Initial jobless claims, released Thursday, soared to 3.28 million, shattering the previous record by many multiples. My longtime readers know that initial jobless claims carry a heavy weight in my asset allocation model. The reason is that it’s a leading indicator, and the government publishes it weekly, not monthly as
The Federal Reserve, President Trump and Congress have come up with $6 trillion in stimulus and relief programs to help the economy. Stock market investors are cheering and not many are talking about the long-term risks from all the new borrowing. Prudent investors ought to take a look at segmented money
As investors ruminate over “buy” and “sell” decisions concerning their portfolios, there are two new developments. Let’s explore with the help of two charts. Please click here for a chart of Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF DIA, which tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA. Please click here for a chart of volatility ETF VXX, which represents the volatility
Stock market investors are grappling with several important questions about their investments. This is a confusing time, as many pieces of information, sometimes in opposition to one another, are competing for our interest. Let’s look at three charts for guidance. Please click here for an annotated chart of Dow Jones Industrial Average
Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market
Investors, after facing huge losses amid the threat of the coronavirus, are grappling with what is next for the stock market. In January, I warned that an external event could cause a major drop in the market. Now it has happened. Something investors need to be on the lookout for: potential treatments
I have empathy for investors who unwittingly became a part of the momo (momentum) crowd, even though I often receive hate mail from them because they don’t like my description. It is now high time for them to switch to a prudent strategy. Even prudent investors need to be extra
The Federal Reserve and the Trump administration are jumping into action to counter the coronavirus crisis. What do people make of that? Emails I receive fall, broadly, into two categories: Those who think Trump is doing an excellent job, and those who think he is incompetent to handle the situation.
As the coronavirus has spread in the U.S., the stock market has become extraordinarily volatile. Investors and professional money managers are having difficulty analyzing the stock market because there are no prior models similar to the scope of the coronavirus crisis. Here is a key question: “Is there an easy,
The Federal Reserve fired the big bazooka Sunday, taking the most dramatic step since the 2008 financial crisis. Many investors are looking at the drop in the stock market Monday and saying the Fed’s actions haven’t helped. The reality is quite different. Without the Fed’s move, the stock market would