stock market. Bulls will contend that the economy is so strong it can handle a rise in yields. Bears will contend that the stock market is simply too high relative to yields.
Micron reported earnings and guided better than the consensus but below whisper numbers. Micron gross margins are slightly below consensus.
It is the first time in several quarters that bulls and bears in Micron stock (MU) are balanced. The result is that MU stock is range bound, without much movement, after earnings. The biggest losers are option buyers in MU stock as the options market was forecasting a 7% move. Also on the losing end are those who used popular AI chatbot analysis to buy the options. This is a good illustration as to why using AI chatbots to make actual financial decisions can be dangerous to your financial well being. AI chatbots are great for preliminary research but not for decision making.
This morning, the news is that Broadcom (AVGO) will lend $42B to Anthropic for leasing Broadcom chips. Prudent investors should pay attention to the market’s reaction in AVGO stock. If this news had come out in June 2026, AVGO stock would have been up 10% – 15% in the premarket. Today, in the premarket, AVGO stock is only up 0.5%.
The market’s reaction to Micron earnings and the big Broadcom deal shows that the current phase of AI is different from the prior phase. One of the biggest mistakes the momo crowd is making right now is they are not understanding the major shift and continue to act like AI is still in the prior phase. This is nothing new. Historically, the momo crowd is almost always behind the curve. This is how the momo crowd ends up losing money. In contrast, smart money is always trying to get ahead of the curve. The easiest way for prudent investors to get ahead of the curve about the next phase of AI is to listen to the podcast series Next Phase of AI in Arora Ambassador Club.
Expect blind money to flow into the stock market today and tomorrow. Blind money is the money that flows into the stock market on the first two days of the month without any analysis irrespective of market conditions.
In the early trade, Wall Street is front running blind money. In front running, Wall Street buys stocks and then sells them to blind money at higher prices. Blind money never catches on because they have drank the Kool-Aid that they are not smart enough to analyze the market.
Initial jobless claims came at 197K vs. 200K consensus.
ISM Manufacturing Index will be released at 10am ET and may be market moving.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7732 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7733, 7795, and 7831 : support levels are 7626, 7541, and 7318.

DJIA futures are up 105 points.

Gold futures are at $4202, silver futures are at $61.45, and oil futures are at $90.62.

MAKE OR BREAK FOR AI TRADE – MICRON EARNINGS AHEAD; CONSUMERS SPEND MORE AS INCOME DROPS

Sep 30, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Micron Earnings Ahead

Please click here for a chart of Micron stock (MU).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows that leading up to last quarter’s release, MU stock ran into zone 1.
The chart shows that after the last earnings release, MU stock fell 41%. This was in spite of Micron beating earnings consensus by 20%, revenue consensus by 15%, and earnings guidance consensus by 20%.
Trendline 3 on the chart shows that MU stock has been rising since hitting the low in July.
The chart shows that over the last few days, MU stock is consolidating below the low band of zone 1.
RSI on the chart shows MU stock can easily go either way.
Micron will report earnings today after the regular session close.
Micron whisper numbers have steadily been rising.
In The Arora Report analysis, the probability is very high that Micron will report strong numbers. Prudent investors should watch how MU stock reacts to earnings. Keep in mind that last quarter, immediately after the release of earnings, MU stock rose initially but then fell later. In the process, the momo crowd was sucked in to buy after earnings, near the top. As MU stock proceeded to drop 41%, it hurt the entire AI trade. Typically, momo crowd accounts are not diversified beyond the AI trade and are heavily in call options as well as fully margined. As MU stock fell after last quarter’s earnings report, many momo crowd accounts were hit with margin calls, resulting in forced liquidations and account blowups.
The idea of aggressively buying call options on whatever is moving up is so seductive that the momo crowd has a constant supply of newcomers that replace those whose accounts blow up.
The momo crowd situation is going to become even worse as the momo crowd starts using AI agents. So far, the preliminary data is that the way the momo crowd uses AI agents is amplifying their sheep like behavior. They all go in the same direction, now more aggressively and faster than they could prior to using AI agents.
In The Arora Report analysis, if MU stock stages sustained breakout above zone 1, the entire AI trade, and in turn the stock market, will likely move up. On the other hand, if MU stock drops, the drop will likely be cushioned by extremely aggressive momo crowd buying. The momo crowd is trained to buy every blip down because they believe stocks are going higher. The momo crowd also buys every blip higher because FOMO kicks in.
Prudent investors should also be mindful that the momo crowd’s behavior is making it difficult for institutions to invest and trade based on deep analysis.
AI valuations continue to rise. OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, intends to raise $30B at a valuation of $1.4T. As a reference, the last raise was at a valuation of $852.
ADP is the largest private payroll processor in the country. ADP uses its data to provide a glimpse of the official jobs report that will be released on Friday at 8:30am ET. The just released ADP data is strong. ADP Employment Change came at 90K vs. 58K consensus.
The U.S. economy is 70% consumer based. For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to personal income and personal spending. The data shows that even as consumer income drops, consumers are continuing to increase spending. Clearly, this is not sustainable over the long term. Here are the details:
- Personal spending came at 0.9% vs. 0.7% consensus.
- Personal income came at 0.2% vs. 0.4% consensus.
PCE is the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge. The Bureau of Economic analysis has changed its calculation for PCE for computer software, legal services, and portfolio management. The expectation has been that the changes would reduce PCE by 0.2%. Inflation came weaker than expected. Here are the details:
- - Headline PCE came at 0.3% vs. 0.4% consensus.
  - Core PCE came at 0.2% vs. 0.3% consensus.
GDP data is strong. Here are the details:
- Q2 GDP third estimate came at 2.2% vs. 1.5% consensus.
- Q2 GDP Deflator third estimate came at 6.4% vs. 6.3% consensus.
In the early trade, there is buying in stocks as yields pull back after release of economic data.
Today is the last day for quarter end window dressing and rebalancing. For details, please see the Morning Capsule from September 28.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Nvidia (NVDA), and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Meta (META) and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

API crude inventories came at a build of 1.019M barrels vs. a consensus of a draw of 1.9M barrels.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7760 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7795, 7831, and 7900 : support levels are 7733, 7626, and 7541.

DJIA futures are up 136 points.

Gold futures are at $4211, silver futures are at $61.41, and oil futures are at $90.70.

AI STOCKS SEE BUYING EVEN AS ANTHROPIC WARNS OF EXISTENTIAL RISK AND OPENAI SCRAPS NEW MODEL

Sep 29, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

AI Existential Risk

Please click here for a chart of leveraged semiconductor ETF (SOXL).

Note the following:

Semiconductors reflect the AI trade, and SOXL is the momo crowd’s favorite.
The chart shows that SOXL is consolidating right below the low band of zone 2 (resistance).
RSI on the chart shows that SOXL can easily go either way.
For prudent investors, it will be a tell if SOXL is able to break above the low band of zone 2 or if it pulls back.

Anthropic, the maker of Claude, is issuing a stark warning in its IPO prospectus. Anthropic says AI could pose “catastrophic or existential risks to humanity.”

- The risks include AI models resisting shutdown, concealing or manipulating information, and blackmail behavior.
- Anthropic is reportedly devoting about 80 pages of its 261-page prospectus to risks. As a reference, Anthropic is devoting about 48 pages to its business.
OpenAI has canceled the planned release of GPT-6.1 Astra due to safety problems. The model proceeded without authorization, attempted to use external tools when it was unsafe, and engaged in deception.
Prudent investors need to understand that markets are often perverse. In spite of very serious AI safety warnings from Anthropic and OpenAI, buying is coming into AI stocks in the early trade. Here are the reasons:

- The prevailing belief among many investors is that AI safety concerns are a red herring and will not materially slow the AI boom.

- OpenAI’s annual DevDay developer conference is this afternoon, and investors are expecting a series of positive announcements, including new AI models and products.
- Investors expect OpenAI and other AI companies to soon release new models that deliver greater capabilities while meeting their safety standards; OpenAI is reportedly still planning to unveil other models even after scrapping GPT-6.1 Astra.
Oil is pulling back on the news of indirect negotiations through Qatar between Iran and the US. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is issuing a direct appeal to the American people. While crossing the Straight of Hormuz, a ship was struck, but as of right now, the oil market is ignoring this development.
A drop in oil is also bringing in buying in the stock market in the early trade.
Cross currents of window dressing and rebalancing continue. Please see yesterday’s Morning Capsule for details.
JOLTS job opening data and consumer confidence will be released at 10am ET and may be market moving.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Meta (META) and Nvidia (NVDA),

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and positive in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is rangebound.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are rangebound.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7753 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7900, 7831, and 7795: support levels are 7733, 7626, and 7541.

DJIA futures are up 28 points.

Gold futures are at $4188, silver futures are at $61.23, and oil futures are at $90.31.

IRAN CALL PROVES SPOT ON AS OIL RISES, STOCKS COME UNDER PRESSURE — WINDOW DRESSING AND REBALANCING AHEAD

Sep 28, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Iran Hopium Dashed

Please click here for a chart of the oil ETF (USO).

Note the following:

The chart shows that this morning in the early trade oil ETF USO is rising.
The chart shows that oil is now at the top band of zone 1 (resistance).
The chart shows that oil is now at the same level that it was during peak Iran fear during May of this year.
The chart shows that earlier in September, oil rose above the peak Iran fear level; the reason was that the Chinese came back into the market buying oil.
The RSI on the chart shows that oil has significant room to rise.
The Arora Report call from last week is proving spot on. We wrote on September 25, 2026:

In the early trade, there is also bullishness on Iran hopium as oil pulls back. Iran has presented a proposal to the U.S. to resolve the war. In The Arora Report analysis, unless President Trump decides to backtrack from what he has said, the U.S. is unlikely to accept Iran’s conditions.

The news is that President Trump has rejected Iran’s proposal.
In the early trade, yields are rising, and bonds are falling due to rising oil prices. In turn, rising yields are bringing pressure on stocks in the early trade.
In the Arora Report analysis, prudent investors need to be very careful to not be whipsawed. The reason is that President Trump watches the stock market more than any other President in history. President Trump is also an expert at keeping the stock market at elevated levels. All it will take is a statement or a post from President Trump or another administration official, or a report that progress is being made with Iran, for oil to fall again. If oil falls, yields will pull back, and the stock market can rise.
Investors should consider getting ahead of the curve about two Wall Street mechanics at play this week.
- Expect quarter end window dressing. In window dressing, some money managers buy the best performing stocks and sell underperforming stocks. This way they can show their clients in quarter end reports that they were holding the best performing stocks and not underperforming stocks. In The Arora Report analysis, window dressing is likely to bring buying in Mag 7, semiconductors, and other AI stocks.
- Expect quarter end rebalancing. In The Arora Report analysis, many funds will buy bonds and sell stocks. The reason is that stocks have done well this quarter and bonds have done poorly. Many funds attempt to maintain a certain ratio of stocks to bonds in their portfolios.

In The Arora Report analysis, money outflows in stocks from rebalancing are likely to be significantly larger than money flows in stocks from window dressing.

In important news, NVDA is announcing that it is increasing the buyback of its own stock by $150B.
In the early trade, the fever surrounding CPUs and META Muse appears to be breaking. META stock has been experiencing a buying fever since the announcement of AI Agent Muse. AI agents use CPUs. This has resulted in a buying fever in stocks of companies that make CPUs such as INTC, AMD, QCOM, and ARM.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Apple (AAPL), and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Tesla (TSLA) and Meta (META).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing selling.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7778 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7900, 7831, 7795; support levels are 7733, 7626, 7541.

DJIA futures are down 246 points.

Gold futures are at $4182, silver futures are at $61.63, and oil futures are at $94.22.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.

AMD, ARM, AVGO, BTCUSD, DIA, DJIA, GDX, GLD, GOLD, INTC, MARKETS, META, MU, OIL, QCOM, QQQ, SILVER, SLV, SOXL, SPX, SPY, TBF, TBT, TBX, TLT, USO

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