Market Blog » The Arora Report Stock Market News

NASDAQ COULD FALL 14% BY THIS MEASURE

February 17, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Nasdaq Could Fall Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ). Note the following: The chart compares QQQ with 7-10 year Treasury Bond ETF IEF, and long duration ARK Innovation ETF ARKK. The chart shows that since the December low, IEF rose in January and now has pulled back close to its December low. IEF moves inverse to the 10-year Treasury yield. The 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 3.8840% as of this writing from the low of 3.3750% in January 2023. The 10-year Treasury

HAVE THE BULL-HEADED BULLS FINALLY GOTTEN THE MESSAGE?

February 16, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora Editor’s Note: This is the Afternoon Capsule that was provided before Produce Price Index (PPI) data was released. PPI was released this morning. To see the latest on PPI, please see the Morning Capsule that is available to paying subscribers. The Morning Capsule is issued every morning before the market open. To gain an edge, this is what you need to know now. Fighting The Fed Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ). Note the following: The chart shows when retail sales data was released. Please read the Morning Capsule

RETAIL SALES WILL TEST MOMO CROWD’S ROSE COLORED GLASSES

February 15, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know now. Rose Colored Glasses Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: Please start out by reading the Morning Capsule for details on CPI. CPI was a lot hotter than the whisper numbers from momo gurus. The chart shows when CPI was released. The high of the 8:30am candle wick shows how aggressively the momo crowd was buying and how aggressively institutional sellers sold into the rally. The

INFLATION STAYS ELEVATED BUT MOMO CROWD BUYS STOCKS

February 14, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Inflation Stays Elevated Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart shows that the stock market is hovering around the top band of the support/resistance zone. When this behavior is looked at in the context of the CPI numbers given below, the only objective conclusion is that the momo crowd is in control. For the stock market to go down substantially, the bullish momo crowd

POTENTIAL MAKE OR BREAK CPI AHEAD – BONDS MOVE CLOSER TO THE FED BUT STOCKS FIGHT

February 13, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. CPI Ahead Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart shows that the stock market came down to the low band of the support/resistance zone. The chart shows that the stock market is trying to bounce from the low band of the support/resistance as expected. The chart shows RSI can go either way. Going into the all-important CPI number, bonds have moved closer to the

WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: CPI RELEASE NEXT WEEK IS A POTENTIAL MAKE OR BREAK MOMENT FOR THE STOCK MARKET

February 11, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report. Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’ MOMO CROWD CPI ANGST, RUSSIA CUTS OIL OUTPUT, STAKING CRACKDOWN February 10, 2023 To gain

MOMO CROWD CPI ANGST, RUSSIA CUTS OIL OUTPUT, STAKING CRACKDOWN

February 10, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. CPI Angst Please click here for a chart of services Consumer Price Index (CPI) less shelter. Note the following: The chart shows that services CPI less shelter has come down on a month-over-month basis. The Fed is most concerned about services CPI less shelter for the following reasons: The consumer is on a binge to consume services. Job growth in services is very strong. Wage hikes in services are proving to be sticky. Cleveland Fed’s model is predicting January Core CPI at 0.46%

DISNEY MAGIC LIFTS THE STOCK MARKET – CEO OF THE BIGGEST BANK WARNS

February 9, 2023

By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Positive Pattern Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart is a weekly chart to give you a longer term perspective. The chart shows an inverse head and shoulders pattern. This is a bullish pattern. In our backtesting at The Arora Report, this pattern works about 70% of the time. The chart shows the measured target from this pattern. The measured target is just below