A NEW IDEA ON SUPER COMPUTER MAKER CRAY $CRAY

A NEW IDEA ON SUPER COMPUTER MAKER CRAY $CRAY

This post was just published on ZYX Buy Change Alert.

Super computer maker Cray (CRAY) has a $35 cash buyout offer from HPE.  There is a 35% probability of a higher bid. In case of a bidding war, price can go as high as $45.  Normally a 35% probability does not generate a buy signal. However here there is a 95% probability that the deal with HPE will close at least at $35.  This makes the probability adjusted risk reward favorable.

CRAY is trading at $35.21 as of this writing.  The buy zone is $34.20 to $35.26, preferably on dips below $34.76.  Consider limiting the quantity to 30% of full core position size.  The mental stop zone is $32 to $33.23.

Caution: There is no free lunch.  Consider not going overboard with the quantity because there is a 5% probability of the deal not closing.  If the deal does not close and there is no higher bid, the stock will likely open gap down and a stop loss may not protect you. 

 

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