WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

October 25, 2025

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

DEPLOY CASH – COOLER CPI PROVIDES FUEL FOR STOCK MARKET TO MOVE TO THE MAGNET BUT RISKS REMAIN

Oct 24, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Deploy Cash

The adaptive ZYX Asset Allocation Model with inputs in ten categories has given a signal to deploy cash. The trigger for this move is cooler than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI). In the Arora Protection Band, cash is being reduced by 3%. Please see the Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now section below.

Cooler CPI

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows buying in the stock market after the release of CPI data.
The chart shows that during the recent pullback the stock market did not even touch the top band of zone 1 (support) before bouncing. This indicates a stock market that wants to go higher.
The chart shows the magnet for stock market traders.
After cooler than expected CPI data, the probability of a move to the magnet has increased. Here are the details:
- Headline CPI came at 0.3% vs. 0.4% consensus.
- Core CPI came at 0.2% vs. 0.3% consensus.
In The Arora Report analysis, here are the probabilities of future rate cuts after CPI data:
- 99% in October
- 90% in December
President Trump is traveling to the APEC Summit in Korea. He is expected to meet with China’s President Xi on Thursday next week.
President Trump is optimistic about reaching a deal with China. In addition to the overall trade, of special interest are soybeans and rare earth minerals.
President Trump is expected to sign trade deals with 12 companies.
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment will be released at 10am ET.
The FOMC meeting will start on Tuesday next week. The rate decision will be announced on Wednesday.
In The Arora Report analysis, here are the bullish factors investors should be looking at:
- The pattern of the momo crowd is to buy ahead of the Fed rate decision. The probability is high that the pattern will repeat.
- Expect President Trump to continue making positive statements about the upcoming meeting with President Xi.
- President Trump has an incentive to spin the results of the meeting with President Xi as positive even if China stands firm.
- The momo crowd may try to front run the Trump Xi meeting.
- Blind money will flow into the stock market on the first two days of November.
If the stock market starts moving higher, expect year end chase by money managers.
It is important for investors to think both in strategic and tactical terms. All of the foregoing positives are tactical in nature.
From a strategic point of view, substantial risks remain. These risks include the following:
- The Fed’s inflation target is 2%. 3% is significantly higher than 2%.
- Inflation can easily resurge.
- Valuations are very high.
- At some point, there will be over investment in AI.
- China is not going to give up its quest to replace the U.S. as the world’s superpower. In substance, any agreement with China that is cast as positive is likely, in reality, to be hollow.
- There is no solution in sight to $1.8T in budget deficit and $38T in national debt.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks. For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks. It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks. The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis. When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals. Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

President Trump plans to open coastal waters for offshore oil drilling.

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

JPMorgan (JPM) is going to accept Bitcoin (BTC.USD) and Ether as collateral from institutional clients.

Bitcoin is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6813 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7000 and 7200 : support levels are 6780, 6500, and 6256.

DJIA futures are up 193 points.

Gold futures are at $4092, silver futures are at $47.90, and oil futures are at $61.78.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror. The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular. The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

NEW RUSSIA SANCTIONS TRIGGER A BUY SIGNAL ON OIL AND GIVE GOLD SECOND WIND, GOVERNMENT MAY BACK QUANTUM COMPUTING

Oct 23, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

New Oil Sanctions

Please click here for a chart of oil futures (CL_F).

Note the following:

The chart shows a strong move up in oil.
The chart shows when an Arora buy signal was given in anticipation of new sanctions on Russia oil. In The Arora Report analysis, at this time, stocks, long duration bonds, gold, and bitcoin are very expensive. Oil is the only major asset that is cheap.
The chart shows when new Russian oil sanctions were announced.
The VUD indicator is a proprietary Arora Report indicator that is the most sensitive measure of net supply and demand in real-time. The orange represents net supply and the green represents net demand. The chart shows the VUD indicator has mostly been green, indicating net demand for oil.
Here are the key points about the sanctions on Russian oil:
- The new sanctions are on two Russian giants Lukoil and Rosneft and their subsidiaries.
- The sanctions bar companies and countries from doing business with Lukoil and Rosneft. To understand the sanctions, think of a Chinese or Indian company that tries to buy oil from Russia getting hit with U.S. sanctions.
- The U.S. is able to enforce these sanctions because the dollar is the reserve currency, and any bank that facilitates any transaction with Russian oil can be sanctioned.
- In the world of investments, nothing is straightforward. On one hand, oil is cheap and in theory, the sanctions on Russia should reduce the supply of oil and thereby increase the price of oil. On the other hand, investors need to be mindful of the following:
  - India and China have been the two major buyers of Russian oil. Now that Russia cannot easily sell oil to India and China, Russian oil may be sold in the black market at a steep discount. Depending upon how much the black market develops, oil prices could drop instead of rising.
  - President Trump is imposing sanctions on Russian oil to force Russia’s President Putin to strike a peace deal with Ukraine. Russia needs money to keep its war machine going. Oil exports are the major source of money that supports Russia’s military industrial complex. President Putin could give in, and in such an event, oil prices could collapse.
- For the foregoing reasons, it is important for investors to keep the risk control measures in place given in the post on the oil buy signal.
In The Arora Report analysis, at this time when the stock market is excited about the Fed cutting interest rates, prudent investors should be thinking about the impact of higher oil prices. Higher oil prices can cause an uptick in inflation and thereby make it more difficult for the Fed to cut interest rates. This is especially important because the stock market has already counted the chickens before they have hatched.
Rising oil prices is also a negative for airlines such as American Airlines (AAL), United Airlines (UAL), and Delta Air Lines (DAL) as well as for cruise lines such as Carnival (CCL) and Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL).
Quantum computing companies are working for the government to potentially take a stake. Initially in overnight trading, quantum computing stocks such as IonQ (IONQ), Rigetti (RGTI), Quantum Computing (QUBT), and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) experienced major up spikes. However, as of this writing in the premarket, more than half of the gains have evaporated for the following reasons:
- The investment from the government is likely to be small such as $10M in each company.
- There is a report the Secretary of Commerce is saying that no active discussions are taking place at the highest level.
We previously shared with you the blow-off top signal on gold. In The Arora Report analysis, gold was well on its way to a significant pullback when the news of Russia oil sanctions hit. Russian oil sanctions are giving the gold rally a second wind. It is important to remind you of The Arora Report analysis that the seeds of the current gold rally go back to when the U.S. sanctioned Russia after Russia attacked Ukraine. Those sanctions prompted countries such as Turkey, China, and India to start buying more gold to reduce their dollar holdings.
We previously shared with you another meme resurgence in Beyond Meat (BYND), 1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS), and Krispy Kreme (DNUT). To the dismay of the meme crowd, at least temporarily, the meme rally has collapsed.
Tesla (TSLA) earnings impact the stock market sentiment. Higher expenses overshadowed record revenue, causing Tesla to come below consensus and whisper numbers. However, sentiment is being cushioned by more visibility of Tesla about to embark on volume production of Optimus robots.
Overall, according to the proprietary Arora Report sentiment indicator, the sentiment is remaining in the extreme positive zone. In addition to the overall sentiment, investors should pay attention to the momo crowd sentiment because momo crowd sentiment is responsible, in large part, for the latest run up in the stock market, including space stocks such as AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), nuclear stocks such as Oklo (OKLO), NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE), and NuScale Power (SMR), data center stocks such as CoreWeave (CRWV), IREN (IREN), and Nebius (NBIS), and critical mineral stocks such as MP Materials (MP), Critical Metals (CRML), USA Rare Earth (USAR), TMC The Metals Company (TMC), and Lithium Americas (LAC).
Yesterday morning we wrote:

After the sentiment among the momo crowd being extremely positive for a long time, the momo crowd sentiment has swung to negative quickly in the matter of a couple of days.

The momo crowd sentiment took another hit yesterday as losses mounted in their favorite stocks. However, today, momo crowd sentiment may pick up on the prospect of the government taking a stake in quantum computing stocks.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL) and Meta (META).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Nvidia (NVDA) and TSLA.

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and negative in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6733 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are down 80 points.

Gold futures are at $4145, silver futures are at $48.83, and oil futures are at $61.94.

ARORA BLOW-OFF TOP SIGNAL IN GOLD FORETOLD THE WORST DROP IN YEARS, NETFLIX DISAPPOINTS BUT OPTIMISM ABOUT TESLA EARNINGS AHEAD

Oct 22, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Gold Blow-Off Top

Please click here for a chart of gold ETF (GLD).

Note the following:

The chart shows the Arora signal to take partial profits on gold. The Arora Report has been bullish on gold from the cycle low near $1000. The Arora Report has been advocating 5% – 8% allocation to gold.
The chart shows when the Arora blow-off top signal was first given. The Arora blow-off top signal was subsequently repeated.
The chart shows that since the Arora blow-off top signal, gold has experienced the worst sell off in 12 years.
Prior to the blow-off top, gold ETF (GLD) saw the highest option activity on record.
A large portion of the buying in gold after it crossed $4000 is coming from the meme crowd. All of a sudden, a large number of meme gurus have appeared claiming to be experts in gold. In a sign of the times, the meme crowd is more than happy to wager its hard earned dollars on the advice of newly minted gold meme gurus.
Long time members know The Arora Report has a long, unparalleled record of calling both strategic and tactical moves in gold and silver. Will the Arora algorithms be right again this time? Start with Arora’s Second Law of Investing and Trading, which states, “Nobody knows with certainty, what is going to happen next in the markets.” This time, there is a new element of extremely aggressive meme crowd call buying. This call buying created a gamma squeeze. For next level information on gamma squeezes, listen to the podcast in Arora Ambassador Club.
At The Arora Report, we are now modeling this meme crowd behavior and incorporating it in our gold model.
Investors need to differentiate between strategic and tactical signals. The Arora blow-off top signal was a tactical signal to take partial profits. The Trade Management Guidelines detail how to appropriately take partial profits. The strategic signal remains unchanged that the next target for gold is $6000 and gold has a path to $10K.
Investors are eagerly awaiting inflation data tomorrow.
So far, earnings this season are coming out better than the consensus but inline with whisper numbers. In the long run, earnings are the single best determinant of where the stock market goes. Among important earnings, Netflix (NFLX) earnings were disappointing. Investors are eagerly awaiting Tesla (TSLA) and IBM (IBM) earnings after the close. Tesla earnings will have a notable impact on the sentiment in the entire market.
After the sentiment among the momo crowd being extremely positive for a long time, the momo crowd sentiment has swung to negative quickly in the matter of a couple of days. The reason is many momo accounts have been buying larger and larger quantities of call options in speculative stocks. In a matter of days, many such accounts are now decimated. As of this writing, the following illustrates the point:
- Space stock AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) stock has fallen 30.3% from its high.
- Nuclear stock Oklo (OKLO) is down 30.9% from its high.
- Data center stock IREN (IREN) has fallen 28.0% from its high.
- Quantum computing stock Rigetti (RGTI) is down 33.3% from its high.
All investors should pay attention to sentiment, especially momo crowd sentiment.. The momo crowd sentiment has played a huge role in the rise of the stock market since the April Liberation Day low.
Even though momo crowd sentiment has swung negative over the last couple of days, according to proprietary Arora Report indicators, overall sentiment remains in the extreme positive zone. It is worth repeating that the time to aggressively buy is when sentiment is extremely negative, and the time to hedge is when sentiment is extremely positive. Note that sentiment is not a precise timing tool. Extreme positive sentiment can sustain for months or longer. Prior to the 2000 dot com crash, extreme positive sentiment sustained for over two years.
Sentiment among the meme crowd is exuberant this morning as they run up Beyond Meat (BYND), 1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS), and Krispy Kreme (DNUT) with their own extremely aggressive buying. Adding to the buying is a short squeeze.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and negative in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** in stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

Buying is coming in in oil on the prospect of India reducing or stopping its purchase of Russian oil to get in President Trump’s good graces. India buys 38% of Russia’s oil.

API crude inventories came at a draw of 2.98M barrels vs. a consensus of a build of 3.524M barrels.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** oil in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6779 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 25 points.

Gold futures are at $4051, silver futures are at $47.68, and oil futures are at $58.39.

SMART MONEY SELLS QUANTUM, NUCLEAR, AND SPACE STOCKS AS INVESTORS AWAIT EARNINGS AND INFLATION DATA

Oct 21, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Smart Money Selling Momo Crowd Favorites

Please click here for a chart of Rigetti stock (RGTI).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of RGTI stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows the Arora buy zone for quantum computing stock RGTI.
The chart shows relentless buying by the momo crowd.
The chart shows smart money is beginning to sell RGTI stock.
It is not just RGTI. The momo crowd has been relentlessly buying other quantum computing stocks such as IonQ (IONQ), D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), and Quantum Computing (QUBT), nuclear stocks such as Oklo (OKLO) and NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE), and space stocks such as AST SpaceMobile (ASTS). Selling is also being seen in the momo crowd’s favorite data center stocks such as CoreWeave (CRWV), Nebius (NBIS), and IREN (IREN). Smart money selling is being seen in all of the speculative stocks as well as other stocks that are favorites of the momo crowd.
In The Arora Report analysis, there is significant potential in quantum computing, space, and nuclear stocks. It is just that in the near term the momo crowd has taken these stocks far beyond what they are worth. These stocks are the poster children of several excesses that have happened in this bull market.
Yesterday saw aggressive buying in rare earth mineral stocks as President Trump struck a deal with Australia on rare earth minerals. Rare earth mineral stocks in Australia soared. Two Australian rare earth mineral stocks that trade in the U.S. are Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF) and American Rare Earths (ARRNF). This morning, the U.S. based rare earth mineral stocks such as MP Materials (MP), USA Rare Earth (USAR) and Critical Metals (CRML) are seeing selling on the prospect of competition from Australia.
About 20% of S&P 500 companies report earnings this week. This morning started out with very strong earnings from General Motors (GM).
Investors are eagerly awaiting inflation data which will be released on October 24.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Japan

Money is flowing into Japanese stocks as Japan tilts to the right and Sanae Takaichi becomes the first female prime minister.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), and Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOG), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** gold in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

Oil is seeing buying on the prospect of peace between Russia and Ukraine.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6771 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are down 19 points.

Gold futures are at $4214, silver futures are at $48.90, and oil futures are at $57.29.

GOLD’S PATH TO $10K BUT BLOW-OFF TOP FIRST, STOCK BUYING ON OPTIMISM THAT TRUMP WILL CUT A CHINA DEAL

Oct 20, 2025

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Gold’s Path To $10K

Please click here for a chart of gold ETF (GLD).

Note the following:

The chart shows the rapid rise in gold as gold now becomes a meme trade.
The pattern shown on the chart is one of the many factors that, according to the algorithms at The Arora Report, show a high probability of a blow-off top in the short term. The Arora Report has an 18 year track record of very accurate calls on gold.
The plan is to add to the gold position if and when there is a substantial pullback.
The Arora Report members have large profits on gold as The Arora Report has been bullish on gold for the long term from close to the bottom of this cycle near $1000.
The next Arora Report target for gold is $6000.
Prudent investors should know that gold has a path to $10K if the present policies of dollar debasement and financial repression continue. There is nothing on the short term horizon that present policies will change. Due to the importance of dollar debasement, and the impact on gold, for those seeking next level knowledge, a new podcast titled “Dollar Debasement – A Path To $10K For Gold” will be available soon in Arora Ambassador Club. To get on the waitlist to join Arora Ambassador Club, please click here and fill out the form.
The stock market is seeing aggressive buying this morning on optimism that President Trump will cut a deal with China this month, ahead of the end of the tariff hike extension. The optimism is leading to the momo crowd buying in rare earth mineral stocks. MP Materials (MP), USA Rare Earth (USAR), and Critical Metals (CRML) are in the Arora Portfolio. However, buying here does not make sense. If President Trump cuts a rare earth deal with China, it will increase supply of rare earth minerals to the U.S. and rare earth mineral stocks will fall.
In addition to rare earth mineral stocks, aggressive buying is coming from the momo crowd focused on quantum computing stocks Rigetti (RGTI), IonQ (IONQ), and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) as well as space stocks Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS). eVTOL stocks Archer Aviation (ACHR) and Joby Aviation (JOBY) are also seeing buying as ACHR signed an agreement to potentially sell 100 Midnight aircraft to Korean Air.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to be released on Friday.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

China

The latest economic data from China is strong. The data gives leverage to China in trade negotiations with the U.S. Here are the details:

Q3 GDP came at 1.1% quarter-over-quarter vs. 0.8% consensus.
Industrial production came at 6.5% year-over-year vs. 5.0% consensus.

Japan

There is agreement in Japan to form a coalition government with Sanae Takaichi as the new prime minister. Nikkei 225 rose over 3%.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Microsoft (MSFT).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

There are aggressive money outflows from oil ETF (USO). The money flows in USO are also impacted by the rumors that India is cutting its purchase of Russian oil under pressure from President Trump. Until now, India has been buying 38% of Russian oil exports.

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 6731 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 6780, 7000, and 7200 : support levels are 6500, 6256, and 6131.

DJIA futures are up 162 points.

Gold futures are at $4335, silver futures are at $51.36, and oil futures are at $56.62.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

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