President Trump routinely makes authoritative statements about the stock market, as he takes credit for its rise. No other president in history has ever spoken so much about the U.S. stock market. Now Trump has preordered “Dow 30,000,” though not literally. Given his track record of making statements about the
Tax reform is causing cross-currents in the stock market. There are five likely moves ahead that are of special note. The best way to know if buyers or sellers are winning as a result of those five moves is to look at money flows. So let’s look at money flows
Prudence requires that stock market bulls take protective measures as Special Counsel Robert Mueller investigates President Trump’s financial dealings, crossing a “red line” the president said he wouldn’t allow. Politics has the power to throttle stocks. On Dec. 1, when it was announced that former national security adviser Michael Flynn
With the Dow Jones Industrial Average topping 24,000 in a big rally this year, Dow 30,000 is now on the horizon. That was not always the case. In February 2017, when the Dow DJIA, was much lower, I laid out a fundamental case for the benchmark reaching 30,000. I was scorned,
The U.S. is in a raging bull market in stocks. Some gurus continue to revise their upward targets for stock prices. But many keep warning of a crash. What is the average investor to think — and how to act? And how does he or she gain an edge? The
Astute investors want an edge in the financial markets. Money flows, among other metrics, provide an edge. And now the money flows in the U.S. are beginning to shift. Let’s explore with the help of two charts. The charts Please click here for a chart showing money flows in broad-based
The stock market is becoming jittery. The reason is the so-called $1.5 trillion problem. The “smart money” (professional investors) has known about the problem and has acted accordingly, but the momo (momentum) crowd has been oblivious. Before delving into this problem, let us start with two charts. The charts Please
The smart money is getting jittery, which warrants protective measures. The stock market is complex, but there is one aspect that is simple and provides real objective insights to investors. The simplicity lies in comparing real buying demand to real selling supply in real time. When supply is significantly greater
The Arora Report’s forecast at the end of September that the stock market would rise at the beginning of October has proven to be correct. That forecast stemmed from a common-sense observation over the past 30 years that at the beginning of a quarter, new pension fund money pours into
It was 30 years ago this month. I had millions of dollars of my own money invested in the stock market. Other investors did too, and everyone was making money. On Oct. 19, 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA fell 22.6%. The S&P 500 Index SPX dropped 20.5%. It’s