WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

October 18, 2025

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

THIRD COCKROACH SHOWS UP BUT MOMO CROWD SAYS IT IS THE LAST ONE, GOLD TO $6K BUT A BLOWOFF TOP FIRST

Oct 17, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Prudent Investors Pay Attention

Please click here for a chart of regional bank Western Alliance stock (WAL).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of WAL stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows the gap down on a loan charge-off.
Another regional bank Zions (ZION) also had a charge-off.
The charge-off in both banks is from the same customer linked to distressed commercial mortgages.
Investors may recall the drop in the stock market after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023.
This loan charge-off is akin to the third cockroach that has shown up. The second cockroach was the bankruptcy of auto parts company First Brands. The first cockroach was the bankruptcy of used car deal Tricolor. Please see the Morning Capsule from September 30 for more.
Momo gurus believe these are idiosyncratic issues. You may be wondering how the momo crowd is responding to the drop in WAL and ZION stocks. WAL dipped as low as $68.00, but aggressive momo crowd buying has brought it to $71.75 as of this writing in the premarket. ZION dipped as low as $46.09, but aggressive momo crowd buying has brought it to $48.99 as of this writing in the premarket.
As a prudent investor, you need to decide if there are more cockroaches if three have already appeared. The world’s smartest banker Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan (JPM), said, “…when you see one cockroach, there are probably more… Everyone should be forewarned on this.”
In The Arora Report analysis, right now, many serious problems are lurking under the surface. Prudent investors need to remember what Warren Buffett said, “Only when the tide goes out do you learn who has been swimming naked.”
Gold has rocketed as investors rushed to the safety of gold. As is well known, The Arora Report has been long gold from just above $1000, and The Arora Report’s ratings on gold are used across the globe by investors, money managers, hedge funds, bullion dealers, and jewelers. In The Arora Report analysis, it is not prudent to buy gold here. Last night, there was panic buying in gold, with gold futures reaching $4392. Silver went along for the ride with silver futures reaching as high as $53.76. You can see The Arora Report’s ratings on gold and silver from the main menu in the Real Time Feeds.
For a longer term analysis on gold and silver, please see the gold section below.
Investors are also rushing into U.S. Treasuries. The yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries fell below 4%. In The Arora Report analysis, it is also not prudent to rush into long term U.S. Treasuries.
By now, some of you may be asking if it is not prudent to buy gold or long term U.S. Treasuries right here, how can investors protect themselves? The answer is to follow the Arora Protection Band. Those who are following the Arora Protection Band are already ahead of the curve.
Futures were trading lower in the early trade but then moved up on President Trump’s comments about China.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

India and Russia

It appears President Trump has spoken to Indian Prime Minister Modi, and Modi has agreed to cut oil purchases from Russia in half.

President Trump sees the best way to put pressure on Russia to stop the Ukraine war is to stop India from buying Russian oil. President Trump is meeting with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy today and will be meeting with Russian President Putin later in Budapest.

What happens in Ukraine has serious implications for oil and the markets.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks. For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks. It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks. The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis. When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Alphabet (GOOG).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals. Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The primary narrative that is driving gold and silver higher is dollar debasement. Based on The Arora Report algorithms, there is a 65% probability that this narrative will continue to the end of 2026 and beyond, but it is not possible at this time to confidently predict the intensity of this narrative. Having said that, if the dollar debasement narrative becomes intense, gold can hit $6000, and silver can reach $75 in the long term. On the other hand, both gold and silver are technically very overbought. As a result, a sharp pullback can occur anytime. A sharp pullback can bring gold to $3500 and silver to $40. An even sharper correction can occur if inflation heats up and the Fed is unable to lower interest rates as anticipated.

In the near term, gold is showing all of the signs that typically precede a blowoff top. At this time, the probability of a blowoff top occurring in gold and silver is 90%. Remember, this is only near term. The plan is to buy more gold, silver, and miners on any substantial dip.

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** gold in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

Please see the India and Russia section above. The Arora Report oil ratings can be accessed from the main menu in the Real Time Feeds.

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing selling.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6660 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 54 points.

Gold futures are at $4316, silver futures are at $51.86, and oil futures are at $57.13.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror. The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular. The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

STOCK BUYING ON NEW AI DATA, POTENTIAL CHINA TRUCE EXTENSION, LAC AND ABAT SHOW INSANITY

Oct 16, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Reinforcement Of AI Trade

Please click here for a chart of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company stock (TSM).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of TSM stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The trendline on the chart shows TSM stock continues to move up in a new leg.
The chart shows TSM stock is up this morning after reporting earnings.
Taiwan Semiconductor reported earnings. Here are the details:
- Revenues came at $33.1B vs. $32.07B consensus.
- Revenues increased 40.1% year-over-year.
- In Q3, advanced semiconductors, defined as those at 7 nanometers or less, were 74% of total wafer revenue.
- The company guides Q4 revenues of $32.3B – $33.4B vs. $31.55B consensus.
Taiwan Semiconductor manufactures AI chips for Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).
Prudent investors should note an indication of exuberance among U.S. investors – TSM ADRs in the U.S. trade at a 26% premium to the shares in Taiwan. Taiwan Semiconductor is a Taiwanese company.
Earnings from Taiwan Semiconductor are reinforcing the strength of the AI trade. There is aggressive buying in AI stocks in the early trade.
There is also aggressive buying this morning in the stock market on the potential of kicking the can down the road in the China and U.S. trade war. The pause on tariffs on Chinese goods is set to expire in early November when the previous extension from August 12 will expire. Treasury Secretary Bessent suggested an extension of the truce between the U.S. and China could be reached if China backs off from its tightened control on rare earth mineral exports.
Lithium Americas (LAC) and American Battery Technology (ABAT) have become the poster children of momo crowd insanity.
- The momo crowd believes lithium is a rare earth mineral, which it is not.
- The momo crowd does not understand that there is plenty of lithium outside of China.
- The momo crowd does not want to know that the supply of lithium is more than the demand.
- The momo crowd ran LAC stock from $3.09 to as high as $10.57 and ran ABAT stock from $2.41 to as high as $11.49 on mistaken beliefs.
- Does the momo crowd have special expertise in lithium, batteries, the Department of War (DOW), or the Department of Energy (DOE)? The momo crowd believes they do because they listen to pumpers on social media.
- To Wall Street’s credit, Wall Street has been trying to set the record straight, but to no avail.
- The Department of Energy terminated a grant to American Battery Technology. ABAT stock has fallen to $6.86 as of this writing in the premarket. The momo crowd believes the dip is a gift and is aggressively buying ABAT stock.
- A major bank downgraded LAC today saying what you already knew as a member of The Arora Report from reading the Morning Capsule on September 25.
ABAT and LAC stocks are emblematic of the insanity that is going on in many popular stocks right now. History tells us that such insanity never ends well. It always ends the same way: the momo crowd losing 70% – 100% of their account values.
At this time, prudent investors should carefully guard against becoming afflicted with FOMO (fear of missing out).
Producer Price Index (PPI), retail sales, and initial jobless claims will not be released today as scheduled due to the government shutdown.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

India

President Trump is claiming that India will stop buying Russian oil. It appears that President Trump is again setting his sights on securing peace in Ukraine after his big win in the Middle East. You may recall that President Trump imposed 50% tariffs on Indian goods for India buying Russian oil. Normally, there would have been a signal to add to Indian stocks with ETFs EPI, SMIN, and GLIN in ZYX Emerging, but at this time, reports from India are contradicting what President Trump is saying.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

Gold and silver continue to see new highs. Money flows are especially strong in gold ETF (GLD) and silver ETF (SLV). Prudent investors should note that gold and silver are very overbought, and as such, it is not prudent to buy right here.

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6741 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 79 points.

Gold futures are at $4255, silver futures are at $52.10, and oil futures are at $58.45.

POWELL TRIGGERED STOCK BUYING OUTWEIGHS TRUMP POST ON SOYBEANS AND COOKING OIL, WALMART MOVES TO AGENTIC COMMERCE

Oct 15, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Rate Cut Hopes Win Out

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market drop on Friday on tensions heating up between the U.S. and China and TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) traders running the stock market back up Monday morning.
The chart shows Fed Chair Powell’s speech yesterday driving the stock market higher. Fed Chair Powell’s speech indicated the Fed may cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting.
The chart shows the stock market’s reaction to President Trump’s post on soybeans and cooking oil.
The chart shows the prospect of rate cuts overshadowed President Trump showing his next move in the trade war with China. President Trump’s Truth Social post which stated, “We are considering terminating business with China having to do with Cooking Oil, and other elements of Trade, as retribution.” The issue is China is not buying soybeans from the U.S.
In The Arora Report analysis, President Trump’s threat to China on cooking oil is not going to mean much. China has its eye on replacing the U.S. as the world’s superpower, and as such, China is not going to care about cooking oil. Also due to U.S. tariffs and China cutting tax rebates, the imports of cooking oil have fallen 65% this year prior to President Trump’s latest threat.
In yesterday’s Morning Capsule, we shared with you:

This morning TACO traders are meeting CAHN (China Always Holds Its Nerve) traders.

China’s President Xi has seen how the U.S. markets respond to President Trump escalating the trade war and how President Trump responds. The stock market drop on Friday played into President Xi’s plan to hold steady.
Walmart (WMT), the largest retailer in the U.S., and OpenAI announced a partnership. Consumers will be able to make purchases via an instant checkout in ChatGPT.
WMT is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from $19.25. WMT stock is trading at $107.64 as of this writing in the premarket, representing a 459% gain. From a technical perspective, WMT stock has broken out.
In The Arora Report analysis, Walmart’s move to agentic commerce is a major milestone. Further, the Walmart move is a departure from the traditional practice of large retailers such as Walmart guarding the purchasing data and then profiting from selling the purchasing data and using it to bring in advertisers. Now, it appears OpenAI will get access to Walmart’s purchasing data, giving ChatGPT a leg up over its competitors.
Among earnings, Bank of America (BAC) and Morgan Stanley (MS) are better than the consensus and whisper numbers.
The Fed’s Beige Book will be released today at 2pm ET and may be market moving.
In the early trade, the momo crowd is extremely aggressively buying quantum computing stocks such as Rigetti (RGTI), IonQ (IONQ), and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), nuclear stocks such as Oklo (OKLO), NuScale Power (SMR), and NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE), and space stocks such as Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS). After a torrid run, rare earth mineral stocks, including three in the Arora Portfolio MP Materials (MP), USA Rare Earth (USAR), and Critical Metals (CRML), are seeing profit taking in the early trade.
The U.S. Army is planning to deploy smart modular reactors on its bases.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

Gold ETF (GLD) and silver ETF (SLV) were showing signs of exhaustion when Powell’s speech came. Powell’s speech has given a second wind to the gold and silver rally.

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing selling. During the recent rally, a whale appears to have started a new short position in bitcoin.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is weaker.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6735 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 237 points.

Gold futures are at $4203, silver futures are at $51.39, and oil futures are at $59.18.

TACO TRADERS MEET CAHN, BANK EARNINGS, NEW AMD WIN, AND RUSH TO BUY QUANTUM AND NUCLEAR STOCKS

Oct 14, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

TACO Traders Meet CAHN

Please click here for a chart of JPMorgan Chase stock (JPM).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of JPM stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows a rising trendline.
The chart shows that going into earnings, JPM stock pulled back to the trendline.
RSI on the chart shows JPM stock has more room to run.
Expectations going into JPMorgan earnings were very high, but earnings beat the consensus and were inline with whisper numbers.
JPM is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from $34.14. It is trading at $307.80 as of this writing in the premarket, representing a 802% gain.
In addition to JPM, earnings season kicked off this morning with earnings from other banks: Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Goldman Sachs (GS). All three beat consensus and were inline with whisper numbers.
TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) traders were extremely aggressively buying stocks yesterday.
In The Arora Report analysis, TACO traders are akin to the momo crowd in that they do not do any deep analysis. This morning TACO traders are meeting CAHN (China Always Holds Its Nerve) traders.
China is not backing down. Here are the key points:
- China has announced new sanctions on five U.S. subsidiaries of South Korea based shipping company Hanwha Ocean.
- China says it will investigate the U.S. investigation into China’s shipping industries.
- China is now collecting additional fees from U.S. cargo ships.
- China has not backed off from its position on rare earth minerals.
Prudent investors need to remember CAHN. The reason is that China has a long term vision of replacing the U.S. as the world’s superpower. In The Arora Report analysis, China is likely to hold its nerve and try to out fox President Trump in trade negotiations.
As a result of China’s actions, the three rare earth mineral stocks in the Arora Portfolio are seeing more gains on top of huge gains yesterday. As of this writing in the premarket, Critical Metals (CRML) is up 33%, USA Rare Earth (USAR) is up 13%, and MP Materials (MP) is up 7%.
JPMorgan’s decision to invest $10B in four different sectors to help the U.S. stay ahead has brought in aggressive buying in many stocks. The most notable are quantum computing stocks such as Rigetti (RGTI), IonQ (IONQ), and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) and nuclear stocks such as Oklo (OKLO), NuScale Power (SMR), and NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE).
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has scored another big win this morning. Oracle (ORCL) will deploy 50K AMD AI chips starting in Q3 2026. After AMD’s deal with OpenAI, this is a confirmation that Nvidia (NVDA) is likely to get more competition from AMD than previously thought.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

In The Arora Report analysis, the short squeeze in silver is showing the first signs of ending. This is also bringing in some selling in gold.

The momo crowd is *** in gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

Oil is seeing selling as U.S. China tensions heat up again.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing selling.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6630 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are down 388 points.

Gold futures are at $4123, silver futures are at $49.57, and oil futures are at $57.99.

SHORT SQUEEZE IN SILVER AND RARE EARTHS, STOCK MARKET TACO TRADERS EUPHORIC, TRUMP SEEKS DIPLOMATIC PATH

Oct 13, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Euphoric TACO Traders

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the big drop in the stock market on Friday on President Trump threatening to impose 100% additional tariffs on Chinese goods.
In Friday’s Morning Capsule, when S&P 500 was trading at an all time high, we wrote:

In yesterday’s Morning Capsule, we shared with you that China was restricting the export of rare earths to gain leverage in talks with the U.S. President Trump is considering responding.

The chart shows The Arora Report gave a signal to increase the Arora Protection Band by raising cash and hedges.
The chart shows aggressive TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) buying this morning.
The proprietary VUD indicator is the most sensitive measure of net supply and demand in real-time. The orange represents net supply and the green represents net demand. The chart shows that on Friday the VUD indicator was orange, but in the early trade this morning, it has flipped to green.
Over the weekend, President Trump said, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn’t want Depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!! President DJT.”
TACO traders are interpreting President Trump’s statement as chickening out and are aggressively buying stocks. Retail traders are aggressively buying stocks. Institutions appear to be cautious.
Euphoric TACO traders are oblivious that the Dutch government is seizing control of Chinese chip maker Nexperia due to a security threat.
In The Arora Report analysis, there is a fair probability that President Trump is not chickening out, but seeking a diplomatic path forward. Further in The Arora Report analysis, in its bullish euphoria the stock market had assumed that tariffs, trade, and China were not anything to be concerned about; after Friday, at a minimum, prudent investors should not assume TACO traders are 100% right.
Today is Columbus Day. The bond market is closed, and it is a bank holiday. Lower liquidity is helping the momo crowd to run up the stock market in the early trade. The Columbus Day holiday started in 1971. Since then, the stock market has risen between Columbus Day and the end of the year 72% of the years.
The U.S. Department of War is planning to build an additional $1B stockpile of critical metals. This is triggering a short squeeze in three rare earth stocks in the Arora Portfolio. USAR is up 17%, CRML is up 16%, and MP is up 9% as of this writing in the premarket.
Please see the gold section below regarding the short squeeze in silver.
Earnings season kicks off with bank earnings in the premarket tomorrow morning from Goldman Sachs (GS), Citigroup (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Wells Fargo (WFC).
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Japan

Opposition in Japan is in talks to challenge Sanae Takaichi. This development may temper the fear of excessive fiscal and monetary stimulation in Japan. Japan is important to investors in the U.S. market because of the carry trade.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

A vicious short squeeze is taking place in silver in London. An arbitrage opportunity has developed due to the price difference in silver in London and the U.S. Silver ETF (SLV) is up 2.77% as of this writing. In The Arora Report analysis, there is a fair probability that silver ETF SLV may also experience a vicious short squeeze.

Gold is hitting an all time high with gold futures briefly hitting $4100. In The Arora Report analysis, the gold market has a different opinion from TACO traders and the stock market; the gold market is indicating that tensions with China will continue.

In The Arora Report analysis, the probability of a short squeeze in gold ETF (GLD) is low.

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

Oil has crosscurrents. On one hand, the release of hostages in Gaza and President Trump talking peace in the Middle East is negative for oil. On the other hand, President Trump taking a diplomatic path with China is positive for oil. Oil ETF (USO) is up over 1% as of this writing.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6673 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 396 points.

Gold futures are at $4097, silver futures are at $49.82, and oil futures are at $59.51.

To take a free 30-day trial to paid services to gain access to more opportunities, please click here.

Markets can generate substantial wealth for knowledgeable investors. NOW YOU TOO CAN ALSO SPECTACULARLY SUCCEED AT MEETING YOUR GOALS WITH THE HELP OF THE ARORA REPORT. You are receiving less than 1% of the content from our paid services. …TO RECEIVE REMAINING 99%, INCLUDING MANY ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES AND SIGNALS IN REAL TIME, TAKE A FREE
TRIAL TO PAID SERVICES.

The Arora Report is one of the only major global investment newsletters that does not employ a single salesperson—because it does not need to. While competitors rely on high-pressure sales tactics, The Arora Report grows purely through results, with satisfied members recommending it to their family and friends.

Join the service that investors trust the most and recommend to family and friends.

Please click here to take advantage of a FREE 30 day trial.

Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

Dr. Natasha Arora

Dr. Natasha Arora has significant expertise in investment analysis especially biotech, healthcare, and technology. Natasha is a graduate of Harvard Medical School followed by a postdoc at MIT. She has published several peer reviewed research papers in top science journals.

ABAT, AMD, ASTS, BAC, BTCUSD, C, CRML, DIA, DJIA, EPI, GDX, GLD, GLIN, GOLD, GS, IONQ, JPM, LAC, MARKETS, MP, MS, NNE, NVDA, OIL, OKLO, ORCL, QBTS, QQQ, RGIT, RGTI, RKLB, SILVER, SLV, SMIN, SMR, SPX, SPY, TBF, TBT, TSM, USAR, USO, WAL, WFC, WMT, ZION

Subscribe to 'Generate Wealth'

Free Forever

More To Explore