HERE ARE THE MONEY FLOWS YOU NEED TO KNOW – UKRAINE CRISIS

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know now.

Deception In War

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark for the stock market index (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows when PBS reported that Putin had decided to invade Russia.
We wrote in the Interim Capsule

Do you think that Putin would be telling PBS but nobody else that he had decided to invade Ukraine?

Subsequently, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan denied the PBS report but warned Americans to leave Ukraine in the next 48 hours and stated that a Russian invasion could begin quickly.
Deception is common in war. Could Russia or the U.S. be using PBS as an instrument to deceive? Could Jake Sullivan be saying what he is saying to deter Russia? Some of the readers may want to read the book The Art of War by Sun Tzu. It is about ancient times in China, but the tactics of war have not changed. The book is one of the best out there to develop an understanding of the kind of games that are played.
Take a look at everything relating to Russia with a jaundiced eye.
The VUD indicator is the most sensitive measure of net supply demand in real-time. The orange represents net supply and the green represents net demand.
The chart shows that there was heavy supply of stocks after the PBS report. The VUD indicator shows that net demand for stocks is coming in as of this writing.

Money Flows

Here are the latest money flows.

Money is rushing out of stocks.
Money is rushing into gold.
Money is rushing into bonds.
Money is rushing into oil.

Hedges

We are raising the top band of the short term hedges. Please see the separate post. The fact is that nobody other than Russian top brass knows if Russia is going to attack Ukraine this weekend. Further, it is hard to tell the form of the attack even though Jake Sullivan painted several scenarios.

History

History shows that if there is a significant drop in the stock market due to geopolitics such as Russia attacking Ukraine, the drop is likely to be a buying opportunity.

Money Flows

The momo crowd money flows since the Morning Capsule are very 🔒 (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial).

Smart money flows since the Morning Capsule are 🔒.

Short squeeze money flows are 🔒.

A Special Note To New Subscribers

Note the smart money behavior. Smart money tends to sell into strength on strong up days.

New subscribers should consider adopting smart money’s way of investing and trading.

Sentiment

Sentiment is 🔒.

Sentiment is a contrary indicator at extremes. In plain English, this means that when sentiment becomes extremely positive it is time to sell and when sentiment becomes extremely negative it is time to buy.

Close

Orders on close are indeterminable due to extreme volatility.

There is merit to watching the pattern of market on close orders as they represent the day’s dominant net cumulative activity by many professionals and funds.

Gold

The momo crowd money flows in gold are 🔒 since the Morning Capsule.

Smart money flows are 🔒 in gold since the Morning Capsule.

Oil

The momo crowd money flows in oil are 🔒 since the Morning Capsule.

Smart money flows in oil are 🔒 since the Morning Capsule.

Buy Zones And Buy Now Ratings

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Nibbling

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This post was published yesterday in The Arora Report paid services. Since then the Morning Capsule has had an update in the paid services.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.