
PRUDENT INVESTORS PAY ATTENTION TO THE YIELD CURVE – RECESSION INDICATOR
By Nigam Arora & Dr. Natasha Arora To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Yield Curve Please click here for a chart of the yield curve. Note the following: The chart goes back to 1976. The chart shows the difference between the yield on 10-year Treasuries and 2-year Treasuries. The gray bars on the chart show recessions. The chart shows that when the yield curve inverts it is followed by a recession. The stock market is likely to top out six to twelve months before a recession. The other economic indicators that The Arora Report follows and






