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TRADING APPLE AFTER ITS INCREDIBLE IPHONE RUN ENDS $AAPL $QQQ

January 29, 2014

The incredible multi-year iPhone run across the globe has ended. Apple’s earnings report and conference call make the conclusion unmistakable. My conviction was so strong that I did not hesitate from penning a column explaining the fundamentals behind the conclusion. It is true that Apple AAPL makes many products other than iPhones. However, from an investment perspective, everything else pales in comparison to them. The reason is that Apple derives about three quarters of its profits from iPhones, and iPhones have been the main growth engine. The question for investors and short-term traders alike is how to trade or invest in Apple now. Let’s

INCREDIBLE MULTI-YEAR IPHONE RUN ENDS $AAPL $CHL $T $TMUS #APPLE EARNINGS

January 27, 2014

Apple (AAPL) reported earnings after the market close. The Apple stock ended the regular session at $550.50. In the after-hours it has touched $501, down about 8%. As I listened to the conference call, just like I have listened to every conference call since before the launch of iPhone, I could not help but conclude that the incredible multi-year iPhone run has ended. Here is why. Apple only sold 51 million iPhones during the quarter. This compares to consensus of about 56 million iPhones. This is one of the biggest misses in recent memory. There were two big surprises on the conference

TAKE PARTIAL PROFITS ON GENERAC $GNRC

January 27, 2014

40% of the full core position size is being held. IT is time to take profits on a 10% tranche in the zone of $45.32 to $46.26. The stock is at $46.15 as of this writing. Consider continuing to hold the remaining position

TAKE PARTIAL PROFITS ON JOHNSON CONTROLS $JCI

January 27, 2014

This post was just published on ZYX Short Change Alert After Friday’s profit taking, 30% of the full core position size is being held in JCI from an average price of $51.79. Consider taking partial profits on a 10% tranche in the zone of $45.231 to $46.81.. The stock is at $46.56 as of this writing.

DON’T EXPECT SOLAR CELLS IN THE NEXT IPHONE $AAPL $GTAT $MMM #APPLE

January 27, 2014

Back in November of 2013, I explained in detail the rationale for a sapphire screen on Apple (AAPL) iPhone 6 in my column on Forbes titled Sapphire Screen For iPhone 6 Could Be A Real Gem. Since then, media has picked up on the story. Now there is a new twist that Apple will combine solar cells with a sapphire screen in iPhone 6. The argument for sapphire screen was based on Apple advancing $578 million to GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) to produce sapphire on a large scale at an Apple facility in Arizona. This morning my screen lit up with several

SAMSUNG GUIDANCE CHANGES APPLE EARNINGS BATTLE PLAN $AAPL $CHL $LNGVF

January 27, 2014

Apple will report earnings after the market close on Monday January 27. My battle plan has changed after Samsung just provided weak guidance. Fourth quarter results for Samsung were mostly in line. Earnings came at 8.3 trillion won and revenues came at 59.7 trillion won. In Seoul South Korea, Samsung shares traded up 1.2%. Of concern is that for 2014 Samsung expects competition to intensify and sees weaker demand for mobile devices in the current quarter. The increased competition Samsung sees is mostly coming from Apple and Lenovo (LNVGF). My read of Samsung report is that it is likely good

WEEKLY MARKET DIGEST: A MUST SEE CURRENCY CHART FOR EVERY STOCK INVESTOR $GLD $SLV $USO $DIA $SPY $QQQ $TBF $TBT

January 24, 2014

(The Weekly Digest reproduces the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers. ) A MUST SEE CURRENCY CHART FOR EVERY STOCK INVESTOR January 24, 2014 Lately there has been a remarkable correlation between the U. S. stock market and the Japanese yen. The chart compares ETF SPY which represents S&P 500 to ETF YCS which represents 100% leveraged inverse position in Japanese yen against the U. S. dollar. The chart shows six incidence of a dip in YCS since December that also correlated with dip in S&P 500.

TAKE PARTIAL PROFITS ON FOREST LABS $FRX

January 24, 2014

This post was just published on ZYX Short Change Alert. Those who took advantage of the pre-market spike on January 21st when the stock traded as high as $75.30 should be holding 40% of the full core position size from an average price around $72.88. The stock is trading at $66.05 as of this writing but has traded as low as $65.19. Consider taking profits on 20% of the position in the zone of $64.50 to $66.20. Consider holding the rest.