arora%20calls%202016%20volatility,%20compare%20to%20investment%20strategists

You will be pleased to know that in the totality of handling the market downturn in 2016, The Arora Report has beaten 100% of investment strategists.

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The annotated chart shows how well we have done compared to other strategists.

Please click here for the annotated chart of S&P 500.

So far in 2016, The Arora Report has stood head and shoulders above all other analysts in all important categories in every way.

  • market timing
  • risk control
  • hedging
  • cash levels
  • day to day granularity
  • buying new positions
  • taking profits on short positions
  • holding on to existing positions

This is the 10th year in a row that the blessings of unrivaled performance continue.

As our long time subscribers know well, here is a summary of our prescient major macro calls every step of the way prior to 2016.

U.S. STOCKS
  • Calls to go to 100% cash prior to the 2008 stock market cash for long only investors
  • Calls to go to 100% short prior to the 2008 crash for investors who were able to short
  • In the early stages of the decline prior to 2008 crash,  calls to go heavily in inverse  ETFs
  • In the 2008 crash when most investors lost half of the value of their portfolios, subscriber to The Arora Report made money by the boat load
  •  Call to take profits on inverse ETFs in February 2009, just before the market bottom
  •  Calls to   take profits on all short positions in February 2009, just before the market bottom
  • Calls  to  aggressively buy stocks long in February and March of  2009 right at the market bottom
  • Aggressive hedging and profit taking prior to market downturn in 2011 making 2011 a profitable year for The Arora Report subscribers, a year in which most investors lost money
  • Staying aggressively long, at times with protective hedges, during the long bull market of 2009-2015
  • Calls for up to 50% cash and aggressive hedging in late 2015 prior to the market downturn of early 2016
GOLD AND SILVER
  • Calls to backup the truck and buy gold in $600s with average of $663 before a run to $1904
  • Calls to allocate 20% (maximum allowed under diversification rules) to silver in $16-18 range with average of $17.73 before a run to $50
  • Call to sell all of the silver at $48.50 close to the to the top at  just over $50
  • Call to short sell silver over $50 and holding the short position all the way down to $14 range.
  • Call to sell half of the gold at the exact top at $1904 and put a stop on the remaining at $1750, subsequently gold fell to $1000 range.
  • Correctly stayed bearish on gold and silver since 2011 top to  early 2016 with numerous calls to trade mostly from the short side  and a handful of  correct calls to take long positions to profit from countertrend rallies
CRUDE OIL
  • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2007 in the range of $65-73 with an average of $68.71 before a run to the range of $140  in 2008
  • Call to sell all of the crude oil position in 2008 at $138.87 in 2008 right near the top in $140 range
  • Bearish calls to sell crude oil short in 2008  in the range of $121-133 with an average of 127.34 before a fall to the $40 range
  • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil short position  in 2009 at $41.86 right near the bottom
  • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2009 in the range of $43-49 with an average of $47.18 before a run to the range of $108 in 2011
  • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil long position at $103.43  in 2011
  • Bearish calls to sell short crude oil in the range of $108 in 2014 right near the top
  • Correctly stayed bearish on oil in 2014 to early 2016 as oil dropped to $27 range
EUROPE
  • During European sovereign debt crisis when many gurus were calling for failure of euro, made the correct bold call  that euro will survive as a currency and European Union would not break up
  • Made several specific  investment calls stemming from the foregoing  macro call that have generated large profits
CHINA
  • When China GDP was growing at about 12% and everyone with rare exceptions was bullish on China, made a bold bearish call that China super-cycle is over; by 2016 China true GDP growth fell to about 6%
  • Made several specific  investment calls stemming from the foregoing  macro call that  have generated large profits

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