There’s a lot going on these days. Crimea, a region of Ukraine, will hold a referendum this weekend on whether or not to join Russia. A secondary concern is bad data from China. Gold is rocketing, stocks are swooning and bonds are rising on jitters. But let’s take a deep
There is an overabundance of predictions about investing in 2014. The predictions range from those made by market scholars who have spent most of their lives studying markets to those not yet humbled by the markets. A very intelligent investor I know put in a lot of effort to develop
The stock market has fallen on the first three consecutive days in December. Traditionally, this is a very negative pattern. Moreover, several of the market internals that we monitor are showing patterns similar to the beginning of September 2011, when the market saw a roughly 7% correction. Take a look
Yesterday, as comments from China to de-Americanize the world hit the wires, my inbox was quickly flooded with over two dozen emails from alert subscribers asking if they should buy gold based on the news. Such subscribers are right in that if China succeeds at de-Americanizing the world, the right
Secretary of State John Kerry’s comment implies that a strike by the U. S. on Syria is imminent. The war trade is on. Gold, oil and Treasury bonds are up. Stocks are down. Here is the most pertinent part of a long Kerry speech, “At President Obama’s direction, I’ve spent
Both the stock and bond markets are becoming increasingly volatile. Going back 30 years, high volatility is common after a sustained run and subsequent to the appearance of technical patterns that indicate a reversal. This time is no different. On May 30, I wrote about how an island reversal was highlighting
On May 23, I wrote about the market forming an ominous technical pattern. The pattern I discussed was an “outside day” which is a reversal pattern. Now, days later, the stock market has traced out another reversal pattern called an “island reversal.” You can see the pattern through the link below.
In the wake of Bernanke’s testimony before Congress and the release of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes, the U. S. stock market traced an ominous technical pattern. In traditional technical analysis, this pattern is known as an “outside day.” The outside day is visible on the chart of
This morning the Department of Labor released blowout employment numbers. April nonfarm-payroll numbers rose by 176K vs. a consensus of 166K, and more importantly, the whisper numbers were under 140K. The reaction in the markets has been violent. Interest rates have risen, and DJIA has broken the resistance at
European Central Bank Chief Mario Draghi may follow the U.S. lead and fire off his own bazooka. Requesting broader spending powers, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson famously told Congress that he needed “a bazooka” to head off the financial crisis. German magazine Der Spiegel reports that the ECB is now considering