WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

Twitter
LinkedIn
Facebook

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

 

10X STOCK MARKET RISE SINCE ARORA BACK UP THE TRUCK AND BUY SIGNAL – WHAT TO DO NOW

Oct 3, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Epic Bull Market

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

  • The chart of SPY is a quarterly chart to give you a long term picture.
  • The chart shows in 2007 the Arora Protection Band was at 100%.  The chart shows that the stock market subsequently fell 50%.
  • The chart shows the Arora back up the truck and buy signal was given on March 9, 2009.  At the time of the signal, it was a bold call.  With the benefit of hindsight, March 9, 2009 turned out to be the start of an epic bull market.
  • The chart shows that the stock market has risen 10X since the Arora back up the truck and buy signal.
  • Prudent investors should pay attention to the comparison between 2007, 2009, and now.
    • Sentiment
      • In 2007, sentiment was extremely positive.  Greed was dominant, and fear did not exist.
      • In 2009, sentiment was extremely negative.  Fear was dominant, and greed did not exist.
      • In 2025, sentiment is extremely positive.  Greed is dominant, and fear is minimal.
    • Wall Street
      • In 2007, Wall Street was very positive and raising targets.
      • In 2009, Wall Street was very negative and lowering targets.
      • In 2025, Wall Street is very positive and raising targets.
    • Momo Crowd
      • In 2007, the momo crowd was the dominant force in buying stocks.
      • In 2009, the momo crowd was the dominant force in selling stocks.
      • In 2025, the momo crowd is the dominant force in buying stocks.
    • Smart Money
      • In 2007, smart money was selling stocks.
      • In 2009, smart money was aggressively buying stocks.
      • In 2025, smart money is slowing trimming stocks.
  • Here is The Arora Report analysis:
    • When conditions are similar to 2007, prudent investors should be 100% hedged on long positions, buying inverse ETFs, and short selling aggressively.
    • When conditions are similar to 2009, prudent investors should be aggressively buying strategic positions.
    • Under current market conditions, prudent investors should be holding good strategic positions, starting new strategic positions only on pullbacks, and focusing on special situations as well as tactical positions.  
  • ISM Services will be released at 10am ET and may be market moving.
  • Due to the government shutdown, the jobs report is not available today.
  • So far, the government shutdown has been overshadowed by massive AI deals.  As an example, please see yesterday’s Morning Capsule regarding the massive memory deal.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, if the government shutdown lasts longer, the stock market may start noticing.  The plan continues to be to buy stocks on any dip.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks.  For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks.  It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks.  The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis.  When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL) and Alphabet (GOOG).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is l *** in oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is range bound.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6768 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 41 points.

Gold futures are at $3895, silver futures are at $47.71, and oil futures are at $60.72.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.  The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular.  The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.  The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.  If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.  A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.  When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.  High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.  Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

 

OPENAI’S STARGATE MASSIVE MEMORY DEAL WITH KOREANS SPARKS MORE FRENZY IN AI TRADE AND OVERSHADOWS GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN

Oct 2, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Stargate Memory Deal

Please click here for a chart of Micron stock (MU).

Note the following:

  • The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point.
  • The chart shows that MU stock initially fell in the premarket because its South Korean competitors announced a big deal with OpenAI, maker of ChatGPT.  Micron was not included.
  • The chart shows a huge up move in MU stock when investors realized that even though Micron was not included in the deal, memory is a commodity, and as such, Micron will benefit due to supply constraints.  When supply is constrained in a commodity, prices rise and so do the profits of a company like Micron that produces the commodity.
  • Long time members of The Arora Report are long MU stock from $21.77.  With MU stock trading at $184.26 as of this writing in the premarket, this represents a 746% gain.
  • For the Stargate data centers, OpenAI has signed a massive preliminary deal with two South Korean companies Samsung (SSNLF) and SK Hynix (HXSCL).
  • In The Arora Report analysis, the deal is so massive that at its peak it will consume 40% of global DRAM production.  There are three main producers of high bandwidth DRAM memory.  SK Hynix is the leader with about 60% market share.  Samsung and Micron (MU) have about 20% market share each.
  • The memory deal is so massive that it triggered frenzied buying in the entire AI trade, including stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA), Vertiv (VRT), Dell Technologies (DELL), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), Sandisk (SNDK), Western Digital (WDC), and Seagate Technology (STX).
  • The scale of the memory deal is overshadowing the negative implications of the government shutdown.
  • The positive sentiment from the AI trade and blind money lifted the entire stock market after a lower open yesterday on the government shutdown.
  • South Korean stocks hit a record high.  ZYX Emerging by The Arora Report has covered South Korea continuously for 18 years.  The position in South Korea ETF (EWY) is very profitable.  The Arora Report recently gave a signal to take partial profits in EWY, taking advantage of the strength.
  • The initial jobless claims data is not available due to the government shutdown.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.
See also  A NEW YELLOW FLAG FOR PRUDENT INVESTORS – INVESTORS TURN A $4M COMPANY INTO AN $8B CRYPTO GIANT

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks.  For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks.  It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks.  The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis.  When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6779 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are down 12 points.

Gold futures are at $3909, silver futures are at $47.60, and oil futures are at $61.49.

 

HEDGE AMERICA TRADE SPEEDS UP ON GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN, PLAN TO BUY ANY BIG DROP, BLIND MONEY BUYING AHEAD

Oct 1, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Hedge America Trade

Please click here for a chart of gold ETF (GLD).

Note the following:

  • The chart of GLD is a monthly chart to give you a long term picture.
  • The chart shows a parabolic move up in gold.
  • The chart shows resistance is at zone 1.  Zone 1 is also the magnet for traders.
  • Gold is moving up again on the government shutdown.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, gold has become the quintessential hedge America trade.  Foreigners do not want to buy U.S. stocks, but to participate in the AI revolution, foreigners have no choice but to buy U.S. stocks.  The solution foreigners have found is to hedge their U.S. holdings with gold.  Foreigners’ main concerns are the $37T debt, continued deficit spending, dysfunction in Washington DC, and tariffs.
  • Healthcare subsidies are at the heart of the government shutdown.  Here are the key points:
    • Some of the subsidies for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) are going to expire at the end of the year.
    • The subsidies that are expiring are enhanced subsidies that lower premiums by imposing a cap on premiums as a percentage of income.
    • Out of 24.3M people with ACA coverage, 22.4M receive subsidies.
    • President Trump says that Democrats want $1T in spending on healthcare over the next 10 years.
    • There are also differences between Republicans and Democrats on subsidies for immigrants.
  • For investors, The Arora Report’s call is to buy if there is a substantial dip in the stock market.  The plan is to lower the Arora Protection Band on a 4% – 7% dip in the stock market.  
  • Expect blind money to flow into the stock market today and tomorrow.  Blind money is the money that flows into the stock market on the first two days of the month without any analysis irrespective of market conditions.
  • ADP is the largest private payroll processor in the country.  ADP uses its data to provide a glimpse of the official jobs report that is scheduled to be released on Friday at 8:30am ET.  The official jobs report could be delayed if an agreement is not reached in time.  ADP employment change came at -32K vs. +40K consensus.  This indicates employment is weakening faster than anticipated.
  • A weakening employment picture is consistent with data showing weakening consumer confidence.  The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index came at 94.2 vs. 96.0 consensus.
  • There are always crosscurrents in the markets.  JOLTS job openings data was stronger than expected.  JOLTS data came at 7.227M vs. 7.2M consensus.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, unless the official jobs report is strong and inflation data is hotter, there is now a 90% probability of a rate cut in October.     
  • ISM Manufacturing Index will be released at 10am ET and may be market moving.
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks.  For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks.  It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks.  The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis.  When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is ***  in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

See also  WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

API crude inventories came at a draw of 3.674M barrels vs. a previous draw of 3.821M barrels.

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6712 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are down 148 points.

Gold futures are at $3912, silver futures are at $47.56, and oil futures are at $61.99.

 

SMALL TRADERS GET A LICENSE TO LOSE MONEY – ROBINHOOD TO BENEFIT, UNEXPECTED BANKRUPTCIES – EXPECT MORE

Sep 30, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

License To Lose

Please click here for a chart of Robinhood stock (HOOD).

Note the following:

  • The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of HOOD stock is being used to illustrate the point.
  • The chart shows a mad rush to buy Robinhood stock.  Robinhood is a broker that primarily caters to younger and smaller investors.
  • Robinhood will be the prime beneficiary of the new license to lose money that small traders are about to receive.  Other brokers that will benefit include Schwab (SCHW), Interactive Brokers (IBKR), Webull (BULL), and eToro (ETOR).
  • Back in 2000, a large number of day traders, especially smaller traders, went bankrupt and brokers were exposed to large risks.  This resulted in Pattern Day Trading (PDT) regulation.  The regulation requires that when a trader executes four or more day trades in five business days in a margin account and those trades are more than 6% of the trading activity, the account is marked as PDT.   PDT is required to maintain a minimum of $25K.  When the balance falls below $25K, no new day trades are allowed.
  • PDT has been very successful in preventing small unsophisticated traders from quickly blowing their accounts.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, over 99% of small day traders lose money.   PDT saved small day traders from themselves.  After removal of PDT, small day traders will be one of the most lucrative segments for stock brokers because these traders are not sophisticated and usually use market orders.  These traders are also heavy users of options and primarily buy highly risky stocks that pumps happen to be pumping at the moment.  Market orders and option orders are most lucrative for brokers.
  • FINRA’s removal of PDT still needs the SEC’s approval.  The SEC is expected to approve it.
  • In addition to the removal of PDT being highly profitable for stock brokers, the advances in technology since 2001 will make it easier to apply regular margin requirements in real time, thus eliminating risk for the brokers.  There has always been a philosophical conflict between those who want to protect small investors from losses and those who believe the government has no role in protecting small investors.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, in the bigger picture, the removal of PDT is a sign of extreme positive sentiment and a belief that markets are only a one way street that leads to riches – no protection is needed.    
  • In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors need to be cautious when there is no fear, like right now, and be aggressive buyers when there is a lot of fear of losses.  A great example is The Arora Report’s signal on March 9, 2009 to back up the truck and buy stocks at a time when the sentiment was at extreme negative and fear was at the maximum.  Hindsight tells us that March 9, 2009 happened to be the exact bottom from which the long bull market started.  In contrast, right now, there is no fear, and greed is at a maximum.
  • Prudent investors should note that in the middle of all the bullishness, recently, two large companies unexpectedly filed for bankruptcy.  The companies filing for bankruptcy are auto parts company First Brands and used car dealer Tricolor.  The stock market is oblivious to these bankruptcies.  In The Arora Report analysis, more unexpected bankruptcies are ahead, especially where subprime credit is involved.  No amount of AI is going to solve the pressure lower income consumers are facing.  As a matter of fact, as AI eats jobs, the pressure on lower income consumers is going to get worse.  
  • Consumer confidence and JOLTS job openings will both be released at 10am ET.  The data may be market moving.
  • Quarter end rebalancing will occur later today.  Today is also the last day of window dressing.  Window dressing is exerting upward pressure on stocks, whereas rebalancing will likely exert downward pressure.
  • Investors will also be watching progress on avoiding a government shutdown.  If no agreement is reached, the government will shut down tomorrow.  If stocks fall on a government shutdown, the tentative plan is to buy.  
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks.  For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks.  It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks.  The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis.  When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is range bound.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6707 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are down 64 points.

Gold futures are at $3847, silver futures are at $46.37, and oil futures are at $62.41.

 

GOLD SOARS ON SHUTDOWN FEARS BUT PHYSICAL DEMAND WEAKENS, BUYING STOCKS FOR WINDOW DRESSING BUT REBALANCING AHEAD

Sep 29, 2025

See also  TRADING BREAKTHROUGH WITH QUANTUM COMPUTING, STRONG ECONOMIC DATA UPSETS MOMO CROWD IN STOCK MARKET

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Gold Soars

Please click here for a chart of gold ETF (GLD).

Note the following:

  • The chart shows gold is soaring to a new high.
  • The chart shows zone 1 (resistance) is the magnet.
  • The chart shows zone 2 (support) is not far below.
  • RSI on the chart shows gold is overbought and vulnerable to a pullback.  More importantly, RSI is showing a divergence.  A divergence often foretells a pullback unless there is macro news.
  • Prudent investors should note the following:
    • This leg up in gold is being primarily driven by investors new to gold. Most of these new investors have never owned gold before and have traditionally been crypto buyers and part of the stock market momo crowd.
    • Investors new to gold are blindly buying, attracted by the magnet shown as zone 1 on the chart.  
    • In contrast to investors new to gold, long time members of The Arora Report are long gold from the cycle lows near $1000.  Newer members to The Arora Report also have very large gains on gold as they bought gold in the Arora buy zones.
    • Gold ETF (GLD) is in the ZYX Allocation Model Portfolio, and silver ETF (SLV) and gold miner Newmont (NEM) are in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio.  All three positions have large gains.
    • The Arora Report ratings on silver and gold have consistently been spot on for the last 18 years.  The Arora Report’s gold ratings are used by individual investors, money managers, hedge funds, bullion dealers, and jewelers all across the globe.  The Arora Report’s gold ratings are accessible from the main menu in the Real Time Feed.
    • It appears that investors who have been buying gold all along are no longer buying gold.  This pattern is similar to the pattern seen in 2011.  After giving repeated signals to back up the truck and buy gold when gold was in the $600 range, in 2011 when gold reached $1904, The Arora Report gave a signal to sell 50% of the gold position and put a stop on the remaining 50% at $1857.  Gold topped the same day the Arora sell signal was given.  Gold subsequently fell close to $1000.  
    • As investors new to gold rush to buy gold, gold ETFs, and gold futures, they are oblivious that the demand for physical gold is weakening, especially in India and China.  India and China are the biggest consumers of physical gold.  From our sources,  physical gold is being sold at as much as a $40 discount due to weak demand.  
  • The rise in gold this morning is being triggered by fears that the U.S. government will shut down.  In contrast to gold, stock market investors are not concerned about the possible government shutdown.
  • Here is what prudent investors need to know about the possible government shutdown:
    • Historically, Democrats and Republicans reach a deal at the last minute.
    • In The Arora Report analysis, if the stock market drops on a government shutdown, it will be a buying opportunity.  
  • This is the end of the quarter.  This morning, window dressing related buying in the stock market is very aggressive.  In window dressing, some money managers buy the best performing stocks of the quarter and sell the weakest stocks of the quarter.  The purpose is to show their clients in the quarter end reports that they were holding the best performing stocks.
  • In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should not get carried away with window dressing buying because quarter end rebalancing is ahead.  Further, in The Arora Report analysis, quarter end rebalancing will result in selling stocks by those who are rebalancing.  
  • In a sign of the times, the largest buyout by private equity ever has just taken place.
    • The buyout is of video game maker Electronic Arts (EA) for $55B.  The Arora Report had identified EA as a buyout target a long time ago.  EA is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from $20.74.  This represents a gain of 913% for members of The Arora Report.  EA is the 212th Arora Portfolio company to be bought out.
    • The prior largest buyout was for $45B for Texas power company (TXU) in 2007.  The stock market crashed in 2008.  
    • In 2007, sentiment was extremely positive and liquidity was very high, just as it is now in 2025.  
  • As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.   Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks.  For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks.  It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks.  The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis.  When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.  Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways.  The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals.  Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.  This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.  Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

There are rumors that OPEC+ will increase production by 137K barrels.  This is bearish for oil. 

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade.  Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6733 as of this writing.  S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 204 points.

Gold futures are at $3843, silver futures are at $46.85, and oil futures are at $64.53.

 

To take a free 30-day trial to paid services to gain access to more opportunities, please click here.

Markets can generate substantial wealth for knowledgeable investors. NOW YOU TOO CAN ALSO SPECTACULARLY SUCCEED AT MEETING YOUR GOALS WITH THE HELP OF THE ARORA REPORT. You are receiving less than 1% of the content from our paid services. …TO RECEIVE REMAINING 99%, INCLUDING MANY ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES AND SIGNALS IN REAL TIME, TAKE A FREE
TRIAL TO PAID SERVICES.

The Arora Report is one of the only major global investment newsletters that does not employ a single salesperson—because it does not need to. While competitors rely on high-pressure sales tactics, The Arora Report grows purely through results, with satisfied members recommending it to their family and friends.

Join the service that investors trust the most and recommend to family and friends.

Please click here to take advantage of a FREE 30 day trial.

Picture of Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Picture of Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.

Subscribe to 'Generate Wealth'

Free Forever

More To Explore

30 Day Free Trial

Cancel within 30 days and you owe nothing

When you take a FREE 30 day trial, you get access to powerful techniques used by billionaires and hedge funds to grow richer. You can continue to use these powerful techniques to grow richer even if you cancel your subscription. You come out ahead by subscribing no matter how you look at it.

AI is power hungry. Investors will make a fortune from nuclear power for AI.
Get the list of 12 nuclear power stocks to grab your share of the profits.

AI is power hungry. Investors will make a fortune from nuclear power for AI.

Get the list of 12 nuclear power stocks to grab your share of the profits.

Big Tech is investing billions

Making A Fortune
In Nuclear Energy

Golden Age of Nuclear Energy

Skip to content