You will be pleased to know that in the totality of handling the market downturn in 2016, The Arora Report has beaten 100% of investment strategists.
We have a program of continuous improvement. To serve you better, we cordially invite you to provide feedback. This is your opportunity to communicate directly with Nigam Arora. Nigam will be personally reading all emails in response to this post. Please write him at Nigam@TheAroraReport.com
The annotated chart shows how well we have done compared to other strategists.
Please click here for the annotated chart of S&P 500.
So far in 2016, The Arora Report has stood head and shoulders above all other analysts in all important categories in every way.
- market timing
- risk control
- hedging
- cash levels
- day to day granularity
- buying new positions
- taking profits on short positions
- holding on to existing positions
This is the 10th year in a row that the blessings of unrivaled performance continue.
As our long time subscribers know well, here is a summary of our prescient major macro calls every step of the way prior to 2016.
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Calls to go to 100% cash prior to the 2008 stock market cash for long only investors
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Calls to go to 100% short prior to the 2008 crash for investors who were able to short
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In the early stages of the decline prior to 2008 crash, calls to go heavily in inverse ETFs
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In the 2008 crash when most investors lost half of the value of their portfolios, subscriber to The Arora Report made money by the boat load
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Call to take profits on inverse ETFs in February 2009, just before the market bottom
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Calls to take profits on all short positions in February 2009, just before the market bottom
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Calls to aggressively buy stocks long in February and March of 2009 right at the market bottom
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Aggressive hedging and profit taking prior to market downturn in 2011 making 2011 a profitable year for The Arora Report subscribers, a year in which most investors lost money
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Staying aggressively long, at times with protective hedges, during the long bull market of 2009-2015
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Calls for up to 50% cash and aggressive hedging in late 2015 prior to the market downturn of early 2016
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Calls to backup the truck and buy gold in $600s with average of $663 before a run to $1904
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Calls to allocate 20% (maximum allowed under diversification rules) to silver in $16-18 range with average of $17.73 before a run to $50
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Call to sell all of the silver at $48.50 close to the to the top at just over $50
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Call to short sell silver over $50 and holding the short position all the way down to $14 range.
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Call to sell half of the gold at the exact top at $1904 and put a stop on the remaining at $1750, subsequently gold fell to $1000 range.
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Correctly stayed bearish on gold and silver since 2011 top to early 2016 with numerous calls to trade mostly from the short side and a handful of correct calls to take long positions to profit from countertrend rallies
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Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2007 in the range of $65-73 with an average of $68.71 before a run to the range of $140 in 2008
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Call to sell all of the crude oil position in 2008 at $138.87 in 2008 right near the top in $140 range
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Bearish calls to sell crude oil short in 2008 in the range of $121-133 with an average of 127.34 before a fall to the $40 range
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Call to take profits on all of the crude oil short position in 2009 at $41.86 right near the bottom
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Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2009 in the range of $43-49 with an average of $47.18 before a run to the range of $108 in 2011
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Call to take profits on all of the crude oil long position at $103.43 in 2011
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Bearish calls to sell short crude oil in the range of $108 in 2014 right near the top
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Correctly stayed bearish on oil in 2014 to early 2016 as oil dropped to $27 range
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During European sovereign debt crisis when many gurus were calling for failure of euro, made the correct bold call that euro will survive as a currency and European Union would not break up
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Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits
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When China GDP was growing at about 12% and everyone with rare exceptions was bullish on China, made a bold bearish call that China super-cycle is over; by 2016 China true GDP growth fell to about 6%
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Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits
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