WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW

April 25, 2026

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report.

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

IS INTEL NEXT NVIDIA AS AGENTIC AI INCREASES CPU DEMAND? STORAGE CRUNCH TO FORCE IRAN TO GIVE CONCESSIONS

Apr 24, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Increased CPU Demand

Please click here for a chart of Intel stock (INTC).

Note the following:

The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of INTC stock is being used to illustrate the point.
The chart shows the jump up in INTC stock on earnings in the after hours yesterday.
RSI on the chart shows INTC has returned to overbought, but the stock has more room to run.
Going into earnings, whisper numbers on Intel had moved up. Intel beat even those higher whisper numbers. Stocks move based on the difference between reported earnings and whisper numbers. Whisper numbers are the numbers analysts privately share with their best clients and are different from the numbers the same analysts publish for public consumption.
Intel has just reclaimed, after 26 years, the high of $75.81 made in August 2000.
In The Arora Report analysis, here is the most important point for prudent investors to know. As AI shifts to agentic AI, demand for CPUs will go even higher than the current high demand. The main reason behind Intel beating whisper numbers is high demand for CPUs for AI data centers. For AI training, demand for GPUs exploded, but demand for CPUs did not increase. Intel is not a major vendor of GPUs, and this is the reason INTC stock previously lagged.
Is Intel the next Nvidia (NVDA)? Consider the following points:
- Nvidia is the major vendor of GPUs. Intel is a major vendor of CPUs.
- AI demand for GPUs is significantly higher than the demand for CPUs.
- No other company in the world comes even close to the capabilities of Nvidia GPUs. Intel has competition from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) in CPUs. Some experts consider AMD CPUs to be better than Intel CPUs.
- Arm Holdings (ARM) is jumping into the business of making CPUs. Until now, Arm has simply been licensing its IP. Arm RISC architecture has major advantages over Intel’s CISC architecture. Arm is majority owned by Softbank (SFTBY) of Japan, and thus has the financial muscle to become a formidable competitor to Intel.
- For AI, Nvidia has a significant software moat that no other company comes close to. Intel does not have that advantage in AI.
- Nvidia does not manufacture its own chips, and thus is not distracted by issues related to manufacturing advanced AI chips. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) manufactures Nvidia’s chips. Intel has its own foundry. Intel just had a major event with Elon Musk’s Terafab deciding to use Intel’s 14A process. However, Intel’s 14A process is not mature and TSM is more advanced in semiconductor manufacturing processes.
- Nvidia is overowned. This is the reason that in spite of improving fundamentals, NVDA stock has had difficulty moving up at the same speed as other semiconductor stocks. When a stock is overowned, not many buyers are left to buy, even on good news, unless the stock breaks out. In contrast, Intel is underowned and thus has a significant pool of buyers who can step in to buy INTC stock.
- Most analysts already rate NVDA stock as a buy. The followers of these analysts have already bought NVDA stock. Until yesterday, most analysts did not have a buy rating on INTC stock. Now, as analysts rush to upgrade INTC, their followers will buy INTC stock.
- The momo crowd has just discovered INTC stock. The momo crowd does not do any deep analysis. The momo crowd primarily buys a stock because it is going up. When the momo crowd’s own buying moves a stock higher, it strengthens the momo crowd’s behavior and thinking they are geniuses, they buy more of the same stock. This momo crowd behavior can run a stock much higher than fundamentals justify or any prudent investor would think.
- NVDA is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from an average of $12.55. As of this writing in the premarket, members of The Arora Report have a gain of 1498%. INTC is in ZYX Buy in the portfolio that surrounds the Core Model Portfolio, long from an average of $19.05. As of this writing in the premarket, members of The Arora Report have a gain of 348%.
The U.S. government bought INTC stock at $20.47, and now has a paper gain of over $37B.
There is optimism about an Iran deal for the following reasons:
- There are reports that Iran may have only two to five days of oil storage capacity left. This is going to force Iran’s hand to give concessions and strike a deal with the U.S.
- Iran’s power struggle has resolved in favor of a hardliner stance. Paradoxically, with a unified Iran, this increases the probability of a deal.
- Iran’s foreign minister is going to visit Pakistan.
University of Michigan consumer sentiment will be released at 10am ET and may be market moving. As a reminder, University of Michigan data previously showed consumer sentiment hit a 74 year low. Unless consumer sentiment starts rising, consumer sentiment is a red flag on the other side of the stock market momo crowd’s giddiness.
Prudent investors need to look ahead. Pension funds and some other institutions will be doing month end rebalancing. In The Arora Report analysis, rebalancing will involve selling tens of billions of dollars of stocks.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

Most portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks. For this reason, to get ahead and get an edge, investors need to dig below the surface of the Mag 7 stocks. It is equally important to rise above the noise of daily news on the Mag 7 stocks. The best way to get an edge, dig below the surface, and rise above the noise of the daily news is to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis. When there is significant news in the Mag 7 stocks that rises above the threshold of noise and impacts your entire portfolio, it is covered in the main section above.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling. Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money’s ways. The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money. Smart money is an important indicator but is only one of hundreds of indicators that go into determining the Arora Protection Band and signals. Please click here and here to understand how signals are generated.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. Today is a Friday. Fridays tend to have short squeezes, putting additional upward pressure on the market. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** in gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates and bonds are range bound.

The dollar is weaker.

Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7168 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7200, 7500, and 7700 : support levels are 7000, 6780, and 6600.

DJIA futures are down 60 points.

Gold futures are at $4720, silver futures are at $75.86, and oil futures are at $95.68.

Arora Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror. The proprietary Arora Protection Band from The Arora Report is very popular. The Arora Protection Band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash, Treasury bills, short term fixed income, or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

MOMO CROWD PILES INTO LEVERAGED SEMIS, TANKER SEIZURES ESCALATE, SOFTWARE CRACKS, TESLA CAPEX SURGES

Apr 23, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Iran Breakthrough

Please click here for a chart of leveraged semiconductor ETF (SOXL).

Note the following:

The trendline on the chart shows an extraordinarily steep rise in leveraged semiconductor ETF (SOXL). The ETF has moved from a low of around $40 to $107.06 as of this writing in the premarket. This is a 168% rise in a very short time.
The chart shows that RSI is at 100, the most overbought it can be.
The momo crowd continues to pile into SOXL. The reason is that semiconductors are not impacted by the Iran war.
In addition to the momo crowd, the meme crowd is also piling into SOXL.
For prudent investors, SOXL provides an important indication of the extreme positive sentiment.
As a member of The Arora Report, you have been ahead of the curve. We have been sharing with you for a while that software stocks have a structural problem due to AI. Software ETF IGV has staged a major bounce from the lows. Now, there is another setback. ServiceNow (NOW), a major software stock, reported good earnings after the market close, but the stock has experienced significant selling so far due to lower margins. The market is interpreting it as AI hurting software stocks instead of helping software stocks.
Tesla (TSLA) reported good earnings after the market close. Initially, TSLA stock went higher but pulled back when CEO Elon Musk said capex will surge to $25B. The reveal of humanoid robot Optimus 3 is now scheduled for the second half of 2026.
Intel (INTC) finally has a customer for its 14A process. The customer is Musk’s Terafab. INTC stock jumped on the news. INTC stock has been ripping lately. Intel will report earnings after the market close. Investors should carefully watch to see if the optimism is justified. INTC is in ZYX Buy in the portfolio that surrounds the Core Model Portfolio. INTC is long from an average of $19.05. It is trading at $66.45 as of this writing in the premarket. This represents a gain of 249%.
As of this writing, significant buying is coming into the stock market on a report that there might be a breakthrough with Iran.
Even though a ceasefire is in place with Iran, tensions at sea are rising. The U.S. has intercepted an Iranian supertanker outside of the Persian Gulf. Iran has seized two ships.
The Pentagon says that clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz may take six months. Of course, mine clearing cannot start until the war ends. Prudent investors should note that this means disruptions in global trade for a long time.
Initial jobless claims will be released at 8:30am ET. Consensus is 212K.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon (AMZN) and Nvidia (NVDA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are mixed in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

The Arora Report’s proprietary very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.

Gold

The momo crowd is *** in gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is range bound.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7156 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7200, 7500, and 7700 : support levels are 7000, 6780, and 6600.

DJIA futures are down 229 points.

Gold futures are at $4729, silver futures are at $75.47, and oil futures are at $93.20.

STOCK MARKET MOMO CROWD GIDDY ON CEASEFIRE OBLIVIOUS TO IRAN HARDLINERS WINNING POWER STRUGGLE

Apr 22, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Extremely Positive Sentiment

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market is seeing buying in the early trade.
The chart shows the volume on the rally remains low, indicating lack of conviction.
RSI on the chart shows that even though the stock market is going up, it is losing internal momentum.
As a member of The Arora Report, you were ahead of the curve. The headline of yesterday’s Morning Capsule published before the market open read in part “INVESTORS CONVINCED OF IRAN DEAL BUT OBLIVIOUS TO POWER STRUGGLE.” We wrote:

Investors are convinced that a deal with Iran is at hand. However, investors are oblivious to the power struggle taking place in Iran.

Moderates in Iran want to make a peace deal.
Hardliners in Iran believe that Iran has an upper hand and do not want to give into U.S. demands.
After the market closed yesterday, President Trump referred to the power struggle in Iran as the reason for extending the ceasefire by saying “the Government of Iran is seriously fractured.” President Trump said the U.S. will hold off “Attack on the Country of Iran until such time as their leaders and representatives can come up with a unified proposal.”
It appears that moderates in Iran were ready to go to Pakistan for talks with the U.S. but hardliners won the power struggle and ultimately Iran decided to not go to Pakistan for talks with the U.S. First, the stock market dropped on the news, but then jumped up when President Trump announced he was extending the ceasefire indefinitely in response to Iran’s refusal to talk.
In The Arora Report analysis, the U.S. blockade will ultimately bring Iran to the table. The reason is that the storage in Iran will soon get filled and Iran would have already sold its oil that is on the water.
The stock market momo crowd has gone giddy on President Trump indefinitely extending the ceasefire. The momo crowd is extremely aggressive buying semiconductor stocks, AI stocks, and speculative stocks.
Stock market sentiment has turned extremely positive. As a reminder, extremely positive sentiment is a contrary signal, i.e. a sell signal. However, sentiment is not a precise timing indicator. Sentiment can stay extremely positive for a long time. Here are the guidelines for prudent investors:
- Do not initiate strategic positions when sentiment is extremely positive.
- Take partial profits on tactical positions when sentiment is extremely positive. On March 30, 2026, The Arora Report provided complete Model Portfolio updates in ZYX Buy, ZYX Allocation, and ZYX Emerging. Many positions were in the buy zones or had Buy Now ratings of YES. Hindsight shows March 30 turned out to be the exact low of this stock market cycle. Yesterday, The Arora Report gave a signal to take partial profits on tactical positions established at the very bottom as the stock market has sharply run up.
- Initiate strategic and tactical positions when sentiment is extremely negative.
Among important earnings, Boeing (BA) and GE Vernova GEV) reported earnings better than consensus. AT&T (T) reported earnings worse than consensus.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

API crude inventories came at a draw of 4.4M barrels vs. a consensus of a draw of 1M barrels.

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing aggressive buying on the ceasefire.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking down, and bonds are ticking up.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7144 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7200, 7500, and 7700 : support levels are 7000, 6780, and 6600.

DJIA futures are up 315 points.

Gold futures are at $4768, silver futures are at $77.80, and oil futures are at $90.95.

INVESTORS CONVINCED OF IRAN DEAL BUT OBLIVIOUS TO POWER STRUGGLE, NEW ERA AT APPLE, AMAZON DEEPER IN AI

Apr 21, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Power Struggle In Iran

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows the stock market continues to levitate well above the magnet.
The chart shows that volume yesterday was even lower on a micro pullback. This indicates that investors do not want to sell. As a member of The Arora Report, you were already ahead of the curve. In yesterday’s Morning Capsule before the stock market opened, we wrote:
The momo crowd is afflicted with extreme FOMO (fear of missing out). As is often the case, the momo crowd believes stonks are going to the moon, and they want to be onboard.
Even prudent investors do not want to sell because of the history of optimistic posts from President Trump every time the stock market starts going down. Investors are waiting for another post from President Trump that may run up the stock market.
RSI on the chart shows the stock market is very overbought.
Investors are convinced that a deal with Iran is at hand. However, investors are oblivious to the power struggle taking place in Iran.
- Moderates in Iran want to make a peace deal.
- Hardliners in Iran believe that Iran has an upper hand and do not want to give into U.S. demands.
Investors are paying attention to optimistic statements from President Trump but are ignoring statements from President Trump saying that he is unlikely to renew the ceasefire and is in no rush to end the war.
Among hardliners in Iran, Senior Commander Ali Abdollahi is saying that Iran has the upper hand militarily and Iran will not allow President Trump to create a false narrative over the situation on the ground.
China is the biggest customer of Iran’s oil. President Trump is angling for China to pressure Iran to accept a deal.
In The Arora Report analysis, in the end it will come down to what President Trump is willing to accept and declare victory.
With Tim Cook stepping down, a new era has begun at Apple (AAPL). Prudent investors should note that at a time when Apple has fallen behind in the AI race, Apple has chosen John Ternus, who is a hardware expert, not an AI or software expert. There are obvious risks to Apple by not picking an AI expert as the CEO, but here are the potential positives that may come out of this decision:
- Apple may usher in a new era of hardware innovations, just like what happened under Steve Jobs.
- Apple may not need to spend billions of dollars on AI like other Mag7 companies.
- There is potential for the narrative about Apple to change. If the narrative changes, AAPL stock can quickly move to The Arora Report’s very long term target of $426 – $434. AAPL is in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from $4.68. AAPL stock is trading at $271.78 as of this writing in the premarket, representing a gain of 5707%.
Amazon (AMZN) is pushing deeper into AI with a new deal with Anthropic. Amazon is investing an additional $5 billion in Anthropic and plans to invest up to $20B tied to milestones. In return, Anthropic plans to spend $100B on compute from AWS.
Prudent investors closely watch retail sales data as the U.S. economy is 70% consumer based. Retail sales came hotter than expected. American consumers continue to spend. Here is the latest retail sales data:
- March headline retail sales came at 1.7% vs. 1.3% consensus.
- March retail sales ex-auto came at 1.9% vs. 0.9% consensus.
Among earnings of note, UnitedHealth (UNH), D.R. Horton (DHI), GE Aerospace (GE), and RTX (RTX) are reporting earnings better than consensus.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are positive in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7174 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7200, 7500, and 7700 : support levels are 7000, 6780, and 6600.

DJIA futures are up 288 points.

Gold futures are at $4806, silver futures are at $79.02, and oil futures are at $86.97.

STOCK MARKET MOMO CROWD FOMO TRUMPS STRAIT CLOSURE, FIRING ON SHIPS, AND SHIP SEIZURE, WARSH’S LOGIC FOR RATE CUTS

Apr 20, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Fear Of Missing Out

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

The chart shows that the stock market is pulling back in the early trade but is still above the magnet as of this writing. This is remarkable considering the following over the weekend:
- Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz.
- Iran fired on two Indian ships.
- The U.S. fired on an Iranian ship and seized it.
- President Trump said Vice President Vance and the U.S. team were heading to Pakistan on Sunday. However, Iranians refused to go to Pakistan for talks as long as there was a U.S. blockade. It appears that Vice President Vance is still in the U.S.
On Sunday evening, stock futures opened lower than Friday’s close but significantly higher than anticipated based on the weekend’s events. Immediately after the open, the momo crowd aggressively bought stock futures.
The chart shows the rally on Friday was also on low volume. This indicates a lack of conviction.
RSI on the chart shows the stock market is very overbought and is showing early signs of turning down. This indicates a loss of internal momentum.
Oil futures and stock futures have responded differently to weekend developments. Oil futures have sharply risen while stock futures have barely budged after momo crowd buying. Until recently during the Iran war, oil futures and stock futures have been correlated. Yesterday evening and this morning oil futures and stock futures are totally detached. In The Arora Report analysis, the reason is that oil futures are responding to the reality of what is happening, but stock futures are not.
Why are stock futures so detached from reality? Here are the two reasons:
- The momo crowd is afflicted with extreme FOMO (fear of missing out). As is often the case, the momo crowd believes stonks are going to the moon, and they want to be onboard.
- Even prudent investors do not want to sell because of the history of optimistic posts from President Trump every time the stock market starts going down. Investors are waiting for another post from President Trump that may run up the stock market.
Kevin Warsh’s confirmation hearing for Fed Chair is ahead. The whole hearing has been convoluted by the criminal case against Fed Chair Powell over building costs. The main question for investors is how will Warsh justify rate cuts in view of sticky inflation. In The Arora Report analysis, Warsh will likely say that AI is going to be very disinflationary, and thus rate cuts will be appropriate.
Prudent investors should know that Wall Street en masse is issuing calls to buy stocks on the slightest dip.
Stock market bears are totally demoralized.
In The Arora Report analysis, historically, the foregoing behavior does not occur near bottoms and indicates more risk than generally believed.
As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the Arora Protection Band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. Please scroll down to see the Arora Protection Band. The Arora Protection Band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple (AAPL).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon (AMZN), Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA).

In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

The momo crowd is *** buying stocks in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

Very Very Short-Term Indicator

Gold

The momo crowd is *** in gold in the early trade. This is reflected in gold ETF (GLD), silver ETF (SLV), gold miner ETF (GDX), and silver miner ETF (SIL). Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.

Oil

The momo crowd is *** oil in the early trade. Smart money is *** in the early trade.

For longer-term, please see oil ratings.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is seeing buying.

Markets

Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.

The dollar is stronger.

S&P 500 futures are trading at 7130 as of this writing. S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 7200, 7500, and 7700 : support levels are 7000, 6780, and 6600.

DJIA futures are down 216 points.

Gold futures are at $4832, silver futures are at $79.73, and oil futures are at $87.12.

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Nigam Arora

Nigam Arora is known for his accurate stock market calls. Nigam is a distinguished master of the macro. He is a popular columnist with over 100 million page views, an engineer, and nuclear physicist by background. Nigam has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies and has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures. He is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management and is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method for Investing.

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